Ticker reaction data · Consumer Cyclical

Guess?, Inc. (GES)

GES moved a median of +0.04% 30 minutes after news, and -0.09% by the close. How GES actually reacts to news — the realized, point-in-time move the market made, measured across 301 labeled events over the last three years with zero look-ahead.

The quantified answer

GES’s median reaction, across the day.

+0.04%
Median 30-min
Typical reaction 30 minutes after any GES news
55%
Moved up
Share of GES news events that rose at 30 minutes
-0.09%
Median to close
Where GES typically settles by the closing bell
GES median reaction to newsGES median reaction to news across 4 horizons: 5-min +0.00%, 30-min +0.04%, 60-min +0.03%, to close -0.09%.5-min30-min60-minto close5-min: +0.00%30-min: +0.04%60-min: +0.03%to close: -0.09%+0.00%+0.04%+0.03%-0.09%-0.09%0+0.04%
Median move vs. the price at the news timestamp, each horizon on its own sample — the counts are in the table below.
GES median reaction to news, by horizon. Each rung is measured on the events that traded at that horizon.
HorizonMedian% positiveEvents
5-min0.00%45%263
30-min+0.04%55%264
60-min+0.03%53%264
to close-0.09%45%260
Where GES reactions landvs 301 measured GES reactions
GESMiddle 50% · -0.33% to +0.39%Zero: 0.00%Median: +0.04%Median +0.04%-0.50%0+0.50%
Middle 50% of GES reactions-0.33% to +0.39%
Median reaction (30-min)+0.04%
Measured reactions301
Point-in-time · zero look-ahead

Half of all Guess?, Inc. news events land between -0.33% and +0.39% at 30 minutes.

Reaction stats as of 2026-09-21. Newest measured event . Reaction = percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp.

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26M+ news records Operating since 2012 Methodology on SSRN ↗
Latest news

Recent GES events, each with its measured reaction.

DateHeadlineEventSource5-minTo close
Form 15-12G GUESS INCSEC filing · Form 15-12GSEC EDGAR——
Form EFFECT GUESS INCSEC filing · Form EFFECTSEC EDGAR——
Authentic and Guess? Co-Founders Maurice and Paul Marciano Complete Transaction to Take Guess? PrivatePress releaseBusiness Wire——
Form 8-K GUESS INC For: Jan 23SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR——
Form POS AM GUESS INCSEC filing · Form POSSEC EDGAR——
Form S-8 POS GUESS INCSEC filing · Form S-8SEC EDGAR——
Form 10-Q GUESS INC For: Nov 01SEC filing · Form 10-QSEC EDGAR+0.30%-0.24%
Form 8-K GUESS INC For: Nov 21SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR-0.41%+0.35%
Guess?, Inc. Reports Fiscal Year 2026 Third Quarter ResultsPress releaseBusiness Wire-0.41%+0.35%
Guess?, Inc. to Release Third Quarter Fiscal 2026 Financial ResultsPress releaseBusiness Wire-0.12%+0.18%
Halper Sadeh LLC Encourages TRUE, AVDL, GES Shareholders to Contact the Firm to Discuss Their RightsPress releaseGlobeNewswire-0.35%-0.06%
Form 8-K GUESS INC For: Nov 13SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR+0.30%—
Form DEFA14A GUESS INCSEC filing · Form DEFA14ASEC EDGAR+0.30%—
GES SECURITIES ALERT: Guess?, Inc. $16.75 Merger with Authentic Brands Triggers Investigation – Shareholders Notified to Contact BFA LawPress releaseGlobeNewswire+0.12%+0.30%
Halper Sadeh LLC Encourages JAMF, CADE, AKRO, GES Shareholders to Contact the Firm to Discuss Their RightsPress releaseGlobeNewswire+0.03%+0.03%
GUESS INVESTIGATION: Guess?, Inc. (NYSE:GES) Shareholders are Notified of the Pending Investigation into the Authentic Brands Merger – Contact BFA LawPress releaseGlobeNewswire+0.00%+0.29%
Form DEFA14A GUESS INCSEC filing · Form DEFA14ASEC EDGAR-0.06%+0.35%
GES INVESTOR REMINDER: Guess?, Inc. Shareholders may have Rights in the Upcoming Authentic Brands Merger -- Contact BFA LawPress releaseGlobeNewswire-0.06%+0.35%
Guess?, Inc. Shareholders Unhappy With Proposed Merger Should Contact Julie & Holleman LLP Regarding Potential Legal ClaimsPress releaseGlobeNewswire-0.06%+0.35%
Form 8-K GUESS INC For: Oct 31SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR-0.06%+0.35%
GES INVESTORS: Guess?, Inc. Board Hit with Investigation after Authentic Brands Merger Announcement – Shareholders Urged to Contact BFA LawPress releaseGlobeNewswire+0.02%+0.47%
GES STOCK NOTICE: Current Guess?, Inc. Shareholders are Notified to Protect their Rights – Contact BFA Law about its Pending Investigation into the MergerPress releaseGlobeNewswire+0.12%+0.12%
Form DEFM14A GUESS INCSEC filing · Form DEFM14ASEC EDGAR-0.12%-0.12%
GES REMINDER: Investigation of Guess?, Inc. Board is Ongoing - Current Shareholders Urged to Contact BFA LawPress releaseACCESS Newswire+0.03%+0.03%
GES SECURITIES NEWS: Guess?, Inc. Faces Investigation into the $16.75 Authentic Brands Merger -- Contact BFA Law if You Have SharesPress releaseGlobeNewswire-0.35%-0.24%
Guess?, Inc. (NYSE: GES) Shareholders are Notified of the Pending Investigation into the Authentic Brands Merger – Contact BFA Law if You Hold SharesPress releaseGlobeNewswire-0.35%-0.24%
INVESTOR NEWS: The Guess?, Inc. Board of Directors May have Breached its Fiduciary Duties - Contact BFA Law about its Pending Investigation into the MergerPress releaseACCESS Newswire-0.03%-0.06%
GUESS UPDATE: Current Guess?, Inc. (GES) Shareholders Are Reminded to Act - Contact BFA Law About its Investigation Into The Authentic Brands MergerPress releaseACCESS Newswire+0.09%-0.09%
GES SHAREHOLDER NEWS: Guess?, Inc. Shareholders Are Notified of The Pending Investigation Into The Board of Directors - Contact BFA LawPress releaseACCESS Newswire+0.00%-0.41%
GES INVESTIGATION NOTICE: BFA Law is Investigating The Guess?, Inc. Board - Current Shareholders Are Urged to Contact The FirmPress releaseACCESS Newswire+0.03%+0.03%
GES LEGAL UPDATE: The Guess?, Inc. Board of Directors may have Breached its Fiduciary Duties – Contact BFA Law about its InvestigationPress releaseGlobeNewswire+0.06%+0.66%
GES STOCK NEWS: Guess?, Inc. Announces $16.75 Merger with Authentic Brands – Contact BFA Law about its Ongoing Investigation into the BoardPress releaseGlobeNewswire+0.36%+0.24%
GES SECURITIES NOTICE: BFA Law’s Investigation into the Guess?, Inc. $16.75 Merger Price is Ongoing – Contact the Firm if You Hold SharesPress releaseGlobeNewswire-0.06%-0.42%
GES SHAREHOLDER NOTICE: BFA Law Notifies Guess?, Inc. Shareholders of The Ongoing Investigation Into Breaches of Fiduciary Duties Against The BoardPress releaseACCESS Newswire-0.03%+0.03%
GES NOTICE: Did the Guess?, Inc. Board Breach its Fiduciary Duties in Connection with the Authentic Brands Merger? Shareholders are Urged to Contact BFA LawPress releaseACCESS Newswire+0.00%-0.06%
GES INVESTIGATION NEWS: BFA Law Announces an Investigation into the $16.75 Guess?, Inc. Merger with Authentic Brands Group LLC – Shareholders Notified to Contact BFA LawPress releaseBusiness Wire-0.24%+0.06%
Form PREM14A GUESS INC For: Oct 03SEC filing · Form PREM14ASEC EDGAR+0.00%-0.06%
Guess?, Inc. Investigated for Breaches of Fiduciary Duty – Contact the DJS Law Group to Discuss Your Rights – GESPress releaseBusiness Wire+0.00%-0.09%
Form DEFA14A GUESS INCSEC filing · Form DEFA14ASEC EDGAR+0.06%+0.06%
Form 10-Q GUESS INC For: Aug 02SEC filing · Form 10-QSEC EDGAR-0.04%+0.12%
Form 8-K GUESS INC For: Aug 27SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR-0.25%-0.18%
Guess?, Inc. Reports Fiscal Year 2026 Second Quarter ResultsPress releaseBusiness Wire-0.25%-0.18%
Form DEFA14A GUESS INCSEC filing · Form DEFA14ASEC EDGAR+0.06%+0.00%
Form 8-K GUESS INC For: Aug 20SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR+0.24%+0.48%
Form DEFA14A GUESS INCSEC filing · Form DEFA14ASEC EDGAR+0.24%+0.48%
GES Alert: Monsey Firm of Wohl & Fruchter Investigating Fairness of the Proposed Sale of Guess? to Authentic Brands GroupPress releaseGlobeNewswire+0.03%+0.39%
GES Stock Alert: Halper Sadeh LLC Is Investigating Whether the Sale of Guess?, Inc. Is Fair to ShareholdersPress releaseBusiness Wire+0.00%+0.45%
Guess? Co-Founders Maurice and Paul Marciano and CEO Carlos Alberini Partner with Authentic Brands Group to Take Guess? PrivatePress releaseBusiness Wire+0.24%+0.48%
Guess?, Inc. to Release Second Quarter Fiscal 2026 Financial ResultsPress releaseBusiness Wire+0.24%+0.48%
GUESS JEANS Opens New Flagship Store in The Heart of Tokyo, with a Takeover of Events Highlighting Community, Authenticity and CulturePress releasePR Newswire-1.00%-0.23%

Each reaction is the move the market actually made, measured from the news timestamp. Headlines link through to the GES section they belong to.

Keep exploring

Where else GES is measured.

GES earnings → · Analyst actions → · SEC filings →

Other Consumer Cyclical names, measured the same way

Same sector, same measurement: percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp, read at 30 minutes. Sample sizes differ, so the medians are comparable but the confidence behind them is not.

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Method

How the numbers are made.

How is Guess?, Inc.'s median reaction calculated?

Every labeled GES news event is measured from its own timestamp: the last trade before the news is the base price, and the move is read at fixed horizons — 30 minutes of trading, then the close. The median across 301 events is what this page reports. Point-in-time, zero look-ahead: no event borrows information from a later one.

What counts as a positive reaction?

Any event whose price move is above zero at the horizon, relative to the last trade before the news timestamp. 55% of GES's measured events are up at 30 minutes; the rest close the window flat or negative.

How often is this page updated?

The news table refreshes automatically as new events are labeled and priced. The reaction medians are re-pulled in batches from the dataset — the figures here are as of 2026-09-21.

Does GES's past reaction predict its next one?

No. These are realized facts about past events, not forecasts. They describe a distribution — they say nothing certain about any future move.

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26M+ news records, 2006–2026 Operating since 2012 Point-in-time, zero look-ahead Peer-reviewable methodology (SSRN) ↗