Microsoft (MSFT)
MSFT moved a median of +0.02% 30 minutes after news, and -0.11% by the close. How MSFT actually reacts to news — the realized, point-in-time move the market made, measured across 2,000+ labeled events over the last three years with zero look-ahead.
MSFT’s median reaction, across the day.
| Middle 50% of MSFT reactions | -0.33% to +0.40% |
|---|---|
| Median reaction (30-min) | +0.02% |
| Measured reactions | 2,000+ |
Half of all Microsoft news events land between -0.33% and +0.40% at 30 minutes.
Reaction stats as of 2026-07-14. Newest measured event . Reaction = percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp.
How MSFT reacts, by analyst action.
| Event | Events | Median 30-min | % positive | Median to close |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst upgrades | 36 | -0.03% | 42% | -0.10% |
| Analyst downgrades | 28 | -0.02% | 46% | -0.22% |
| Coverage initiations | 36 | +0.14% | 54% | -0.15% |
| Rating reiterations | 489 | -0.09% | 39% | -0.20% |
| Price-target raises | 135 | -0.12% | 32% | -0.58% |
| Price-target cuts | 66 | -0.16% | 33% | -0.27% |
Last 3 years, pulled 2026-07-14. Reaction = percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp. Counts and medians only. The same measurement runs across every name in the dataset. See how MSFT ranks against every other measured name →
That’s how MSFT usually reacts — get an email when it moves on news →Email me when MSFT moves on news.
One email per qualifying move — the headline, the measured reaction, and how it compares to MSFT's baseline. Nothing else.
Recent MSFT events, each with its measured reaction. (Page 1 of 6.)
Each headline opens its own page with the full realized reaction — the move the market actually made, measured from the news timestamp.
Where else MSFT is measured.
MSFT earnings → · Analyst actions → · SEC filings → · Full history →
Other Technology names, measured the same way
| Ticker | Events | Median 30-min | % positive |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIC (EGOV) | 2,000+ | 0.00% | 49% |
| Meta Platforms, Inc. - Class A (FB) | 2,000+ | -0.01% | 50% |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) | 2,000+ | -0.01% | 50% |
| Oracle (ORCL) | 2,000+ | -0.13% | 46% |
Same sector, same measurement: percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp, read at 30 minutes. Sample sizes differ, so the medians are comparable but the confidence behind them is not.
All Technology names, measured the same way →
Every ticker we measure the same way24
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Every name we’ve measured, in one place.
How the numbers are made.
How is Microsoft's median reaction calculated?
Every labeled MSFT news event is measured from its own timestamp: the last trade before the news is the base price, and the move is read at fixed horizons — 30 minutes of trading, then the close. The median across 2,000+ events is what this page reports. Point-in-time, zero look-ahead: no event borrows information from a later one.
What counts as a positive reaction?
Any event whose price move is above zero at the horizon, relative to the last trade before the news timestamp. 53% of MSFT's measured events are up at 30 minutes; the rest close the window flat or negative.
How often is this page updated?
The news table refreshes automatically as new events are labeled and priced. The reaction medians are re-pulled in batches from the dataset — the figures here are as of 2026-07-14.
Does MSFT's past reaction predict its next one?
No. These are realized facts about past events, not forecasts. They describe a distribution — they say nothing certain about any future move.