Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. Common Shares (TFPM)
TFPM moved a median of -0.14% 30 minutes after news, and -0.29% by the close. How TFPM actually reacts to news — the realized, point-in-time move the market made, measured across 134 labeled events over the last three years with zero look-ahead.
TFPM’s median reaction, across the day.
| Horizon | Median | % positive | Events |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-min | -0.13% | 44% | 134 |
| 30-min | -0.14% | 49% | 134 |
| 60-min | -0.34% | 46% | 134 |
| to close | -0.29% | 41% | 132 |
| Middle 50% of TFPM reactions | -1.22% to +1.49% |
|---|---|
| Median reaction (30-min) | -0.14% |
| Measured reactions | 134 |
Half of all Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. Common Shares news events land between -1.22% and +1.49% at 30 minutes.
Reaction stats as of 2026-09-21. Newest measured event . Reaction = percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp.
How TFPM reacts, by analyst action.
| Event | Events | Median 30-min | % positive | Median to close |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst upgrades | 14 | +0.10% | 50% | +0.22% |
| Analyst downgrades | 23 | -0.50% | 39% | +0.17% |
| Rating reiterations | 33 | -0.18% | 42% | +0.09% |
| Price-target raises | 12 | -0.06% | 50% | +0.19% |
Last 3 years, pulled 2026-09-21. Reaction = percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp. Counts and medians only. The same measurement runs across every name in the dataset. 2 further classes were observed with fewer than 10 measured events and are not published. See how TFPM ranks against every other measured name →
That’s how TFPM usually reacts — get an email when it moves on news →Email me when TFPM moves on news.
One email per qualifying move — the headline, the measured reaction, and how it compares to TFPM's baseline. Nothing else.
Recent TFPM events, each with its measured reaction.
| Date | Headline | Event | Source | 5-min | To close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Form 6-K Triple Flag Precious For: Oct 07 | SEC filing · Form 6-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.83% | +0.43% | |
| Triple Flag Announces Strong Revenue in Q3 2026 and First Deliveries from Ravenswood | Press release | Business Wire | -0.83% | +0.43% | |
| Mustang Mobilises Geophysical Crew in Nevada, USA | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.34% | +1.49% | |
| Triple Flag Announces Strong Q2 2026 Results and Increases Quarterly Dividend for the 5th Consecutive Year | Press release | Business Wire | +2.92% | +3.85% | |
| Triple Flag Increases Quarterly Dividend for the 5th Consecutive Year | Press release | Business Wire | +2.92% | +3.85% | |
| Mustang Closes Sale of El Cobre Copper-Gold Porphyry Project | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.63% | -2.24% | |
| Triple Flag Delivers Strong Q2 2026 GEOs and Repurchases $20 Million of Shares | Press release | Business Wire | -2.00% | +0.00% | |
| Triple Flag Completes Acquisition of US$440 Million Gold Stream on the Ravenswood Gold Mine | Press release | Business Wire | -1.01% | -2.05% | |
| Mustang Announces Sale of El Cobre Copper-Gold Porphyry Project | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +2.53% | +2.15% | |
| Triple Flag Announces US$440 Million Gold Stream on the Ravenswood Gold Mine and Increases 2030 Outlook | Press release | Business Wire | +0.83% | +1.00% | |
| Triple Flag Increases 2026 GEOs Guidance and Announces Steppe Gold Agreement | Press release | Business Wire | -0.68% | +2.79% | |
| Triple Flag Announces Increase in Credit Facility at Improved Terms | Press release | Business Wire | -0.44% | -0.44% | |
| Triple Flag Announces Election of Directors | Press release | Business Wire | +0.43% | -3.48% | |
| Triple Flag Announces Record Q1 2026 Results | Press release | Business Wire | -0.70% | -0.12% | |
| Triple Flag Declares Q2 2026 Dividend | Press release | Business Wire | -0.70% | -0.12% | |
| Triple Flag Delivers a Record Start to 2026 | Press release | Business Wire | +0.67% | -3.01% | |
| Form 6-K Triple Flag Precious For: Feb 18 | SEC filing · Form 6-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.86% | +2.14% | |
| Triple Flag Declares Q1 2026 Dividend | Press release | Business Wire | -0.86% | +2.14% | |
| Triple Flag Delivers Record Earnings Per Share and Operating Cash Flow Per Share Growth in 2025 | Press release | Business Wire | -0.86% | +2.14% | |
| Form 6-K Triple Flag Precious For: Feb 10 | SEC filing · Form 6-K | SEC EDGAR | -1.19% | -1.06% | |
| Triple Flag and Evolution to Unlock the Gold-Dominant E44 Deposit at Northparkes, Underpinned by Guaranteed Gold and Silver Deliveries | Press release | Business Wire | -1.19% | -1.06% | |
| Form 6-K Triple Flag Precious For: Jan 14 | SEC filing · Form 6-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.13% | -1.88% | |
| Triple Flag Delivers Record GEOs for the Ninth Consecutive Year and Achieves the Top Half of 2025 GEOs Guidance | Press release | Business Wire | -0.13% | -1.88% | |
| Form 6-K Triple Flag Precious For: Nov 13 | SEC filing · Form 6-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.37% | — | |
| Triple Flag Receives Approval for Normal Course Issuer Bid Renewal | Press release | Business Wire | +0.37% | — | |
| Form 6-K Triple Flag Precious For: Nov 04 | SEC filing · Form 6-K | SEC EDGAR | +1.71% | +1.16% | |
| Triple Flag Announces Record Operating Cash Flow per Share in Q3 2025 | Press release | Business Wire | +1.71% | +1.16% | |
| Triple Flag Declares Q4 2025 Dividend | Press release | Business Wire | +1.71% | +1.16% | |
| Form 6-K Triple Flag Precious For: Oct 08 | SEC filing · Form 6-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.54% | -1.50% | |
| Triple Flag Announces Strong Revenue in Q3 2025 and First Production from Johnson Camp Mine and Tres Quebradas | Press release | Business Wire | -0.54% | -1.50% | |
| Form 6-K Triple Flag Precious For: Aug 06 | SEC filing · Form 6-K | SEC EDGAR | +4.43% | +4.35% | |
| Form 6-K Triple Flag Precious For: Jun 30 | SEC filing · Form 6-K | SEC EDGAR | +4.43% | +4.35% | |
| Triple Flag Announces Record Operating Cash Flow Per Share in Q2 2025 and Increases Dividend | Press release | Business Wire | +4.43% | +4.35% | |
| Triple Flag Increases Quarterly Dividend by 5% | Press release | Business Wire | +4.43% | +4.35% | |
| Form 6-K Triple Flag Precious For: Jul 09 | SEC filing · Form 6-K | SEC EDGAR | -1.05% | -2.63% | |
| Form 6-K Triple Flag Precious For: Jul 09 | SEC filing · Form 6-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.78% | +1.91% | |
| Triple Flag Announces Record Q2 2025 Revenues | Press release | Business Wire | -0.78% | +1.91% | |
| Triple Flag Completes Acquisition of Orogen Royalties and its 1.0% NSR Royalty on the Arthur Gold Project in Nevada | Press release | Business Wire | -1.05% | -2.63% | |
| Form 6-K Triple Flag Precious For: May 07 | SEC filing · Form 6-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.09% | -2.14% | |
| Triple Flag Announces Election of Directors | Press release | Business Wire | +0.09% | -2.14% | |
| Form 6-K Triple Flag Precious For: May 06 | SEC filing · Form 6-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.64% | -0.32% | |
| Triple Flag Announces Record Quarterly Cash Flow and Strong Q1 2025 Results | Press release | Business Wire | -0.64% | -0.32% | |
| Triple Flag Declares Q2 2025 Dividend | Press release | Business Wire | -0.64% | -0.32% | |
| Form 6-K Triple Flag Precious For: Apr 23 | SEC filing · Form 6-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.85% | -0.42% | |
| Triple Flag Announces Increase in Credit Facility Availability to US$1 Billion at Improved Terms | Press release | Business Wire | -0.85% | -0.42% | |
| Form 6-K Triple Flag Precious For: Apr 22 | SEC filing · Form 6-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.63% | -1.30% | |
| Triple Flag to Acquire Orogen Royalties and Its 1.0% NSR Royalty on the Expanded Silicon Gold Project | Press release | Business Wire | -0.63% | -1.30% | |
| Form 6-K Triple Flag Precious For: Apr 09 | SEC filing · Form 6-K | SEC EDGAR | +1.90% | +4.58% | |
| Triple Flag Announces Record Revenue from Strong Q1 2025 GEOs | Press release | Business Wire | +1.90% | +4.58% | |
| Form 40-F Triple Flag Precious For: Dec 31 | SEC filing · Form 40-F | SEC EDGAR | -0.10% | -0.26% |
Each reaction is the move the market actually made, measured from the news timestamp. Headlines link through to the TFPM section they belong to.
Where else TFPM is measured.
TFPM earnings → · Analyst actions → · SEC filings →
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How the numbers are made.
How is Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. Common Shares's median reaction calculated?
Every labeled TFPM news event is measured from its own timestamp: the last trade before the news is the base price, and the move is read at fixed horizons — 30 minutes of trading, then the close. The median across 134 events is what this page reports. Point-in-time, zero look-ahead: no event borrows information from a later one.
What counts as a positive reaction?
Any event whose price move is above zero at the horizon, relative to the last trade before the news timestamp. 49% of TFPM's measured events are up at 30 minutes; the rest close the window flat or negative.
How often is this page updated?
The news table refreshes automatically as new events are labeled and priced. The reaction medians are re-pulled in batches from the dataset — the figures here are as of 2026-09-21.
Does TFPM's past reaction predict its next one?
No. These are realized facts about past events, not forecasts. They describe a distribution — they say nothing certain about any future move.