Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL)
TOL moved a median of +0.01% 30 minutes after news, and +0.01% by the close. How TOL actually reacts to news — the realized, point-in-time move the market made, measured across 1,073 labeled events over the last three years with zero look-ahead.
TOL’s median reaction, across the day.
| Horizon | Median | % positive | Events |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-min | +0.01% | 54% | 1,067 |
| 30-min | +0.01% | 51% | 1,071 |
| 60-min | -0.01% | 50% | 1,071 |
| to close | +0.01% | 51% | 1,064 |
| Middle 50% of TOL reactions | -0.30% to +0.27% |
|---|---|
| Median reaction (30-min) | +0.01% |
| Measured reactions | 1,073 |
Half of all Toll Brothers, Inc. news events land between -0.30% and +0.27% at 30 minutes.
Reaction stats as of 2026-09-21. Newest measured event . Reaction = percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp.
How TOL reacts, by analyst action.
| Event | Events | Median 30-min | % positive | Median to close |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst upgrades | 42 | +0.29% | 64% | +0.21% |
| Analyst downgrades | 31 | -0.23% | 42% | -0.31% |
| Coverage initiations | 14 | -0.96% | 21% | -0.74% |
| Rating reiterations | 160 | +0.12% | 61% | +0.04% |
| Price-target raises | 51 | +0.13% | 61% | -0.01% |
| Price-target cuts | 28 | +0.27% | 79% | +0.52% |
Last 3 years, pulled 2026-09-21. Reaction = percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp. Counts and medians only. The same measurement runs across every name in the dataset. See how TOL ranks against every other measured name →
That’s how TOL usually reacts — get an email when it moves on news →Email me when TOL moves on news.
One email per qualifying move — the headline, the measured reaction, and how it compares to TOL's baseline. Nothing else.
Recent TOL events, each with its measured reaction.
| Date | Headline | Event | Source | 5-min | To close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toll Brothers Announces New Lakefront Luxury Home Community Coming Soon to Clermont, Florida | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.14% | -0.62% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces New Phase Opening in Cottage and Preserve Collections at Griffith Lakes in North Carolina | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.21% | +0.01% | |
| Toll Brothers at Everly Community Opens in Spartanburg, South Carolina | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.07% | -1.28% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces New Luxury Home Community Coming Soon to Franklin, Tennessee | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.38% | +0.24% | |
| Toll Brothers and Brookfield Residential Announce New Master-Planned Community Coming Soon to Covington, Washington | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.03% | +0.63% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces New Luxury Home Community Coming Soon to Saint Cloud, Florida | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.11% | +1.17% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces Final Opportunity for a Quick Move-In Luxury Home at Freestone Station in Marietta, Georgia | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.17% | -0.29% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces Model Home Grand Opening at Toll Brothers at Flat Creek in Castroville, Texas | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.05% | -0.44% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces New Luxury Home Community Coming Soon to Celina, Texas | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.11% | +0.45% | |
| Toll Brothers at Bristol Valley is Now Open in Heath, Texas | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.29% | +1.74% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces Final Opportunity to Own a New Luxury Home at Bluffs at Granite Highlands in Washougal, Washington | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.07% | +0.49% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces Everstead Now Open in Cary, North Carolina | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.28% | -0.04% | |
| Toll Brothers Grand Opens Clubhouse and Amenities at The Pines at Sugar Creek in Indian Land, South Carolina | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.12% | +0.56% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces New Luxury Home Community Coming Soon to Washougal, Washington | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.79% | -1.94% | |
| New Luxury Waterfront Community, Marion Pointe by Toll Brothers, is Now Open in Marion, Massachusetts | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.09% | +0.78% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces New Luxury Home Community Coming Soon to Apex, North Carolina | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.57% | -0.08% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces Amenity Center is Now Open for Residents at its Oakbend Wellen Park Community in Venice, Florida | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.13% | -0.06% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces Cloverhill at Cumming City Center Coming Soon to Cumming, Georgia | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.05% | -0.07% | |
| Buffington Homes by Toll Brothers Announces Last Chance to Purchase a New Home in McKissic Springs Community in Bentonville, Arkansas | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.07% | -1.46% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces New 55+ Luxury Home Community Coming Soon to Erie, Colorado | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.25% | -1.57% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces Final Opportunity in Myrtle Beach Community in South Carolina | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.09% | -0.09% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces New Collection of Luxury Townhomes Coming Soon to The River District in Charlotte, North Carolina | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.25% | -0.25% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces Final Opportunity to Own a New Home at Lacamas Hills in Camas, Washington | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.09% | -0.40% | |
| Summercrest by Toll Brothers Now Open in Estero, Florida | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.03% | +0.20% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces Cash Dividend | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.82% | -1.24% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces Grand Opening of Luxury Model Home at Enclave Community in Corona, California | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.14% | -1.67% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces Groundbreaking at Sawgrass Lakes Community in Babcock Ranch, Florida | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.10% | -0.45% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces Opening of Two New Home Collections in Bickford Ranch Master Plan near Sacramento, California | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.17% | -0.45% | |
| Toll Brothers City Living Announces New Model Home at Vista Pointe at Port Imperial as Residences Prepare for Immediate Occupancy | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.04% | +0.93% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces New Luxury Community Opening in Redondo Beach, California | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.00% | +0.10% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces Grand Opening of Amenity Center at Griffith Lakes in Charlotte, North Carolina | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.17% | +0.47% | |
| Toll Brothers Model Home Opens in Crestline at Brushy Creek in Cedar Park, Texas | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.15% | +0.20% | |
| Buffington Homes by Toll Brothers Announces 2026 Luxury Home Tour Sept 12 - 20 in Northwest Arkansas | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -1.05% | +0.06% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces Model Home Grand Opening at Wildspring in Leander, Texas | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.22% | +0.35% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces New Building Release at Iron Creek Luxury Townhome Community in Charlotte, North Carolina | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.07% | -0.72% | |
| Final Opportunity to Own a New Luxury Home in Toll Brothers at Tesoro Highlands - Alta Monte Collection in Valencia, California | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.17% | -0.65% | |
| New Model Home Opens at Toll Brothers at the Crossing at Coal Mountain in Cumming, Georgia | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.05% | -0.11% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces Final Opportunity to Own a New Luxury Home in Porter Ranch in Southern California | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.15% | -0.11% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces New Luxury Home Community Coming Soon to Horsham, Pennsylvania | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.12% | -1.06% | |
| Toll Brothers at Kresston Now Open in Montgomery, Texas | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.06% | -1.26% | |
| Form 10-Q Toll Brothers, Inc. For: Jul 31 | SEC filing · Form 10-Q | SEC EDGAR | +0.35% | -0.38% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces Model Home Now Available for Sale at Northbrooke in Cumming, Georgia | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.13% | -0.35% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces New Luxury Home Community Coming Soon to Bickford Ranch in Placer County, California | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.04% | -0.96% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces New Luxury Home Community Coming Soon to Horizon Lakes Master Plan Near Dallas, Texas | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.04% | -0.96% | |
| Crestmoor Estates by Toll Brothers is Now Open in San Bruno, California | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.06% | -0.30% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces New Luxury Home Community Coming Soon to Las Vegas, Nevada | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.07% | -0.40% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces New Luxury Townhome Community Coming this Fall to Harrison, New York | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.15% | -0.66% | |
| New Model Home Now Open at Toll Brothers at Quail Ridge in Ridgefield, Washington | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.11% | -0.20% | |
| Form 8-K Toll Brothers, Inc. For: Aug 18 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +5.16% | +2.15% | |
| Toll Brothers Reports FY 2026 Third Quarter Results | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +5.16% | +2.15% |
Each reaction is the move the market actually made, measured from the news timestamp. Headlines link through to the TOL section they belong to.
Where else TOL is measured.
TOL earnings → · Analyst actions → · SEC filings →
Other Consumer Cyclical names, measured the same way
| Ticker | Events | Median 30-min | % positive |
|---|---|---|---|
| lululemon athletica inc. (LULU) | 1,112 | -0.14% | 42% |
| SONIC (SONC) | 1,074 | 0.00% | 48% |
| RED LION HOTELS (RLH) | 1,062 | 0.00% | 40% |
| INNERWORKINGS (INWK) | 1,061 | 0.00% | 46% |
Same sector, same measurement: percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp, read at 30 minutes. Sample sizes differ, so the medians are comparable but the confidence behind them is not.
All Consumer Cyclical names, measured the same way →
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How the numbers are made.
How is Toll Brothers, Inc.'s median reaction calculated?
Every labeled TOL news event is measured from its own timestamp: the last trade before the news is the base price, and the move is read at fixed horizons — 30 minutes of trading, then the close. The median across 1,073 events is what this page reports. Point-in-time, zero look-ahead: no event borrows information from a later one.
What counts as a positive reaction?
Any event whose price move is above zero at the horizon, relative to the last trade before the news timestamp. 51% of TOL's measured events are up at 30 minutes; the rest close the window flat or negative.
How often is this page updated?
The news table refreshes automatically as new events are labeled and priced. The reaction medians are re-pulled in batches from the dataset — the figures here are as of 2026-09-21.
Does TOL's past reaction predict its next one?
No. These are realized facts about past events, not forecasts. They describe a distribution — they say nothing certain about any future move.