Eli Lilly's press release moved LLY -0.31%
LLY moved -0.65% in five minutes and -0.31% by market close — about 4.4× Eli Lilly's median close-day move.
· PR Newswire · Press release · Realized reaction, point-in-time, zero look-ahead.
Lilly's oral GLP-1, Foundayo (orforglipron), demonstrated cardiovascular safety alongside sustained A1C reduction and weight loss in its largest and longest type 2 diabetes study
Via PR Newswire
How LLY reacted after the announcement.
| Horizon | Reaction | LLY median |
|---|---|---|
| 30 sec | +0.20% | — |
| 1 min | -0.43% | — |
| 5 min | -0.65% | — |
| 10 min | -0.33% | — |
| 30 min | -0.64% | +0.03% |
| 60 min | -0.72% | — |
| 90 min | -0.30% | — |
| 120 min | -0.27% | — |
| to close | -0.31% | -0.07% |
- +1%
- never traded
- +2%
- never traded
- +3%
- never traded
- +5%
- never traded
- -1%
- 51 min
- -2%
- never traded
- -3%
- never traded
- -5%
- never traded
A hatched rung is a threshold the price never touched inside the measured window — not a missing measurement. Most news never moves a large-cap by 5% either way, so a mostly empty ladder is the finding, not a gap in the data.
| Held for | Return |
|---|---|
| D+1 | — |
| D+2 | |
| D+3 | |
| D+4 | |
| D+5 | |
| 1M | |
| 3M | |
| 6M | |
| 12M |
Each row is measured from the price at the news to that horizon independently, so the ladder is not cumulative and a later row can sit above an earlier one. “Available” is a date, not a gap: that horizon has not elapsed yet for this event, and it is computed from the event’s own timestamp rather than from the data. An em dash is the other case — the horizon passed and no return was recorded.
Five minutes after the news, LLY had moved -0.65%; by the close it stood at -0.31% — the two readings agree in direction.
Impact: Neutral. Reaction = percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp. Sources below.
LLY’s news landed in the after-hours window; the main session closed -0.31%.
- Mainprior session
- After-hours4:00 – 8:00 PM
- Overnightno tape
- Pre-market4:00 – 9:30 AM
- Main session9:30 AM – 4:00 PM
Segment widths are fixed, so two events on different days sit in comparable places. Hatched segments are real elapsed time with no tape to measure — the overnight halt is not a gap in the data. This event carries no intraday receipt time, so it is not pinned to a minute.
| Window | What it answers | Anchor price | Result | vs S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | From the news to the first main-session close, across every session in between. | 1162.92re-anchored to the first print after the news | -1.12% | — |
| After-hours | The move between the closing bell and the overnight halt. | — | not measured | — |
| Pre-market | The move between the pre-market open and the opening bell. | — | not measured | — |
| Main | The move inside the regular session, from the news to the close. | 1153.45the price at the news | -0.31% | -0.26% |
The main-session result is measured upstream against the price at the news; the all-sessions result is computed here from its own anchor and close, so the two can differ in the last decimal. The adjusted column subtracts the S&P 500’s move over the same main-session span — there is no index anchor for the all-sessions span, so that cell stays empty rather than borrowing this one. After-hours and pre-market are measured upstream but populate on a small minority of events, so this page does not request them. Those rows are unmeasured, not empty.
The same event measured across every session8
| Horizon | Reaction |
|---|---|
| 30 sec | +0.00% |
| 1 min | -0.03% |
| 5 min | +0.00% |
| 10 min | +0.00% |
| 30 min | +0.00% |
| 60 min | -0.09% |
| 90 min | -0.09% |
| 120 min | -0.16% |
Where this LLY event came from, and what the tape did with it.
Eli Lilly issued a press release, carried via PR Newswire, on Sep 30, 2026. It was one of 3 Eli Lilly headlines News Quantified labeled that day, so its measurement window overlaps with the others on a shared tape. The same session also carried Eli Lilly's "Lilly's EloraTZP (combination of eloralintide and tirzepatide)…" and 1 other Eli Lilly headline, each measured on its own clock.
Against the price at the news timestamp, LLY moved -0.65% after five minutes and -0.31% by the close — about 4.4× Eli Lilly's median close-day move of -0.07% across 2,000+ events. Because several releases shared that day, their measurement windows overlap and no single headline cleanly owns the move.
This is the alert you’d have received.
Lilly's oral GLP-1, Foundayo (orforglipron), demonstrated cardiovascular safety alongside sustained A1C reduction and weight loss in its largest and longest type 2 diabetes study
Track LLY and you’ll get one email like this the next time it moves on news — the headline, the measured reaction, and how it compares to LLY’s baseline. Nothing else.
Set up LLY alerts →How this compares to LLY’s usual reaction.
Across 2,000+ labeled events, LLY’s median 30-minute reaction to all news is +0.03% (52% up); by the close it is -0.07%.
| Middle 50% of LLY reactions | -0.57% to +0.60% |
|---|---|
| Median reaction (30-min) | +0.03% |
| This event | -0.64% |
| Measured reactions | 2,000+ |
Half of all Eli Lilly news events land between -0.57% and +0.60% at 30 minutes; this one is a single draw from that distribution.
You just saw one reaction. There are 26M+ more.
See the full LLY reaction history →LLY’s session ranged -1.18% to +0.46% against the price at the news.
1.4M shares against a 30-day average of 1.6M.
What the average share actually traded at across the session, rather than at any one print.
The close moved -0.31% against a 20-day average true range of 33.77. LLY carries no market-cap or price-to-earnings figure on this record, and no short interest, so none is shown.
Email me when LLY moves on news.
One email per qualifying move — the headline, the measured reaction, and how it compares to LLY's baseline. Nothing else.
How comparable LLY events have landed.
Across 5 other recent Eli Lilly press release events, the median close-day reaction was -2.48%. Each is measured the same way, from its own news timestamp.
8 more LLY events, each measured the same way.
Recent LLY events, each with its measured reaction8
That same day, across the market8
Same measurement, same clock, different names — each headline measured from its own news timestamp, point-in-time.
Peer tickers, measured the same way4
Every US ticker is measured the same way, from its own news timestamp. Browse all tickers →
LLY carried 2 other records that day.
Each was measured the same way, from its own timestamp.
How the numbers are made.
How was LLY's -0.65% reaction measured?
From the news timestamp, not the trading day: News Quantified takes the last trade before this press release as the base price and measures the move five minutes of trading later — point-in-time, zero look-ahead. The same clock produced the -0.31% to-close figure.
What is Eli Lilly's median reaction, and how does this event compare?
Eli Lilly's median is drawn from 2,000+ labeled events; at 30 minutes it sits at +0.03%, and -0.07% by the close. This event's move is one draw from that distribution — ordinary or outlier, the chart's median ticks show which.
3 Eli Lilly headlines shared Sep 30, 2026. Whose reaction is this?
Each of the 3 same-day Eli Lilly events is measured from its own timestamp, but their windows overlap on one tape, so we show the cluster rather than pretending a single headline owns the move.
Does -0.31% predict Eli Lilly's next reaction?
No. -0.31% is a realized fact about Sep 30, 2026, not a forecast. Past reactions describe a distribution; they say nothing certain about any future move.
How to cite this reaction.
News Quantified. "Lilly's oral GLP-1, Foundayo (orforglipron), demonstrated cardiovascular safety alongside sustained A1C reduction and weight loss in its largest and longest type 2 diabetes study." LLY realized price reaction, Sep 30, 2026. Retrieved from https://newsquantified.com/tickers/lly/news/lilly-s-oral-glp-1-foundayo-orforglipron-demonstrated-2026-09-30
Canonical URL: https://newsquantified.com/tickers/lly/news/lilly-s-oral-glp-1-foundayo-orforglipron-demonstrated-2026-09-30
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