Caterpillar, Inc. (CAT)
CAT moved a median of +0.02% 30 minutes after news, and +0.01% by the close. How CAT actually reacts to news — the realized, point-in-time move the market made, measured across 582 labeled events over the last three years with zero look-ahead.
CAT’s median reaction, across the day.
| Horizon | Median | % positive | Events |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-min | +0.00% | 51% | 579 |
| 30-min | +0.02% | 53% | 581 |
| 60-min | +0.03% | 54% | 581 |
| to close | +0.01% | 51% | 575 |
| Middle 50% of CAT reactions | -0.29% to +0.33% |
|---|---|
| Median reaction (30-min) | +0.02% |
| Measured reactions | 582 |
Half of all Caterpillar, Inc. news events land between -0.29% and +0.33% at 30 minutes.
Reaction stats as of 2026-09-21. Newest measured event . Reaction = percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp.
How CAT reacts, by analyst action.
| Event | Events | Median 30-min | % positive | Median to close |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst upgrades | 59 | -0.15% | 44% | +0.01% |
| Analyst downgrades | 39 | -0.24% | 36% | -0.48% |
| Coverage initiations | 23 | -0.16% | 48% | +0.15% |
| Rating reiterations | 161 | 0.00% | 50% | -0.20% |
| Price-target raises | 112 | +0.03% | 55% | -0.21% |
| Price-target cuts | 16 | -0.12% | 38% | -0.14% |
Last 3 years, pulled 2026-09-21. Reaction = percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp. Counts and medians only. The same measurement runs across every name in the dataset. See how CAT ranks against every other measured name →
That’s how CAT usually reacts — get an email when it moves on news →Email me when CAT moves on news.
One email per qualifying move — the headline, the measured reaction, and how it compares to CAT's baseline. Nothing else.
Recent CAT events, each with its measured reaction.
| Date | Headline | Event | Source | 5-min | To close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caterpillar Announces Leadership Transition in Resource Industries | Press release | PR Newswire | -2.11% | — | |
| Caterpillar Inc. to Announce Third-Quarter 2026 Financial Results on October 29 | Press release | PR Newswire | -2.11% | — | |
| Caterpillar Invests in North Carolina's Future Manufacturing Workforce | Press release | PR Newswire | — | — | |
| Caterpillar Inc. Maintains Dividend | Press release | PR Newswire | -0.03% | -2.08% | |
| Caterpillar to Invest $1 Billion in North Carolina to Expand Cat Compact Manufacturing Capacity | Press release | PR Newswire | -0.50% | -2.14% | |
| Caterpillar Inc. Enters into Agreement to Acquire Fabick Cat Dealership | Press release | PR Newswire | -0.48% | +0.02% | |
| Luck Stone Builds on Autonomous Hauling Success with Caterpillar | Press release | PR Newswire | -0.20% | -0.75% | |
| New Cat® Simulators Next Gen Excavator Utilities Package Teaches Operators to Use an Excavator for Utility Servicing | Press release | PR Web | -0.20% | -0.75% | |
| Caterpillar and FieldAI Advance AI-Powered Industrial Innovation | Press release | PR Newswire | -0.52% | +1.77% | |
| Form 8-K CATERPILLAR INC For: Aug 27 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.12% | -0.45% | |
| Caterpillar CEO Joe Creed to Participate in Virtual Headquarters Visit with Wells Fargo | Press release | PR Newswire | +0.04% | -1.26% | |
| Caterpillar Expands Workforce Initiative to Arkansas to Strengthen Pathways to Manufacturing Careers | Press release | PR Newswire | -0.14% | -0.39% | |
| Form 10-Q CATERPILLAR INC For: Jun 30 | SEC filing · Form 10-Q | SEC EDGAR | +1.14% | +0.06% | |
| Cat Financial Reports Second-Quarter 2026 Results | Press release | Canada Newswire | -0.90% | -5.54% | |
| Caterpillar Reports Second-Quarter 2026 Results | Press release | PR Newswire | -0.90% | -5.54% | |
| Form 8-K CATERPILLAR INC For: Aug 04 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.90% | -5.54% | |
| Caterpillar Invests in the Future of Manufacturing Talent in Illinois | Press release | PR Newswire | -0.68% | -0.44% | |
| Caterpillar Inc. to Announce Second-Quarter 2026 Financial Results on August 4 | Press release | PR Newswire | -0.27% | +0.28% | |
| Caterpillar expands mining technology capabilities with Skycatch acquisition | Press release | PR Newswire | -1.09% | -0.07% | |
| Caterpillar Invests in the Future of Texas' Manufacturing Workforce | Press release | PR Newswire | -0.48% | -1.16% | |
| Form 11-K CATERPILLAR INC For: Dec 31 | SEC filing · Form 11-K | SEC EDGAR | -1.05% | -3.12% | |
| Form 8-K CATERPILLAR INC For: Jun 10 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.99% | +0.72% | |
| Caterpillar Inc. Increases Dividend | Press release | PR Newswire | +0.07% | +2.89% | |
| Form SD CATERPILLAR INC | SEC filing · Form SD | SEC EDGAR | -0.17% | -1.02% | |
| Caterpillar Inc. Releases 2025 Annual and Sustainability Reports | Press release | PR Newswire | -0.22% | +0.01% | |
| Caterpillar Opens Registration for Global Innovation Challenge | Press release | PR Newswire | -1.24% | -3.69% | |
| Form 10-Q CATERPILLAR INC For: Mar 31 | SEC filing · Form 10-Q | SEC EDGAR | +0.31% | +0.76% | |
| Cat Financial Reports First-Quarter 2026 Results | Press release | Canada Newswire | +1.76% | +4.23% | |
| Caterpillar Announces Virtual 2026 Shareholder Meeting | Press release | PR Newswire | +0.46% | -0.59% | |
| Caterpillar Reports First-Quarter 2026 Results | Press release | PR Newswire | +1.76% | +4.23% | |
| Form 8-K CATERPILLAR INC For: Apr 30 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +1.76% | +4.23% | |
| Form ARS CATERPILLAR INC For: Dec 31 | SEC filing · Form ARS | SEC EDGAR | -0.44% | -0.62% | |
| Form DEF 14A CATERPILLAR INC For: Jun 10 | SEC filing · Form DEF | SEC EDGAR | -0.41% | -0.58% | |
| Form DEFA14A CATERPILLAR INC | SEC filing · Form DEFA14A | SEC EDGAR | -0.35% | -0.61% | |
| PROPWR Secures Strategic Framework Agreement with Caterpillar Inc. | Press release | PR Newswire | +1.76% | +4.23% | |
| Caterpillar Inc. to Announce First-Quarter 2026 Financial Results on April 30 | Press release | PR Newswire | +0.00% | +0.61% | |
| Form 8-K CATERPILLAR INC For: Apr 07 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -1.57% | -0.22% | |
| Form 8-K CATERPILLAR INC For: Apr 07 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.74% | +0.42% | |
| Caterpillar Elects New Chief Financial Officer | Press release | PR Newswire | +1.29% | +1.82% | |
| Caterpillar Inc. Maintains Dividend | Press release | PR Newswire | +0.57% | +0.78% | |
| Form 8-K CATERPILLAR INC For: Mar 26 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.28% | +0.13% | |
| Caterpillar Elevates Skilled Trades Through Global Technician and Operator Challenges | Press release | PR Newswire | -0.16% | -0.69% | |
| Caterpillar Transforms the Construction Worksite with Advanced Technology, Services and Solutions at CONEXPO-CON/AGG 2026 | Press release | PR Newswire | -0.30% | +2.57% | |
| ElevenEs held 1st Closing of its Series B Investment Round Backed by Caterpillar Venture Capital Inc. | Press release | Business Wire | +0.14% | +1.75% | |
| Caterpillar CEO Joe Creed and Group President Rod Shurman to Participate in Fireside Chat at CONEXPO | Press release | PR Newswire | -0.27% | +1.13% | |
| ElevenEs Held 1st Closing of Its Series B Investment Round Backed by Caterpillar Venture Capital Inc. | Press release | Business Wire | -0.27% | +1.13% | |
| Caterpillar Bolsters Mining Technology Solutions with RPMGlobal Acquisition | Press release | PR Newswire | +0.40% | -1.72% | |
| Form 10-K CATERPILLAR INC For: Dec 31 | SEC filing · Form 10-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.06% | -0.10% | |
| Form IRANNOTICE CATERPILLAR INC | SEC filing · Form IRANNOTICE | SEC EDGAR | -0.26% | -1.11% | |
| Caterpillar CFO Andrew Bonfield to Participate in Fireside Chat at Barclays Industrial Select Conference | Press release | PR Newswire | +1.49% | +2.15% |
Each reaction is the move the market actually made, measured from the news timestamp. Headlines link through to the CAT section they belong to.
Where else CAT is measured.
CAT earnings → · Analyst actions → · SEC filings →
Other Industrials names, measured the same way
| Ticker | Events | Median 30-min | % positive |
|---|---|---|---|
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP) | 585 | -0.05% | 47% |
| China Southern Airlines Company Limited (ZNH) | 583 | 0.00% | 46% |
| Power Solutions International, Inc. (PSIX) | 582 | -0.24% | 43% |
| Johnson Controls International plc Ordinary Share (JCI) | 578 | +0.11% | 58% |
Same sector, same measurement: percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp, read at 30 minutes. Sample sizes differ, so the medians are comparable but the confidence behind them is not.
All Industrials names, measured the same way →
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Every name we’ve measured, in one place.
How the numbers are made.
How is Caterpillar, Inc.'s median reaction calculated?
Every labeled CAT news event is measured from its own timestamp: the last trade before the news is the base price, and the move is read at fixed horizons — 30 minutes of trading, then the close. The median across 582 events is what this page reports. Point-in-time, zero look-ahead: no event borrows information from a later one.
What counts as a positive reaction?
Any event whose price move is above zero at the horizon, relative to the last trade before the news timestamp. 53% of CAT's measured events are up at 30 minutes; the rest close the window flat or negative.
How often is this page updated?
The news table refreshes automatically as new events are labeled and priced. The reaction medians are re-pulled in batches from the dataset — the figures here are as of 2026-09-21.
Does CAT's past reaction predict its next one?
No. These are realized facts about past events, not forecasts. They describe a distribution — they say nothing certain about any future move.