Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL)
TOL moved a median of +0.01% 30 minutes after news, and +0.02% by the close. How TOL actually reacts to news — the realized, point-in-time move the market made, measured across 1,069 labeled events over the last three years with zero look-ahead.
TOL’s median reaction, across the day.
| Horizon | Median | % positive | Events |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-min | +0.01% | 54% | 1,062 |
| 30-min | +0.01% | 51% | 1,066 |
| 60-min | +0.00% | 50% | 1,066 |
| to close | +0.02% | 51% | 1,059 |
| Middle 50% of TOL reactions | -0.29% to +0.27% |
|---|---|
| Median reaction (30-min) | +0.01% |
| Measured reactions | 1,069 |
Half of all Toll Brothers, Inc. news events land between -0.29% and +0.27% at 30 minutes.
Reaction stats as of 2026-08-31. Newest measured event . Reaction = percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp.
How TOL reacts, by analyst action.
| Event | Events | Median 30-min | % positive | Median to close |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst upgrades | 42 | +0.29% | 64% | +0.21% |
| Analyst downgrades | 30 | -0.19% | 43% | -0.59% |
| Coverage initiations | 14 | -0.96% | 21% | -0.74% |
| Rating reiterations | 160 | +0.12% | 61% | +0.04% |
| Price-target raises | 52 | +0.13% | 60% | -0.03% |
| Price-target cuts | 28 | +0.27% | 79% | +0.52% |
Last 3 years, pulled 2026-08-31. Reaction = percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp. Counts and medians only. The same measurement runs across every name in the dataset. See how TOL ranks against every other measured name →
That’s how TOL usually reacts — get an email when it moves on news →Email me when TOL moves on news.
One email per qualifying move — the headline, the measured reaction, and how it compares to TOL's baseline. Nothing else.
Recent TOL events, each with its measured reaction.
| Date | Headline | Event | Source | 5-min | To close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Model Home Opens at Toll Brothers at the Crossing at Coal Mountain in Cumming, Georgia | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.05% | -0.11% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces Final Opportunity to Own a New Luxury Home in Porter Ranch in Southern California | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.15% | -0.11% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces New Luxury Home Community Coming Soon to Horsham, Pennsylvania | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.12% | -1.06% | |
| Toll Brothers at Kresston Now Open in Montgomery, Texas | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.06% | -1.26% | |
| Form 10-Q Toll Brothers, Inc. For: Jul 31 | SEC filing · Form 10-Q | SEC EDGAR | +0.35% | -0.38% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces Model Home Now Available for Sale at Northbrooke in Cumming, Georgia | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.13% | -0.35% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces New Luxury Home Community Coming Soon to Bickford Ranch in Placer County, California | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.04% | -0.96% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces New Luxury Home Community Coming Soon to Horizon Lakes Master Plan Near Dallas, Texas | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.04% | -0.96% | |
| Crestmoor Estates by Toll Brothers is Now Open in San Bruno, California | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.06% | -0.30% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces New Luxury Home Community Coming Soon to Las Vegas, Nevada | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.07% | -0.40% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces New Luxury Townhome Community Coming this Fall to Harrison, New York | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.15% | -0.66% | |
| New Model Home Now Open at Toll Brothers at Quail Ridge in Ridgefield, Washington | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.11% | -0.20% | |
| Form 8-K Toll Brothers, Inc. For: Aug 18 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +5.16% | +2.15% | |
| Toll Brothers Reports FY 2026 Third Quarter Results | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +5.16% | +2.15% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces Model Home Grand Opening at Franklin Ridge Community in Franklin, Tennessee | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -2.24% | -2.29% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces Rivercrest Model Home Grand Opening in Reno, Nevada | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.12% | -0.17% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces New Waterfront Luxury Home Community Coming Soon to Yulee, Florida | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.02% | +0.22% | |
| Toll Brothers at Revera Luxury Home Community Opens in Richmond, Texas | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.35% | -0.56% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces Final Opportunity to Own a Luxury Home in the Bella Terra Collection at Tesoro Highlands in Valencia, California | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.08% | +0.27% | |
| Toll Brothers at Fortune Ridge Community Opens in Southeast, New York | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.04% | +0.02% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces Final Opportunity to Own a New Home at Holly Farm in Woodstock, Georgia | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.10% | — | |
| Toll Brothers Announces Final Opportunity to Own a New Luxury Home in Seabrook Village at Nocatee | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.05% | -0.07% | |
| Toll Brothers Opens Rivington Landing Luxury Condo Community in Danbury, Connecticut | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.15% | +0.30% | |
| Toll Brothers Selling Select Model Homes at Regency at Folsom Ranch in Folsom, California | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.17% | +0.26% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces Haven at Sea Bright is Now Open on the New Jersey Coast | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.51% | +1.03% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces Model Home Grand Opening at Vintage Grove in Fuquay-Varina, North Carolina | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.04% | +0.76% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces Tribute at Valor is Now Open in Kuna, Idaho | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.02% | -0.28% | |
| Toll Brothers Opens Cambric Village – Enclave Collection in Greenville, South Carolina | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.49% | -2.13% | |
| Toll Brothers to Webcast Its Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call Live on August 19, 2026 at 8:30 a.m. (ET) | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -1.67% | -1.21% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces Peapack Crossing is Now Open in Peapack, New Jersey | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +1.21% | +1.16% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces Final Opportunity to Own a Luxury Condominium at Mira Villa in Las Vegas | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.12% | +0.00% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces Grand Opening of New Design Studio in San Antonio, Texas | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.28% | +1.99% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces Opening of New Luxury Home Community and Award-Winning Model Home in Mapleton, Utah | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.08% | +0.45% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces New Luxury 55+ Community Now Open in Exton, Pennsylvania | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.18% | +0.68% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces Rivercrest Community Now Open in Reno, Nevada | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.23% | +0.70% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces Final Opportunity to Purchase a New Home at Canopy Cottages in Redmond, Washington | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.67% | -2.31% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces Grand Opening of Vista Ventana in La Mirada, California | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.01% | +1.25% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces New Luxury Home Community Now Open in Yardley, Pennsylvania | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.10% | +1.18% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces Model Home Grand Opening at Toll Brothers at The Pinehills in Plymouth, Massachusetts | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +1.50% | +2.18% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces Grand Opening of Torrente in Eagle, Idaho | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.02% | +0.07% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces New Luxury Home Community Coming Soon to Thousand Oaks, California | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.11% | -1.20% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces New Phase of Home Sites Coming to Saddlecrest at Windermere in Fall 2026 | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.02% | -1.07% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces New Luxury Home Community Coming Soon to Bickford Ranch, California | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.56% | -0.53% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces New Luxury Home Community Coming Soon to Sierra Madre, California | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.59% | -2.70% | |
| Toll Brothers Opens New Collections of Luxury Homes within Established Community in Berthoud, Colorado | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.05% | -0.99% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces Model Home for Sale at Regency at Ten Trails in Black Diamond, Washington | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.08% | -0.28% | |
| Toll Brothers Opens Two New Townhome Collections at The Crossing at Coal Mountain in Cumming, Georgia | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.09% | -0.30% | |
| Toll Brothers Announces New Home Sites in Regency at Santa Rita Ranch 55+ Community Near Austin | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.03% | -1.14% | |
| Toll Brothers Grand Opens New Model Home at Camas Meadows Crossing in Camas, Washington | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.07% | +0.68% | |
| New Phase of Luxury Homes Now Open at Toll Brothers at Woodburn in Leesburg, Virginia | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.12% | -0.54% |
Each reaction is the move the market actually made, measured from the news timestamp. Headlines link through to the TOL section they belong to.
Where else TOL is measured.
TOL earnings → · Analyst actions → · SEC filings →
Other Consumer Cyclical names, measured the same way
| Ticker | Events | Median 30-min | % positive |
|---|---|---|---|
| Planet Fitness, Inc. (PLNT) | 1,112 | +0.08% | 53% |
| SONIC (SONC) | 1,074 | 0.00% | 48% |
| INFORMA PLC S/ADR (IFJPY) | 1,062 | 0.00% | 25% |
| RED LION HOTELS (RLH) | 1,062 | 0.00% | 40% |
Same sector, same measurement: percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp, read at 30 minutes. Sample sizes differ, so the medians are comparable but the confidence behind them is not.
All Consumer Cyclical names, measured the same way →
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How the numbers are made.
How is Toll Brothers, Inc.'s median reaction calculated?
Every labeled TOL news event is measured from its own timestamp: the last trade before the news is the base price, and the move is read at fixed horizons — 30 minutes of trading, then the close. The median across 1,069 events is what this page reports. Point-in-time, zero look-ahead: no event borrows information from a later one.
What counts as a positive reaction?
Any event whose price move is above zero at the horizon, relative to the last trade before the news timestamp. 51% of TOL's measured events are up at 30 minutes; the rest close the window flat or negative.
How often is this page updated?
The news table refreshes automatically as new events are labeled and priced. The reaction medians are re-pulled in batches from the dataset — the figures here are as of 2026-08-31.
Does TOL's past reaction predict its next one?
No. These are realized facts about past events, not forecasts. They describe a distribution — they say nothing certain about any future move.