Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA)
MUSA moved a median of +0.03% 30 minutes after news, and +0.07% by the close. How MUSA actually reacts to news — the realized, point-in-time move the market made, measured across 472 labeled events over the last three years with zero look-ahead.
MUSA’s median reaction, across the day.
| Horizon | Median | % positive | Events |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-min | 0.00% | 44% | 471 |
| 30-min | +0.03% | 51% | 472 |
| 60-min | -0.09% | 47% | 472 |
| to close | +0.07% | 51% | 472 |
| Middle 50% of MUSA reactions | -0.45% to +0.61% |
|---|---|
| Median reaction (30-min) | +0.03% |
| Measured reactions | 472 |
Half of all Murphy USA Inc. news events land between -0.45% and +0.61% at 30 minutes.
Reaction stats as of 2026-09-21. Newest measured event . Reaction = percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp.
How MUSA reacts, by analyst action.
| Event | Events | Median 30-min | % positive | Median to close |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst upgrades | 33 | -0.34% | 33% | -0.42% |
| Analyst downgrades | 29 | +0.06% | 55% | +0.14% |
| Coverage initiations | 13 | +0.17% | 62% | +1.06% |
| Rating reiterations | 48 | -0.24% | 38% | +0.64% |
| Price-target raises | 12 | -0.00% | 50% | +0.24% |
Last 3 years, pulled 2026-09-21. Reaction = percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp. Counts and medians only. The same measurement runs across every name in the dataset. 1 further class was observed with fewer than 10 measured events and is not published. See how MUSA ranks against every other measured name →
That’s how MUSA usually reacts — get an email when it moves on news →Email me when MUSA moves on news.
One email per qualifying move — the headline, the measured reaction, and how it compares to MUSA's baseline. Nothing else.
Recent MUSA events, each with its measured reaction.
| Date | Headline | Event | Source | 5-min | To close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Murphy USA Schedules Third Quarter 2026 Results Conference Call | Press release | Business Wire | +0.17% | +0.20% | |
| Form 8-K Murphy USA Inc. For: Aug 31 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.38% | +2.42% | |
| Murphy USA Debuts Automated Retail Technologies Foodservice Platform Featuring White Castle | Press release | Business Wire | -0.02% | +0.04% | |
| Form 8-K Murphy USA Inc. For: Aug 13 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.73% | +0.11% | |
| Murphy USA Inc. Announces Dividend Increase | Press release | Business Wire | -0.73% | +0.11% | |
| Form 10-Q Murphy USA Inc. For: Jun 30 | SEC filing · Form 10-Q | SEC EDGAR | -1.00% | -2.06% | |
| Form 8-K Murphy USA Inc. For: Aug 05 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -5.00% | -2.06% | |
| Murphy USA Inc. Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results | Press release | Business Wire | -5.00% | -2.06% | |
| Murphy USA Schedules Second Quarter 2026 Results Conference Call | Press release | Business Wire | +0.09% | +2.36% | |
| Form 11-K Murphy USA Inc. For: Dec 31 | SEC filing · Form 11-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.37% | +1.02% | |
| Form 8-K Murphy USA Inc. For: May 27 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.93% | -1.31% | |
| Form 8-K Murphy USA Inc. For: May 12 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -1.65% | -0.27% | |
| Murphy USA Inc. Announces Pricing of Notes Offering | Press release | Business Wire | -1.04% | +1.59% | |
| Murphy USA Inc. Announces Private Offering of Senior Notes | Press release | Business Wire | -1.65% | -0.27% | |
| Form 8-K Murphy USA Inc. For: May 07 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -1.65% | -0.27% | |
| Form 10-Q Murphy USA Inc. For: Mar 31 | SEC filing · Form 10-Q | SEC EDGAR | -0.18% | -0.93% | |
| Form 8-K Murphy USA Inc. For: May 07 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.18% | -0.93% | |
| Murphy USA Inc. Announces Dividend Increase | Press release | Business Wire | -0.18% | -0.93% | |
| Form 8-K Murphy USA Inc. For: Apr 29 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +1.27% | +7.69% | |
| Murphy USA Inc. Reports First Quarter 2026 Results | Press release | Business Wire | +1.27% | +7.69% | |
| Form 8-K Murphy USA Inc. For: Apr 03 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.75% | +1.13% | |
| Murphy USA Schedules First Quarter 2026 Results Conference Call | Press release | Business Wire | +0.75% | +1.13% | |
| Form ARS Murphy USA Inc. For: Dec 31 | SEC filing · Form ARS | SEC EDGAR | -0.52% | +1.06% | |
| Form DEF 14A Murphy USA Inc. For: May 07 | SEC filing · Form DEF | SEC EDGAR | -0.52% | +1.06% | |
| Form DEFA14A Murphy USA Inc. | SEC filing · Form DEFA14A | SEC EDGAR | -0.52% | +1.06% | |
| Form PRE 14A Murphy USA Inc. For: May 07 | SEC filing · Form PRE | SEC EDGAR | -1.09% | -1.63% | |
| Form 8-K Murphy USA Inc. For: Mar 02 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +3.92% | +4.06% | |
| Murphy USA Inc. Announces Participation in Upcoming Conference | Press release | Business Wire | -0.35% | -0.84% | |
| Form 10-K Murphy USA Inc. For: Dec 31 | SEC filing · Form 10-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.00% | -0.22% | |
| Form 8-K Murphy USA Inc. For: Feb 12 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.92% | +5.53% | |
| Murphy USA Inc. Announces Dividend | Press release | Business Wire | +0.92% | +5.53% | |
| Form 8-K Murphy USA Inc. For: Feb 04 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.19% | -9.03% | |
| Murphy USA Inc. Reports Fourth Quarter 2025 Results and 2026 Guidance | Press release | Business Wire | -0.19% | -9.03% | |
| Form 8-K Murphy USA Inc. For: Jan 12 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.93% | -1.25% | |
| Murphy USA Schedules Fourth Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call | Press release | Business Wire | +0.00% | +2.04% | |
| Form 8-K Murphy USA Inc. For: Dec 11 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.29% | +0.47% | |
| Form 8-K Murphy USA Inc. For: Dec 10 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.54% | +1.80% | |
| Murphy USA Welcomes Michael G. Kulp to Board of Directors | Press release | Business Wire | +0.54% | +1.80% | |
| Form S-3ASR Murphy USA Inc. | SEC filing · Form S-3ASR | SEC EDGAR | -0.94% | -0.75% | |
| Form 10-Q Murphy USA Inc. For: Sep 30 | SEC filing · Form 10-Q | SEC EDGAR | -0.24% | -0.71% | |
| Form 8-K Murphy USA Inc. For: Oct 23 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -5.23% | -8.99% | |
| Murphy USA Inc. Announces CEO Transition and Reaffirms Capital Allocation Strategy | Press release | Business Wire | -5.23% | -8.99% | |
| Murphy USA Inc. Reports Third Quarter 2025 Results | Press release | Business Wire | -5.23% | -8.99% | |
| Form 8-K Murphy USA Inc. For: Oct 14 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.65% | -2.67% | |
| Murphy USA Schedules Third Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call | Press release | Business Wire | +0.30% | -0.63% | |
| Form 8-K Murphy USA Inc. For: Aug 14 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.00% | +1.06% | |
| Murphy USA Inc. Announces Dividend Increase | Press release | Business Wire | +0.00% | +1.06% | |
| Form 10-Q Murphy USA Inc. For: Jun 30 | SEC filing · Form 10-Q | SEC EDGAR | -1.11% | +2.45% | |
| Form 8-K Murphy USA Inc. For: Jul 30 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -1.20% | -15.06% | |
| Murphy USA Inc. Reports Second Quarter 2025 Results | Press release | Business Wire | -1.20% | -15.06% |
Each reaction is the move the market actually made, measured from the news timestamp. Headlines link through to the MUSA section they belong to.
Where else MUSA is measured.
MUSA earnings → · Analyst actions → · SEC filings →
Other Consumer Cyclical names, measured the same way
| Ticker | Events | Median 30-min | % positive |
|---|---|---|---|
| Winnebago Industries, Inc. (WGO) | 476 | -0.05% | 44% |
| WYNDHAM DESTINATIONS INC (WYND) | 474 | -0.22% | 35% |
| Gray Television, Inc. (GTN) | 469 | +0.20% | 53% |
| Cenntro Electric Group Limited - Ordinary Shares (NAKD) | 466 | -1.33% | 30% |
Same sector, same measurement: percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp, read at 30 minutes. Sample sizes differ, so the medians are comparable but the confidence behind them is not.
All Consumer Cyclical names, measured the same way →
Every ticker we measure the same way24
Apple (AAPL)
How AAPL actually reacts to news, measured.
NVIDIA (NVDA)
How NVDA actually reacts to news, measured.
Tesla (TSLA)
How TSLA actually reacts to news, measured.
Microsoft (MSFT)
How MSFT actually reacts to news, measured.
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)
How AMD actually reacts to news, measured.
Amazon (AMZN)
How AMZN actually reacts to news, measured.
Alphabet (GOOG)
How GOOG actually reacts to news, measured.
Meta Platforms (META)
How META actually reacts to news, measured.
Broadcom (AVGO)
How AVGO actually reacts to news, measured.
JPMorgan Chase (JPM)
How JPM actually reacts to news, measured.
Visa (V)
How V actually reacts to news, measured.
Walmart (WMT)
How WMT actually reacts to news, measured.
Eli Lilly (LLY)
How LLY actually reacts to news, measured.
UnitedHealth Group (UNH)
How UNH actually reacts to news, measured.
Netflix (NFLX)
How NFLX actually reacts to news, measured.
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)
How JNJ actually reacts to news, measured.
Exxon Mobil (XOM)
How XOM actually reacts to news, measured.
Home Depot (HD)
How HD actually reacts to news, measured.
Costco (COST)
How COST actually reacts to news, measured.
Mastercard (MA)
How MA actually reacts to news, measured.
Oracle (ORCL)
How ORCL actually reacts to news, measured.
Salesforce (CRM)
How CRM actually reacts to news, measured.
Bank of America (BAC)
How BAC actually reacts to news, measured.
Coca-Cola (KO)
How KO actually reacts to news, measured.
Walt Disney (DIS)
How DIS actually reacts to news, measured.
Browse all tickers
Every name we’ve measured, in one place.
How the numbers are made.
How is Murphy USA Inc.'s median reaction calculated?
Every labeled MUSA news event is measured from its own timestamp: the last trade before the news is the base price, and the move is read at fixed horizons — 30 minutes of trading, then the close. The median across 472 events is what this page reports. Point-in-time, zero look-ahead: no event borrows information from a later one.
What counts as a positive reaction?
Any event whose price move is above zero at the horizon, relative to the last trade before the news timestamp. 51% of MUSA's measured events are up at 30 minutes; the rest close the window flat or negative.
How often is this page updated?
The news table refreshes automatically as new events are labeled and priced. The reaction medians are re-pulled in batches from the dataset — the figures here are as of 2026-09-21.
Does MUSA's past reaction predict its next one?
No. These are realized facts about past events, not forecasts. They describe a distribution — they say nothing certain about any future move.