Progressive Corporation (The) (PGR)
PGR moved a median of -0.03% 30 minutes after news, and -0.12% by the close. How PGR actually reacts to news — the realized, point-in-time move the market made, measured across 830 labeled events over the last three years with zero look-ahead.
PGR’s median reaction, across the day.
| Horizon | Median | % positive | Events |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-min | -0.01% | 47% | 826 |
| 30-min | -0.03% | 45% | 829 |
| 60-min | -0.03% | 47% | 829 |
| to close | -0.12% | 42% | 818 |
| Middle 50% of PGR reactions | -0.21% to +0.15% |
|---|---|
| Median reaction (30-min) | -0.03% |
| Measured reactions | 830 |
Half of all Progressive Corporation (The) news events land between -0.21% and +0.15% at 30 minutes.
Reaction stats as of 2026-09-21. Newest measured event . Reaction = percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp.
How PGR reacts, by analyst action.
| Event | Events | Median 30-min | % positive | Median to close |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst upgrades | 63 | -0.03% | 49% | +0.43% |
| Analyst downgrades | 49 | -0.10% | 35% | -0.53% |
| Coverage initiations | 21 | +0.26% | 62% | +0.21% |
| Rating reiterations | 243 | -0.01% | 48% | -0.14% |
| Price-target raises | 98 | -0.04% | 44% | +0.04% |
| Price-target cuts | 57 | -0.08% | 40% | -0.33% |
Last 3 years, pulled 2026-09-21. Reaction = percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp. Counts and medians only. The same measurement runs across every name in the dataset. See how PGR ranks against every other measured name →
That’s how PGR usually reacts — get an email when it moves on news →Email me when PGR moves on news.
One email per qualifying move — the headline, the measured reaction, and how it compares to PGR's baseline. Nothing else.
Recent PGR events, each with its measured reaction.
| Date | Headline | Event | Source | 5-min | To close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Form 8-K PROGRESSIVE CORP/OH/ For: Oct 14 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.93% | +3.33% | |
| Progressive Reports September 2026 Results | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.93% | +3.33% | |
| Form 8-K PROGRESSIVE CORP/OH/ For: Sep 18 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.76% | -0.60% | |
| Progressive Reports August 2026 Results | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.76% | -0.60% | |
| U.S. Army Veteran to Receive 2024 Freightliner Cascadia Through Progressive's Keys to Progress® Program | Press release | PR Newswire | -0.02% | +0.13% | |
| Form 8-K PROGRESSIVE CORP/OH/ For: Aug 19 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +1.96% | +4.67% | |
| Progressive Reports July 2026 Results | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +1.96% | +4.67% | |
| Form 10-Q PROGRESSIVE CORP/OH/ For: Jun 30 | SEC filing · Form 10-Q | SEC EDGAR | -0.02% | -0.86% | |
| Progressive Announces Investor Relations Event | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.16% | +1.52% | |
| Form 8-K PROGRESSIVE CORP/OH/ For: Jul 15 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.86% | -0.92% | |
| Progressive Reports June 2026 Results | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.52% | -0.74% | |
| Form 8-K PROGRESSIVE CORP/OH/ For: Jun 11 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +1.13% | +0.45% | |
| Progressive Announces Management Changes | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +1.13% | +0.45% | |
| Progressive Reports May 2026 Results | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +1.13% | +0.45% | |
| Form 8-K PROGRESSIVE CORP/OH/ For: May 20 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.36% | +0.14% | |
| Progressive Reports April 2026 Results | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.36% | +0.14% | |
| Form 11-K PROGRESSIVE CORP/OH/ For: Dec 31 | SEC filing · Form 11-K | SEC EDGAR | — | -0.50% | |
| Form 8-K PROGRESSIVE CORP/OH/ For: May 08 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.09% | -0.45% | |
| Form 10-Q PROGRESSIVE CORP/OH/ For: Mar 31 | SEC filing · Form 10-Q | SEC EDGAR | +0.25% | -0.03% | |
| Progressive Insurance® Expands UpPayment® to Help 200 First-Time Homebuyers Get Into a Home | Press release | PR Newswire | -0.24% | +0.12% | |
| Progressive Announces Investor Relations Call | Press release | GlobeNewswire | — | -0.64% | |
| Progressive Insurance® Ranks No. 1 on Forbes America's Best Employers for Company Culture 2026 List | Press release | PR Newswire | -0.04% | +0.68% | |
| Form 8-K PROGRESSIVE CORP/OH/ For: Apr 15 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.61% | +1.04% | |
| Progressive Reports March 2026 Results | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.61% | +1.04% | |
| Form 8-K PROGRESSIVE CORP/OH/ For: Mar 23 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.10% | -0.71% | |
| Form ARS PROGRESSIVE CORP/OH/ For: Dec 31 | SEC filing · Form ARS | SEC EDGAR | -0.57% | -0.48% | |
| Form DEF 14A PROGRESSIVE CORP/OH/ For: May 08 | SEC filing · Form DEF | SEC EDGAR | -0.57% | -0.48% | |
| Form DEFA14A PROGRESSIVE CORP/OH/ | SEC filing · Form DEFA14A | SEC EDGAR | -0.57% | -0.48% | |
| Progressive Prices $1.5 Billion of Senior Notes | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.27% | +0.47% | |
| Form 8-K PROGRESSIVE CORP/OH/ For: Mar 18 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.16% | -1.70% | |
| Progressive Reports February 2026 Results | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.41% | -1.21% | |
| Progressive Announces Quarterly Common Share Dividend | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.27% | +0.38% | |
| Form 11-K PROGRESSIVE CORP/OH/ For: Dec 31 | SEC filing · Form 11-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.08% | -0.29% | |
| Form 10-K PROGRESSIVE CORP/OH/ For: Dec 31 | SEC filing · Form 10-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.24% | +0.57% | |
| Progressive Announces Investor Relations Event | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.26% | +0.59% | |
| Form 8-K PROGRESSIVE CORP/OH/ For: Feb 18 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.21% | +0.68% | |
| Progressive Reports January 2026 Results | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.96% | -2.46% | |
| Form 8-K PROGRESSIVE CORP/OH/ For: Jan 26 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.14% | -0.95% | |
| Progressive Announces Plans For CFO Transition | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.76% | +3.31% | |
| Progressive Reports December 2025 Results | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.76% | +3.31% | |
| Progressive Insurance® Introduces Pet Insurance for Cats and Dogs | Press release | PR Newswire | +0.01% | +1.60% | |
| Form 8-K PROGRESSIVE CORP/OH/ For: Dec 17 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.00% | +0.29% | |
| Progressive Reports November 2025 Results | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.46% | +1.55% | |
| Progressive Insurance® and Best Egg Enhance Access to Personal Loans | Press release | PR Newswire | +0.63% | +0.85% | |
| Progressive Announces Dividend Information And 2026 Annual Meeting Record Date | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.68% | +0.70% | |
| Form 8-K PROGRESSIVE CORP/OH/ For: Nov 19 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.69% | -1.58% | |
| Progressive Reports October 2025 Results | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.69% | -1.58% | |
| Progressive's Keys to Progress® Program Provides 100 Vehicles to Veterans Across the Country | Press release | PR Newswire | +0.24% | +0.63% | |
| Form 10-Q PROGRESSIVE CORP/OH/ For: Sep 30 | SEC filing · Form 10-Q | SEC EDGAR | +0.02% | +1.73% | |
| Progressive Announces Investor Relations Call | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.34% | -1.89% |
Each reaction is the move the market actually made, measured from the news timestamp. Headlines link through to the PGR section they belong to.
Where else PGR is measured.
PGR earnings → · Analyst actions → · SEC filings →
Other Financial Services names, measured the same way
| Ticker | Events | Median 30-min | % positive |
|---|---|---|---|
| FIRST DEFIANCE FINANCIAL (FDEF) | 834 | 0.00% | 45% |
| Triumph Bancorp, Inc. (TBK) | 832 | 0.00% | 49% |
| Comerica Incorporated (CMA) | 816 | +0.00% | 50% |
| UNITED COMMUNITY (UCFC) | 816 | 0.00% | 45% |
Same sector, same measurement: percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp, read at 30 minutes. Sample sizes differ, so the medians are comparable but the confidence behind them is not.
All Financial Services names, measured the same way →
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How the numbers are made.
How is Progressive Corporation (The)'s median reaction calculated?
Every labeled PGR news event is measured from its own timestamp: the last trade before the news is the base price, and the move is read at fixed horizons — 30 minutes of trading, then the close. The median across 830 events is what this page reports. Point-in-time, zero look-ahead: no event borrows information from a later one.
What counts as a positive reaction?
Any event whose price move is above zero at the horizon, relative to the last trade before the news timestamp. 45% of PGR's measured events are up at 30 minutes; the rest close the window flat or negative.
How often is this page updated?
The news table refreshes automatically as new events are labeled and priced. The reaction medians are re-pulled in batches from the dataset — the figures here are as of 2026-09-21.
Does PGR's past reaction predict its next one?
No. These are realized facts about past events, not forecasts. They describe a distribution — they say nothing certain about any future move.