The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE)
CAKE moved a median of -0.02% 30 minutes after news, and +0.10% by the close. How CAKE actually reacts to news — the realized, point-in-time move the market made, measured across 271 labeled events over the last three years with zero look-ahead.
CAKE’s median reaction, across the day.
| Horizon | Median | % positive | Events |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-min | +0.02% | 51% | 271 |
| 30-min | -0.02% | 49% | 271 |
| 60-min | +0.07% | 52% | 271 |
| to close | +0.10% | 54% | 268 |
| Middle 50% of CAKE reactions | -0.44% to +0.66% |
|---|---|
| Median reaction (30-min) | -0.02% |
| Measured reactions | 271 |
Half of all The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated news events land between -0.44% and +0.66% at 30 minutes.
Reaction stats as of 2026-09-21. Newest measured event . Reaction = percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp.
How CAKE reacts, by analyst action.
| Event | Events | Median 30-min | % positive | Median to close |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst upgrades | 24 | +0.73% | 54% | +0.22% |
| Analyst downgrades | 25 | +1.37% | 84% | +1.08% |
| Coverage initiations | 13 | +0.03% | 54% | -0.69% |
| Rating reiterations | 158 | +0.03% | 52% | -0.14% |
| Price-target raises | 64 | +0.09% | 52% | -0.16% |
| Price-target cuts | 16 | +0.26% | 63% | -0.48% |
Last 3 years, pulled 2026-09-21. Reaction = percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp. Counts and medians only. The same measurement runs across every name in the dataset. See how CAKE ranks against every other measured name →
That’s how CAKE usually reacts — get an email when it moves on news →Email me when CAKE moves on news.
One email per qualifying move — the headline, the measured reaction, and how it compares to CAKE's baseline. Nothing else.
Recent CAKE events, each with its measured reaction.
| Date | Headline | Event | Source | 5-min | To close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Cheesecake Factory to Webcast Third Quarter Fiscal 2026 Earnings Conference Call on October 27, 2026 | Press release | Business Wire | +0.18% | -0.48% | |
| The Cheesecake Factory Celebrates National Dessert Month With Special Online Gift Card Offer | Press release | Business Wire | -0.10% | +2.80% | |
| The Cheesecake Factory to Present at the Barclays 19th Annual Global Consumer Conference | Press release | Business Wire | -0.56% | -1.04% | |
| The Cheesecake Factory Named to the ‘PEOPLE Companies That Care’ List for Sixth Consecutive Year | Press release | Business Wire | -0.86% | -5.19% | |
| The Cheesecake Factory Sweetens the End of Summer With a Special Online Gift Card Offer | Press release | Business Wire | +0.00% | — | |
| Form 10-Q CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC For: Jun 30 | SEC filing · Form 10-Q | SEC EDGAR | +0.12% | +0.90% | |
| Form 8-K/A CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC For: Jul 29 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +1.77% | +8.80% | |
| Form 8-K CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC For: Jul 23 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +1.77% | +8.80% | |
| The Cheesecake Factory Celebrates National Cheesecake Day July 30 With Any Slice, Half Price for All Dine-In Guests | Press release | Business Wire | +0.33% | +1.53% | |
| The Cheesecake Factory Reports Results for Second Quarter of Fiscal 2026 | Press release | Business Wire | +1.77% | +8.80% | |
| The Cheesecake Factory to Webcast Second Quarter Fiscal 2026 Earnings Conference Call on July 28, 2026 | Press release | Business Wire | -0.99% | -1.27% | |
| The Cheesecake Factory Celebrates National Cheesecake Day on July 30 With Any Slice, Half Price for All Dine-in Guests and a Decadent New Flavor | Press release | Business Wire | +0.20% | +2.71% | |
| The Cheesecake Factory Celebrates Dads With Special Online Gift Card Offer | Press release | Business Wire | +0.35% | -1.83% | |
| Form 8-K CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC For: May 28 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.35% | -1.83% | |
| Form 10-Q CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC For: Mar 31 | SEC filing · Form 10-Q | SEC EDGAR | +0.76% | +3.19% | |
| Form 8-K CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC For: Apr 23 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -4.21% | -3.34% | |
| The Cheesecake Factory Reports Results for First Quarter of Fiscal 2026 | Press release | Business Wire | -4.21% | -3.34% | |
| The Cheesecake Factory Celebrates Moms With Sweet Gift Card Offer Online | Press release | Business Wire | -0.52% | +1.15% | |
| Form ARS CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC For: Dec 30 | SEC filing · Form ARS | SEC EDGAR | +0.52% | +1.10% | |
| Form DEF 14A CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC For: May 28 | SEC filing · Form DEF | SEC EDGAR | +0.52% | +1.10% | |
| Form DEFA14A CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC | SEC filing · Form DEFA14A | SEC EDGAR | +0.52% | +1.10% | |
| The Cheesecake Factory to Webcast First Quarter Fiscal 2026 Earnings Conference Call on April 29, 2026 | Press release | Business Wire | +0.04% | +1.77% | |
| The Cheesecake Factory Introduces New App With Exclusive Offer for Cheesecake Rewards Members | Press release | Business Wire | -0.85% | +1.00% | |
| The Cheesecake Factory Named to Fortune’s ‘100 Best Companies to Work For’ List for Thirteenth Time | Press release | Business Wire | -0.46% | +1.62% | |
| Form 8-K CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC For: Mar 26 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.85% | +1.00% | |
| Form 10-K CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC For: Dec 30 | SEC filing · Form 10-K | SEC EDGAR | +1.34% | +1.34% | |
| Form 8-K CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC For: Feb 12 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -3.46% | -2.10% | |
| The Cheesecake Factory Reports Results for Fourth Quarter of Fiscal 2025 | Press release | Business Wire | -3.46% | -2.10% | |
| The Cheesecake Factory to Present at the Raymond James 47th Annual Institutional Investors Conference | Press release | Business Wire | +1.53% | +4.60% | |
| The Cheesecake Factory to Webcast Fourth Quarter Fiscal 2025 Earnings Conference Call on February 18, 2026 | Press release | Business Wire | +0.15% | +0.92% | |
| The Cheesecake Factory Announces Online Gift Card Offer Exclusively for Cheesecake Rewards Members | Press release | Business Wire | +1.01% | -2.31% | |
| The Cheesecake Factory’s Peppermint Stick Chocolate Swirl Cheesecake and Special Holiday Gift Card Offer Return | Press release | Business Wire | -0.36% | +0.71% | |
| The Cheesecake Factory to Present at Upcoming Investor Conferences | Press release | Business Wire | +0.96% | +1.70% | |
| The Cheesecake Factory Makes Holiday Shopping Sweeter With Special Gift Card Offer | Press release | Business Wire | +1.75% | — | |
| Form 10-Q CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC For: Sep 30 | SEC filing · Form 10-Q | SEC EDGAR | +1.14% | +0.65% | |
| Form 8-K CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC For: Oct 22 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -5.16% | -7.54% | |
| The Cheesecake Factory Reports Results for Third Quarter of Fiscal 2025 | Press release | Business Wire | -5.16% | -7.54% | |
| The Cheesecake Factory to Webcast Third Quarter Fiscal 2025 Earnings Conference Call on October 28, 2025 | Press release | Business Wire | -0.73% | -1.68% | |
| The Cheesecake Factory Named to the ‘People Companies That Care’ List for Fifth Consecutive Year | Press release | Business Wire | -0.36% | +0.65% | |
| Form 10-Q CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC For: Jul 01 | SEC filing · Form 10-Q | SEC EDGAR | -0.55% | -2.19% | |
| Form S-8 CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC | SEC filing · Form S-8 | SEC EDGAR | -0.55% | -2.19% | |
| The Cheesecake Factory Announces Online Back to School Gift Card Offer Exclusively for Cheesecake Rewards Members | Press release | Business Wire | -1.00% | -0.92% | |
| Form 8-K CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC For: Jul 23 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.75% | +0.71% | |
| The Cheesecake Factory Reports Results for Second Quarter of Fiscal 2025 | Press release | Business Wire | +0.75% | +0.71% | |
| The Cheesecake Factory Celebrates National Cheesecake Day July 30 With Any Slice, Half Price Exclusively for Cheesecake Rewards Members | Press release | Business Wire | +0.56% | +0.18% | |
| The Cheesecake Factory to Webcast Second Quarter Fiscal 2025 Earnings Conference Call on July 29, 2025 | Press release | Business Wire | -0.38% | +1.01% | |
| The Cheesecake Factory Celebrates Dads and Grads With a Special Online Gift Card Offer | Press release | Business Wire | +0.14% | -0.81% | |
| Form 8-K CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC For: May 22 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +1.18% | +0.54% | |
| Form 10-Q CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC For: Apr 01 | SEC filing · Form 10-Q | SEC EDGAR | -0.24% | +0.14% | |
| Form 8-K CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC For: Apr 24 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +2.85% | -3.39% |
Each reaction is the move the market actually made, measured from the news timestamp. Headlines link through to the CAKE section they belong to.
Where else CAKE is measured.
CAKE earnings → · Analyst actions → · SEC filings →
Other Consumer Cyclical names, measured the same way
| Ticker | Events | Median 30-min | % positive |
|---|---|---|---|
| GAMING PARTNERS (GPIC) | 273 | 0.00% | 32% |
| Visteon Corporation (VC) | 272 | -0.24% | 40% |
| Saga Communications, Inc. - Class A (SGA) | 269 | 0.00% | 34% |
| Core Molding Technologies Inc (CMT) | 268 | 0.00% | 47% |
Same sector, same measurement: percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp, read at 30 minutes. Sample sizes differ, so the medians are comparable but the confidence behind them is not.
All Consumer Cyclical names, measured the same way →
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Every name we’ve measured, in one place.
How the numbers are made.
How is The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's median reaction calculated?
Every labeled CAKE news event is measured from its own timestamp: the last trade before the news is the base price, and the move is read at fixed horizons — 30 minutes of trading, then the close. The median across 271 events is what this page reports. Point-in-time, zero look-ahead: no event borrows information from a later one.
What counts as a positive reaction?
Any event whose price move is above zero at the horizon, relative to the last trade before the news timestamp. 49% of CAKE's measured events are up at 30 minutes; the rest close the window flat or negative.
How often is this page updated?
The news table refreshes automatically as new events are labeled and priced. The reaction medians are re-pulled in batches from the dataset — the figures here are as of 2026-09-21.
Does CAKE's past reaction predict its next one?
No. These are realized facts about past events, not forecasts. They describe a distribution — they say nothing certain about any future move.