United Fire Group, Inc (UFCS)
UFCS moved a median of -0.06% 30 minutes after news, and +0.03% by the close. How UFCS actually reacts to news — the realized, point-in-time move the market made, measured across 312 labeled events over the last three years with zero look-ahead.
UFCS’s median reaction, across the day.
| Horizon | Median | % positive | Events |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-min | 0.00% | 41% | 266 |
| 30-min | -0.06% | 46% | 312 |
| 60-min | +0.04% | 52% | 312 |
| to close | +0.03% | 52% | 310 |
| Middle 50% of UFCS reactions | -0.32% to +0.51% |
|---|---|
| Median reaction (30-min) | -0.06% |
| Measured reactions | 312 |
Half of all United Fire Group, Inc news events land between -0.32% and +0.51% at 30 minutes.
Reaction stats as of 2026-09-21. Newest measured event . Reaction = percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp.
How UFCS reacts, by analyst action.
| Event | Events | Median 30-min | % positive | Median to close |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst upgrades | 22 | -0.14% | 46% | -0.88% |
| Analyst downgrades | 10 | 0.00% | 30% | +1.13% |
| Rating reiterations | 22 | +0.15% | 59% | +0.44% |
Last 3 years, pulled 2026-09-21. Reaction = percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp. Counts and medians only. The same measurement runs across every name in the dataset. 3 further classes were observed with fewer than 10 measured events and are not published. See how UFCS ranks against every other measured name →
That’s how UFCS usually reacts — get an email when it moves on news →Email me when UFCS moves on news.
One email per qualifying move — the headline, the measured reaction, and how it compares to UFCS's baseline. Nothing else.
Recent UFCS events, each with its measured reaction.
| Date | Headline | Event | Source | 5-min | To close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AM Best Affirms Credit Ratings of United Fire Group, Inc. and Its Property/Casualty Subsidiaries | Press release | Business Wire | +0.37% | +2.41% | |
| Form 8-K UNITED FIRE GROUP INC For: Aug 21 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.00% | +0.75% | |
| United Fire Group, Inc. declares quarterly cash dividend of $0.20 per share and announces new board appointment | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.00% | +0.75% | |
| Form 10-Q UNITED FIRE GROUP INC For: Jun 30 | SEC filing · Form 10-Q | SEC EDGAR | -0.04% | -1.47% | |
| Form 8-K UNITED FIRE GROUP INC For: Aug 03 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.20% | +0.22% | |
| United Fire Group, Inc. reports second quarter 2026 results | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.20% | +0.22% | |
| Form 8-K UNITED FIRE GROUP INC For: Jul 17 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.04% | +1.25% | |
| United Fire Group, Inc. announces its second quarter 2026 earnings call | Press release | GlobeNewswire | — | +1.30% | |
| Form 11-K UNITED FIRE GROUP INC For: Dec 31 | SEC filing · Form 11-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.02% | +0.02% | |
| Form 8-K UNITED FIRE GROUP INC For: May 20 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.19% | -0.59% | |
| Form 8-K UNITED FIRE GROUP INC For: May 20 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.10% | -1.64% | |
| United Fire Group, Inc. declares quarterly cash dividend of $0.20 per share and announces results of annual meeting of shareholders | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.10% | -1.64% | |
| Form 10-Q UNITED FIRE GROUP INC For: Mar 31 | SEC filing · Form 10-Q | SEC EDGAR | +0.39% | -2.32% | |
| Form 8-K UNITED FIRE GROUP INC For: May 05 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +2.52% | -0.97% | |
| United Fire Group, Inc. reports first quarter 2026 results | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +2.52% | -0.97% | |
| Form 8-K UNITED FIRE GROUP INC For: Apr 21 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.28% | -0.10% | |
| United Fire Group, Inc. announces its first quarter 2026 earnings call | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.23% | +0.15% | |
| Form ARS UNITED FIRE GROUP INC For: Dec 31 | SEC filing · Form ARS | SEC EDGAR | -0.34% | +0.72% | |
| Form DEF 14A UNITED FIRE GROUP INC For: May 20 | SEC filing · Form DEF | SEC EDGAR | -0.34% | +0.72% | |
| Form DEFA14A UNITED FIRE GROUP INC | SEC filing · Form DEFA14A | SEC EDGAR | -0.34% | +0.72% | |
| Form 10-K UNITED FIRE GROUP INC For: Dec 31 | SEC filing · Form 10-K | SEC EDGAR | — | +0.51% | |
| Form 8-K UNITED FIRE GROUP INC For: Feb 09 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +1.09% | +1.59% | |
| United Fire Group, Inc. reports fourth quarter and full year 2025 results | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +3.48% | +2.92% | |
| Form 8-K UNITED FIRE GROUP INC For: Jan 26 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.29% | +0.52% | |
| United Fire Group, Inc. announces its fourth quarter 2025 earnings call | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.21% | +0.50% | |
| Form 8-K UNITED FIRE GROUP INC For: Nov 21 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -1.19% | -1.46% | |
| United Fire Group, Inc. declares quarterly cash dividend of $0.16 per share | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -1.19% | -1.46% | |
| Form 10-Q UNITED FIRE GROUP INC For: Sep 30 | SEC filing · Form 10-Q | SEC EDGAR | -0.22% | +2.36% | |
| Form 8-K UNITED FIRE GROUP INC For: Nov 04 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +2.07% | +9.96% | |
| United Fire Group, Inc. reports third quarter 2025 results | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +2.07% | +9.96% | |
| Form 8-K UNITED FIRE GROUP INC For: Oct 23 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.03% | +0.00% | |
| United Fire Group, Inc. announces its third quarter 2025 earnings call | Press release | GlobeNewswire | — | +0.26% | |
| Form 8-K UNITED FIRE GROUP INC For: Aug 28 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | — | +0.10% | |
| AM Best Affirms Credit Ratings of United Fire Group, Inc. and Its Property/Casualty Subsidiaries | Press release | Business Wire | -0.16% | +0.03% | |
| Form 8-K UNITED FIRE GROUP INC For: Aug 15 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.43% | — | |
| United Fire Group, Inc. announces new board appointment | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.43% | — | |
| Form 8-K UNITED FIRE GROUP INC For: Aug 15 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.16% | +0.66% | |
| United Fire Group, Inc. declares quarterly cash dividend of $0.16 per share | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.03% | +1.32% | |
| Form 10-Q UNITED FIRE GROUP INC For: Jun 30 | SEC filing · Form 10-Q | SEC EDGAR | +0.04% | +0.88% | |
| Form 8-K UNITED FIRE GROUP INC For: Aug 05 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -4.43% | -4.27% | |
| United Fire Group, Inc. reports second quarter 2025 results | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -4.43% | -4.27% | |
| Form 8-K UNITED FIRE GROUP INC For: Jul 23 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.83% | -2.40% | |
| United Fire Group, Inc. announces its second quarter 2025 earnings call | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.83% | -2.40% | |
| Form 8-K UNITED FIRE GROUP INC For: Jul 10 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.00% | -0.37% | |
| United Fire Group, Inc. announces senior notes offering | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.00% | -0.37% | |
| Form 11-K UNITED FIRE GROUP INC For: Dec 31 | SEC filing · Form 11-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.14% | +0.00% | |
| Form S-3ASR UNITED FIRE GROUP INC | SEC filing · Form S-3ASR | SEC EDGAR | -0.76% | +1.49% | |
| Form 8-K UNITED FIRE GROUP INC For: May 21 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.16% | -0.90% | |
| United Fire Group, Inc. declares quarterly cash dividend of $0.16 per share | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.16% | -0.90% | |
| United Fire Group, Inc. reports on annual meeting of shareholders | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.16% | -0.90% |
Each reaction is the move the market actually made, measured from the news timestamp. Headlines link through to the UFCS section they belong to.
Where else UFCS is measured.
UFCS earnings → · Analyst actions → · SEC filings →
Other Financial Services names, measured the same way
| Ticker | Events | Median 30-min | % positive |
|---|---|---|---|
| Community Trust Bancorp, Inc. (CTBI) | 312 | +0.06% | 55% |
| Evercore Inc. Class A (EVR) | 312 | +0.10% | 55% |
| American Financial Group, Inc. (AFG) | 311 | -0.02% | 49% |
| Chemung Financial Corp (CHMG) | 310 | 0.00% | 37% |
Same sector, same measurement: percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp, read at 30 minutes. Sample sizes differ, so the medians are comparable but the confidence behind them is not.
All Financial Services names, measured the same way →
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How the numbers are made.
How is United Fire Group, Inc's median reaction calculated?
Every labeled UFCS news event is measured from its own timestamp: the last trade before the news is the base price, and the move is read at fixed horizons — 30 minutes of trading, then the close. The median across 312 events is what this page reports. Point-in-time, zero look-ahead: no event borrows information from a later one.
What counts as a positive reaction?
Any event whose price move is above zero at the horizon, relative to the last trade before the news timestamp. 46% of UFCS's measured events are up at 30 minutes; the rest close the window flat or negative.
How often is this page updated?
The news table refreshes automatically as new events are labeled and priced. The reaction medians are re-pulled in batches from the dataset — the figures here are as of 2026-09-21.
Does UFCS's past reaction predict its next one?
No. These are realized facts about past events, not forecasts. They describe a distribution — they say nothing certain about any future move.