Ticker reaction data · Industrials

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP)

ADP moved a median of -0.05% 30 minutes after news, and -0.07% by the close. How ADP actually reacts to news — the realized, point-in-time move the market made, measured across 585 labeled events over the last three years with zero look-ahead.

The quantified answer

ADP’s median reaction, across the day.

-0.05%
Median 30-min
Typical reaction 30 minutes after any ADP news
47%
Moved up
Share of ADP news events that rose at 30 minutes
-0.07%
Median to close
Where ADP typically settles by the closing bell
ADP median reaction to newsADP median reaction to news across 4 horizons: 5-min -0.06%, 30-min -0.05%, 60-min +0.01%, to close -0.07%.5-min30-min60-minto close5-min: -0.06%30-min: -0.05%60-min: +0.01%to close: -0.07%-0.06%-0.05%+0.01%-0.07%-0.07%0+0.01%
Median move vs. the price at the news timestamp, each horizon on its own sample — the counts are in the table below.
ADP median reaction to news, by horizon. Each rung is measured on the events that traded at that horizon.
HorizonMedian% positiveEvents
5-min-0.06%40%583
30-min-0.05%47%584
60-min+0.01%53%584
to close-0.07%48%585
Where ADP reactions landvs 585 measured ADP reactions
ADPMiddle 50% · -0.42% to +0.25%Zero: 0.00%Median: -0.05%Median -0.05%-1.00%0+1.00%
Middle 50% of ADP reactions-0.42% to +0.25%
Median reaction (30-min)-0.05%
Measured reactions585
Point-in-time · zero look-ahead

Half of all Automatic Data Processing, Inc. news events land between -0.42% and +0.25% at 30 minutes.

Reaction stats as of 2026-09-21. Newest measured event . Reaction = percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp.

By event type

How ADP reacts, by analyst action.

EventEventsMedian 30-min% positiveMedian to close
Analyst upgrades23+0.03%52%-0.14%
Analyst downgrades16-0.11%38%+0.33%
Coverage initiations17-0.18%12%-0.43%
Rating reiterations78+0.01%51%+0.06%
Price-target raises39-0.01%49%+0.03%
Price-target cuts26+0.03%58%-0.10%

Last 3 years, pulled 2026-09-21. Reaction = percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp. Counts and medians only. The same measurement runs across every name in the dataset. See how ADP ranks against every other measured name →

That’s how ADP usually reacts — get an email when it moves on news →
Next time, know first

Email me when ADP moves on news.

One email per qualifying move — the headline, the measured reaction, and how it compares to ADP's baseline. Nothing else.

▲ ADP Free · unsubscribe anytime
26M+ news records Operating since 2012 Methodology on SSRN ↗
Latest news

Recent ADP events, each with its measured reaction.

DateHeadlineEventSource5-minTo close
ADP National Employment Report Preliminary Estimate for September 26, 2026Press releasePR Newswire+0.40%+0.03%
ADP Canada Pay Insights: Pay for Job-Stayers Was Up 3.0% in SeptemberPress releaseCanada Newswire+0.92%+2.20%
ADP National Employment Report Preliminary Estimate for September 19, 2026Press releasePR Newswire+0.07%+0.96%
ADP National Employment Report: Private-Sector Employment Increased by 90,000 Jobs in SeptemberPress releasePR Newswire-0.27%-1.35%
ADP to Announce First Quarter Fiscal 2027 Financial Results on October 28, 2026Press releasePR Newswire+0.22%+0.34%
ADP Nominates David W. Kenny and Nancy McKinstry to Board of DirectorsPress releasePR Newswire+0.37%+0.68%
Form ARS AUTOMATIC DATA PROCESSIN For: Jun 30SEC filing · Form ARSSEC EDGAR+0.37%+0.68%
Form DEF 14A AUTOMATIC DATA PROCESSIN For: Nov 11SEC filing · Form DEFSEC EDGAR+0.37%+0.68%
Form DEFA14A AUTOMATIC DATA PROCESSINSEC filing · Form DEFA14ASEC EDGAR+0.37%+0.68%
ADP National Employment Report Preliminary Estimate for September 5, 2026Press releasePR Newswire-0.79%-0.57%
ADP National Employment Report Preliminary Estimate for August 29, 2026Press releasePR Newswire+0.09%+0.94%
ADP National Employment Report Preliminary Estimate for August 22, 2026Press releasePR Newswire-0.71%-0.82%
Edelman Financial Engines Expands Access to Fiduciary Advice with Integrated Retirement Plan Solution for Small and Mid-Sized Businesses and Their EmployeesPress releaseBusiness Wire+0.51%-0.33%
ADP Partners with AWS to Accelerate AI-Powered Innovation in Human Capital ManagementPress releasePR Newswire-0.83%-2.29%
ADP Canada Pay Insights: Pay for Job-Stayers Was Up 3.0% in AugustPress releaseCanada Newswire+1.47%+0.23%
ADP National Employment Report: Private-Sector Employment Increased by 38,000 Jobs in AugustPress releasePR Newswire-1.01%-0.65%
ADP to Present at Upcoming Investor ConferencePress releasePR Newswire+0.47%+1.60%
ADP National Employment Report Preliminary Estimate for August 8, 2026Press releasePR Newswire+0.24%+0.97%
ADP National Employment Report Preliminary Estimate for August 1, 2026Press releasePR Newswire-0.23%-0.59%
ADP National Employment Report Preliminary Estimate for July 25, 2026Press releasePR Newswire+0.31%+0.15%
ADP Declares Regular Quarterly DividendPress releasePR Newswire+0.36%+0.87%
ADP National Employment Report: Private Sector Employment Increased by 44,000 Jobs in July; Annual Pay was Up 4.4%Press releasePR Newswire-1.33%-1.60%
Form 10-K AUTOMATIC DATA PROCESSIN For: Jun 30SEC filing · Form 10-KSEC EDGAR+0.36%+0.87%
ADP Reports Fourth Quarter and Fiscal 2026 ResultsPress releasePR Newswire+0.71%+3.21%
Form 8-K AUTOMATIC DATA PROCESSIN For: Jul 29SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR+0.71%+3.21%
ADP National Employment Report Preliminary Estimate for July 11, 2026Press releasePR Newswire+1.49%+1.85%
ADP National Employment Report Preliminary Estimate for July 4, 2026Press releasePR Newswire+0.84%-1.74%
ADP National Employment Report Preliminary Estimate for June 27, 2026Press releasePR Newswire+0.19%+0.60%
ADP Research to Launch Monthly Pay Measure in Canada to Track Wage GrowthPress releaseCanada Newswire-1.23%-1.56%
ADP National Employment Report Preliminary Estimate for June 20, 2026Press releasePR Newswire+0.72%+0.49%
ADP National Employment Report: Private Sector Employment Increased by 98,000 Jobs in June; Annual Pay was Up 4.4%Press releasePR Newswire+1.42%+2.97%
ADP to Announce Fourth Quarter Fiscal 2026 Financial Results on July 29, 2026Press releasePR Newswire-0.96%-0.70%
Form 8-K AUTOMATIC DATA PROCESSIN For: Jun 26SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR-0.96%-0.70%
ADP National Employment Report Preliminary Estimate for June 6, 2026Press releasePR Newswire-0.91%-0.13%
ADP National Employment Report Preliminary Estimate for May 30, 2026Press releasePR Newswire-0.29%-1.20%
ADP National Employment Report Preliminary Estimate for May 23, 2026Press releasePR Newswire+0.84%+2.21%
ADP National Employment Report: Private Sector Employment Increased by 122,000 Jobs in May; Annual Pay was Up 4.4%Press releasePR Newswire-0.52%-0.49%
ADP National Employment Report Preliminary Estimate for May 9, 2026Press releasePR Newswire-0.48%-0.45%
ADP National Employment Report Preliminary Estimate for May 2, 2026Press releasePR Newswire+0.36%-1.12%
ADP National Employment Report Preliminary Estimate for April 25, 2026Press releasePR Newswire+0.26%+0.01%
ADP to Present at Upcoming Investor ConferencesPress releasePR Newswire+1.79%+3.90%
Form 8-K AUTOMATIC DATA PROCESSIN For: May 04SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR-0.55%+0.41%
ADP National Employment Report: Private Sector Employment Increased by 109,000 Jobs in April; Annual Pay was Up 4.4%Press releasePR Newswire-0.44%-0.58%
ADP Announces Pricing of its Senior Notes Due 2036Press releasePR Newswire+0.12%+0.23%
Form 10-Q AUTOMATIC DATA PROCESSIN For: Mar 31SEC filing · Form 10-QSEC EDGAR-0.26%+0.17%
ADP Reports Third Quarter Fiscal 2026 ResultsPress releasePR Newswire+1.04%+4.37%
Form 8-K AUTOMATIC DATA PROCESSIN For: Apr 29SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR+1.04%+4.37%
ADP National Employment Report Preliminary Estimate for April 28, 2026Press releasePR Newswire-0.23%-0.34%
ADP National Employment Report Preliminary Estimate for April 4, 2026Press releasePR Newswire+0.01%+0.05%
ADP Recognizes 2026 HCM Distinction Award Winners at 41st Annual Meeting of the Minds ConferencePress releasePR Newswire-0.06%+0.47%

Each reaction is the move the market actually made, measured from the news timestamp. Headlines link through to the ADP section they belong to.

Keep exploring

Where else ADP is measured.

ADP earnings → · Analyst actions → · SEC filings →

Other Industrials names, measured the same way

TickerEventsMedian 30-min% positive
RESOURCES CONNECTION (RECN)5960.00%50%
NCI BUILDING SYSTEMS (NCS)587-0.06%44%
China Southern Airlines Company Limited (ZNH)5830.00%46%
Caterpillar, Inc. (CAT)582+0.02%53%

Same sector, same measurement: percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp, read at 30 minutes. Sample sizes differ, so the medians are comparable but the confidence behind them is not.

All Industrials names, measured the same way →

Every ticker we measure the same way24

Apple (AAPL)

How AAPL actually reacts to news, measured.

NVIDIA (NVDA)

How NVDA actually reacts to news, measured.

Tesla (TSLA)

How TSLA actually reacts to news, measured.

Microsoft (MSFT)

How MSFT actually reacts to news, measured.

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)

How AMD actually reacts to news, measured.

Amazon (AMZN)

How AMZN actually reacts to news, measured.

Alphabet (GOOG)

How GOOG actually reacts to news, measured.

Meta Platforms (META)

How META actually reacts to news, measured.

Broadcom (AVGO)

How AVGO actually reacts to news, measured.

JPMorgan Chase (JPM)

How JPM actually reacts to news, measured.

Visa (V)

How V actually reacts to news, measured.

Walmart (WMT)

How WMT actually reacts to news, measured.

Eli Lilly (LLY)

How LLY actually reacts to news, measured.

UnitedHealth Group (UNH)

How UNH actually reacts to news, measured.

Netflix (NFLX)

How NFLX actually reacts to news, measured.

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)

How JNJ actually reacts to news, measured.

Exxon Mobil (XOM)

How XOM actually reacts to news, measured.

Home Depot (HD)

How HD actually reacts to news, measured.

Costco (COST)

How COST actually reacts to news, measured.

Mastercard (MA)

How MA actually reacts to news, measured.

Oracle (ORCL)

How ORCL actually reacts to news, measured.

Salesforce (CRM)

How CRM actually reacts to news, measured.

Bank of America (BAC)

How BAC actually reacts to news, measured.

Coca-Cola (KO)

How KO actually reacts to news, measured.

Walt Disney (DIS)

How DIS actually reacts to news, measured.

Browse all tickers

Every name we’ve measured, in one place.

Method

How the numbers are made.

How is Automatic Data Processing, Inc.'s median reaction calculated?

Every labeled ADP news event is measured from its own timestamp: the last trade before the news is the base price, and the move is read at fixed horizons — 30 minutes of trading, then the close. The median across 585 events is what this page reports. Point-in-time, zero look-ahead: no event borrows information from a later one.

What counts as a positive reaction?

Any event whose price move is above zero at the horizon, relative to the last trade before the news timestamp. 47% of ADP's measured events are up at 30 minutes; the rest close the window flat or negative.

How often is this page updated?

The news table refreshes automatically as new events are labeled and priced. The reaction medians are re-pulled in batches from the dataset — the figures here are as of 2026-09-21.

Does ADP's past reaction predict its next one?

No. These are realized facts about past events, not forecasts. They describe a distribution — they say nothing certain about any future move.

Stop guessing what the event means

You just saw one reaction.
There are 26 million more.

For investors

Know the next move, measured.

Ticker alerts with the realized reaction — not the headline spin.

Free · no credit card · unsubscribe anytime
For builders

The dataset, one command away.

claude mcp add news-quantified

Then ask Claude: “how does ADP react to downgrades?” — or pull it raw via REST.

60-second signup on the NQ portal · 100 free credits/mo
26M+ news records, 2006–2026 Operating since 2012 Point-in-time, zero look-ahead Peer-reviewable methodology (SSRN) ↗