Radian Group Inc. (RDN)
RDN moved a median of +0.03% 30 minutes after news, and +0.08% by the close. How RDN actually reacts to news — the realized, point-in-time move the market made, measured across 425 labeled events over the last three years with zero look-ahead.
RDN’s median reaction, across the day.
| Horizon | Median | % positive | Events |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-min | 0.00% | 49% | 425 |
| 30-min | +0.03% | 52% | 425 |
| 60-min | +0.10% | 56% | 425 |
| to close | +0.08% | 52% | 418 |
| Middle 50% of RDN reactions | -0.31% to +0.52% |
|---|---|
| Median reaction (30-min) | +0.03% |
| Measured reactions | 425 |
Half of all Radian Group Inc. news events land between -0.31% and +0.52% at 30 minutes.
Reaction stats as of 2026-09-21. Newest measured event . Reaction = percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp.
How RDN reacts, by analyst action.
| Event | Events | Median 30-min | % positive | Median to close |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst upgrades | 20 | +0.05% | 60% | +0.68% |
| Analyst downgrades | 14 | +0.33% | 71% | +0.67% |
| Rating reiterations | 29 | -0.03% | 45% | +0.07% |
| Price-target raises | 13 | -0.03% | 39% | +0.26% |
Last 3 years, pulled 2026-09-21. Reaction = percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp. Counts and medians only. The same measurement runs across every name in the dataset. 2 further classes were observed with fewer than 10 measured events and are not published. See how RDN ranks against every other measured name →
That’s how RDN usually reacts — get an email when it moves on news →Email me when RDN moves on news.
One email per qualifying move — the headline, the measured reaction, and how it compares to RDN's baseline. Nothing else.
Recent RDN events, each with its measured reaction.
| Date | Headline | Event | Source | 5-min | To close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radian to Webcast Third Quarter Conference Call | Press release | Business Wire | +0.40% | +0.03% | |
| Radian Expands Digital Quoting Capabilities Through Integration With Lender Price | Press release | Business Wire | +0.00% | -0.44% | |
| Mike Weinbach Assumes CEO Role at Radian and Joins Board of Directors | Press release | Business Wire | -0.16% | +0.38% | |
| Radian Declares Regular Quarterly Dividend | Press release | Business Wire | -0.16% | +0.38% | |
| Form 8-K RADIAN GROUP INC For: Aug 10 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +1.20% | +0.44% | |
| Form 10-Q RADIAN GROUP INC For: Jun 30 | SEC filing · Form 10-Q | SEC EDGAR | +0.25% | — | |
| Form 8-K RADIAN GROUP INC For: Aug 05 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +1.88% | +0.39% | |
| Radian Announces Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results | Press release | Business Wire | +1.88% | +0.39% | |
| Radian Advances Strategic Transformation to Global Multi-Line Specialty Insurer with Sale of Real Estate Services Business and Agreement to Sell Title Business | Press release | Business Wire | +0.10% | +1.61% | |
| Radian to Webcast Second Quarter Conference Call | Press release | Business Wire | +0.71% | +0.59% | |
| Radian to Host Investor Day Today | Press release | Business Wire | +1.56% | -1.15% | |
| Radian Announces Inducement Grants to Incoming Chief Executive Officer Under NYSE Rule 303A.08 | Press release | Business Wire | +1.56% | -1.15% | |
| Form S-8 RADIAN GROUP INC | SEC filing · Form S-8 | SEC EDGAR | +1.52% | +0.69% | |
| Form 8-K RADIAN GROUP INC For: May 20 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.03% | -1.67% | |
| Form 8-K RADIAN GROUP INC For: May 21 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.11% | -2.08% | |
| Form S-8 RADIAN GROUP INC | SEC filing · Form S-8 | SEC EDGAR | +0.14% | +1.06% | |
| Radian Announces Results of 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders and Approves Regular Quarterly Dividend on Common Stock | Press release | Business Wire | +0.11% | -2.08% | |
| Radian CEO Rick Thornberry Announces Intent to Retire; Board Appoints Mike Weinbach as His Successor | Press release | Business Wire | +0.11% | -2.08% | |
| Form 10-Q RADIAN GROUP INC For: Mar 31 | SEC filing · Form 10-Q | SEC EDGAR | -0.33% | -2.09% | |
| Form 8-K RADIAN GROUP INC For: May 06 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.22% | +4.59% | |
| Radian Announces First Quarter 2026 Financial Results | Press release | Business Wire | +0.60% | +6.91% | |
| Radian to Host Investor Day on June 4, 2026 | Press release | Business Wire | -0.07% | +0.84% | |
| Form 8-K RADIAN GROUP INC For: Apr 20 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.00% | +0.42% | |
| Form 8-K/A RADIAN GROUP INC For: Feb 02 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.44% | -0.31% | |
| Radian to Webcast First Quarter Conference Call | Press release | Business Wire | +0.55% | +2.11% | |
| Form 8-K/A RADIAN GROUP INC For: Feb 12 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +1.51% | +3.25% | |
| Form DEF 14A RADIAN GROUP INC For: May 21 | SEC filing · Form DEF | SEC EDGAR | +1.51% | +3.25% | |
| Form DEFA14A RADIAN GROUP INC | SEC filing · Form DEFA14A | SEC EDGAR | +1.51% | +3.25% | |
| Form ARS RADIAN GROUP INC For: Dec 31 | SEC filing · Form ARS | SEC EDGAR | -0.27% | +1.39% | |
| Form 8-K RADIAN GROUP INC For: Mar 23 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.53% | -1.21% | |
| Form 8-K RADIAN GROUP INC For: Mar 23 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.34% | +0.70% | |
| Form S-3ASR RADIAN GROUP INC | SEC filing · Form S-3ASR | SEC EDGAR | +0.32% | -0.12% | |
| Form 10-K RADIAN GROUP INC For: Dec 31 | SEC filing · Form 10-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.03% | +2.21% | |
| Form 8-K RADIAN GROUP INC For: Feb 18 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.09% | +0.34% | |
| Radian Announces Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial Results | Press release | Business Wire | +0.09% | +0.34% | |
| Form 8-K RADIAN GROUP INC For: Feb 12 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +1.16% | -1.41% | |
| Radian Declares Regular Quarterly Dividend | Press release | Business Wire | +0.03% | -0.09% | |
| Form 8-K RADIAN GROUP INC For: Feb 09 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.70% | +0.24% | |
| Form D RADIAN GROUP INC | SEC filing · Form D | SEC EDGAR | -0.70% | +0.24% | |
| Radian Appoints Accomplished Insurance Executive Seraina Macia to Board of Directors | Press release | Business Wire | -0.70% | +0.24% | |
| Form 8-K RADIAN GROUP INC For: Feb 02 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +1.70% | +1.86% | |
| Radian Completes Acquisition of Inigo, Becoming a Global Multi-Line Specialty Insurer | Press release | Business Wire | +0.00% | +0.80% | |
| Radian to Webcast Fourth Quarter Conference Call | Press release | Business Wire | -0.24% | -0.39% | |
| Form 8-K RADIAN GROUP INC For: Jan 21 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.21% | -1.47% | |
| Form 8-K RADIAN GROUP INC For: Dec 29 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.19% | +0.14% | |
| Radian Receives All Necessary Regulatory Approvals and Moves Towards Closing of Inigo Acquisition | Press release | Business Wire | +0.10% | -0.03% | |
| Radian Enters Into $373 Million Excess of Loss (XOL) Reinsurance Transaction | Press release | Business Wire | +0.70% | -0.03% | |
| Radian Declares Regular Quarterly Dividend | Press release | Business Wire | +0.28% | — | |
| Form 8-K RADIAN GROUP INC For: Nov 04 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.30% | +1.82% | |
| Form 10-Q RADIAN GROUP INC For: Sep 30 | SEC filing · Form 10-Q | SEC EDGAR | -1.31% | +1.87% |
Each reaction is the move the market actually made, measured from the news timestamp. Headlines link through to the RDN section they belong to.
Where else RDN is measured.
RDN earnings → · Analyst actions → · SEC filings →
Other Financial Services names, measured the same way
| Ticker | Events | Median 30-min | % positive |
|---|---|---|---|
| NATIONAL HOLDINGS CORP (NHLD) | 427 | 0.00% | 45% |
| HARVEST CAPITAL CREDIT CORP (HCAP) | 426 | 0.00% | 43% |
| Stifel Financial Corporation (SF) | 424 | +0.03% | 51% |
| MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) | 423 | -0.02% | 45% |
Same sector, same measurement: percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp, read at 30 minutes. Sample sizes differ, so the medians are comparable but the confidence behind them is not.
All Financial Services names, measured the same way →
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Every name we’ve measured, in one place.
How the numbers are made.
How is Radian Group Inc.'s median reaction calculated?
Every labeled RDN news event is measured from its own timestamp: the last trade before the news is the base price, and the move is read at fixed horizons — 30 minutes of trading, then the close. The median across 425 events is what this page reports. Point-in-time, zero look-ahead: no event borrows information from a later one.
What counts as a positive reaction?
Any event whose price move is above zero at the horizon, relative to the last trade before the news timestamp. 52% of RDN's measured events are up at 30 minutes; the rest close the window flat or negative.
How often is this page updated?
The news table refreshes automatically as new events are labeled and priced. The reaction medians are re-pulled in batches from the dataset — the figures here are as of 2026-09-21.
Does RDN's past reaction predict its next one?
No. These are realized facts about past events, not forecasts. They describe a distribution — they say nothing certain about any future move.