Ticker reaction data · Energy

Marathon Oil Corporation (MRO)

MRO moved a median of -0.24% 30 minutes after news, and -0.08% by the close. How MRO actually reacts to news — the realized, point-in-time move the market made, measured across 167 labeled events over the last three years with zero look-ahead.

The quantified answer

MRO’s median reaction, across the day.

-0.24%
Median 30-min
Typical reaction 30 minutes after any MRO news
31%
Moved up
Share of MRO news events that rose at 30 minutes
-0.08%
Median to close
Where MRO typically settles by the closing bell
MRO median reaction to newsMRO median reaction to news across 4 horizons: 5-min -0.07%, 30-min -0.24%, 60-min -0.20%, to close -0.08%.5-min30-min60-minto close5-min: -0.07%30-min: -0.24%60-min: -0.20%to close: -0.08%-0.07%-0.24%-0.20%-0.08%-0.24%0
Median move vs. the price at the news timestamp, each horizon on its own sample — the counts are in the table below.
MRO median reaction to news, by horizon. Each rung is measured on the events that traded at that horizon.
HorizonMedian% positiveEvents
5-min-0.07%44%135
30-min-0.24%31%135
60-min-0.20%39%135
to close-0.08%38%137
Where MRO reactions landvs 167 measured MRO reactions
MROMiddle 50% · -0.57% to +0.15%Zero: 0.00%Median: -0.24%Median -0.24%-1.00%0+1.00%
Middle 50% of MRO reactions-0.57% to +0.15%
Median reaction (30-min)-0.24%
Measured reactions167
Point-in-time · zero look-ahead

Half of all Marathon Oil Corporation news events land between -0.57% and +0.15% at 30 minutes.

Reaction stats as of 2026-09-21. Newest measured event . Reaction = percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp.

By event type

How MRO reacts, by analyst action.

EventEventsMedian 30-min% positiveMedian to close
Analyst downgrades14+0.21%64%+0.37%
Coverage initiations24+0.04%50%+0.25%
Rating reiterations510.00%49%+0.10%
Price-target raises18-0.01%33%+0.06%
Price-target cuts22+0.01%50%+0.08%

Last 3 years, pulled 2026-09-21. Reaction = percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp. Counts and medians only. The same measurement runs across every name in the dataset. 1 further class was observed with fewer than 10 measured events and is not published. See how MRO ranks against every other measured name →

That’s how MRO usually reacts — get an email when it moves on news →
Next time, know first

Email me when MRO moves on news.

One email per qualifying move — the headline, the measured reaction, and how it compares to MRO's baseline. Nothing else.

▲ MRO Free · unsubscribe anytime
26M+ news records Operating since 2012 Methodology on SSRN ↗
Latest news

Recent MRO events, each with its measured reaction.

DateHeadlineEventSource5-minTo close
Form 8-K MARATHON OIL CORP For: Nov 20SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR——
Form POSASR MARATHON OIL CORPSEC filing · Form POSASRSEC EDGAR——
Form S-8 POS MARATHON OIL CORPSEC filing · Form S-8SEC EDGAR——
Form 10-Q MARATHON OIL CORP For: Sep 30SEC filing · Form 10-QSEC EDGAR-1.48%-1.48%
Form 8-K MARATHON OIL CORP For: Nov 06SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR-1.48%-1.48%
Marathon Oil Reports Third Quarter 2024 ResultsPress releasePR Newswire-1.48%-1.48%
Marathon Oil Corporation Declares Third Quarter 2024 DividendPress releasePR Newswire+2.06%+3.75%
Marathon Oil Schedules Third Quarter 2024 Earnings ReleasePress releasePR Newswire+0.04%-0.64%
Form SD MARATHON OIL CORPSEC filing · Form SDSEC EDGAR-0.47%+0.00%
Form 8-K MARATHON OIL CORP For: Aug 29SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR+0.07%+0.60%
Marathon Oil Receives Stockholder Approval for Proposed Merger with ConocoPhillipsPress releasePR Newswire+0.60%+1.80%
Form 8-K MARATHON OIL CORP For: Aug 19SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR+0.11%+0.46%
Form 10-Q MARATHON OIL CORP For: Jun 30SEC filing · Form 10-QSEC EDGAR-0.33%+0.26%
Form 8-K MARATHON OIL CORP For: Aug 07SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR-0.81%+0.29%
Marathon Oil Reports Second Quarter 2024 ResultsPress releasePR Newswire-0.81%+0.29%
Marathon Oil Corporation Declares Second Quarter 2024 DividendPress releasePR Newswire+0.11%-2.87%
Form DEFM14A MARATHON OIL CORPSEC filing · Form DEFM14ASEC EDGAR-0.47%-1.82%
Marathon Oil Schedules Second Quarter 2024 Earnings ReleasePress releasePR Newswire-0.24%+0.14%
Form 8-K MARATHON OIL CORP For: Jul 11SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR-0.38%-0.84%
Form 8-K MARATHON OIL CORP For: Jul 10SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR-0.04%-0.04%
BRODSKY & SMITH SHAREHOLDER UPDATE: Notifying Investors of the Following Investigations: Marathon Oil Corporation (NYSE – MRO), Atrion Corporation (Nasdaq – ATRI), Surmodics, Inc. (Nasdaq – SRDX), Akili, Inc. (Nasdaq – AKLI)Press releaseGlobeNewswire-0.04%-0.23%
BRODSKY & SMITH SHAREHOLDER UPDATE: Notifying Investors of the Following Investigations: Marathon Oil Corporation (NYSE – MRO), Atrion Corporation (Nasdaq – ATRI), Surmodics, Inc. (Nasdaq – SRDX), Akili, Inc. (Nasdaq – AKLI)Press releaseGlobeNewswire+0.94%-1.64%
Form 8-K MARATHON OIL CORP For: May 28SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR-0.88%-1.41%
MRO Alert: Monsey Firm of Wohl & Fruchter Investigating Fairness of the Proposed Merger of Marathon Oil With ConocoPhillipsPress releaseGlobeNewswire-0.69%-1.05%
MRO Stock Alert: Halper Sadeh LLC Is Investigating Whether the Sale of Marathon Oil Corporation Is Fair to ShareholdersPress releaseBusiness Wire-0.88%-1.41%
Form 8-K MARATHON OIL CORP For: May 22SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR+0.19%-1.47%
Form 10-Q MARATHON OIL CORP For: Mar 31SEC filing · Form 10-QSEC EDGAR-0.76%+0.34%
Form 8-K MARATHON OIL CORP For: May 01SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR+0.27%-1.40%
Marathon Oil Reports First Quarter 2024 ResultsPress releasePR Newswire+0.27%-1.40%
Marathon Oil Corporation Declares First Quarter 2024 DividendPress releasePR Newswire-0.14%+0.47%
Form ARS MARATHON OIL CORP For: Dec 31SEC filing · Form ARSSEC EDGAR-0.42%-1.17%
Form DEF 14A MARATHON OIL CORP For: May 22SEC filing · Form DEFSEC EDGAR-0.42%-1.17%
Form DEFA14A MARATHON OIL CORPSEC filing · Form DEFA14ASEC EDGAR-0.42%-1.17%
Marathon Oil Schedules First Quarter 2024 Earnings Release and Conference CallPress releasePR Newswire-0.04%+2.18%
Form 8-K MARATHON OIL CORP For: Mar 26SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR-0.77%+0.25%
Form PRE 14A MARATHON OIL CORP For: May 22SEC filing · Form PRESEC EDGAR-0.77%+0.25%
Marathon Oil Corporation Announces Pricing of Offering of $600 Million of Senior Notes Due 2029 and $600 Million of Senior Notes Due 2034Press releasePR Newswire+1.01%+1.35%
Form 8-K MARATHON OIL CORP For: Feb 27SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR-0.69%-1.58%
Marathon Oil Corporation Announces Key Officer PromotionsPress releasePR Newswire-0.16%+0.33%
Form 10-K MARATHON OIL CORP For: Dec 31SEC filing · Form 10-KSEC EDGAR+0.04%+0.51%
Form 8-K MARATHON OIL CORP For: Feb 21SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR+2.19%+3.14%
Marathon Oil Announces 2024 Capital Budget and Reports Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2023 ResultsPress releasePR Newswire+2.19%+3.14%
Marathon Oil Corporation Declares Fourth Quarter 2023 DividendPress releasePR Newswire+0.00%-1.56%
Marathon Oil Schedules Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2023 Earnings Release and Conference CallPress releasePR Newswire+0.02%+0.14%
Form 10-Q MARATHON OIL CORP For: Sep 30SEC filing · Form 10-QSEC EDGAR+0.26%-1.54%
Form 8-K MARATHON OIL CORP For: Nov 01SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR+1.95%+5.82%
Marathon Oil Reports Third Quarter 2023 ResultsPress releasePR Newswire+1.95%+5.82%
Form 8-K/A MARATHON OIL CORP For: Oct 25SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR-0.89%+0.66%
Form 8-K MARATHON OIL CORP For: Oct 25SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR+0.40%-1.02%
Marathon Oil Corporation Declares Third-Quarter 2023 DividendPress releasePR Newswire-1.13%-0.36%

Each reaction is the move the market actually made, measured from the news timestamp. Headlines link through to the MRO section they belong to.

Keep exploring

Where else MRO is measured.

MRO earnings → · Analyst actions → · SEC filings →

Other Energy names, measured the same way

TickerEventsMedian 30-min% positive
ENI S.p.A. (E)170-0.01%47%
ANTERO MIDSTREAM GROUP LP (AMGP)167-0.32%42%
ROAN RESOURCES (ROAN)166-0.30%30%
CVR Energy Inc. (CVI)165+0.24%56%

Same sector, same measurement: percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp, read at 30 minutes. Sample sizes differ, so the medians are comparable but the confidence behind them is not.

All Energy names, measured the same way →

Every ticker we measure the same way24

Apple (AAPL)

How AAPL actually reacts to news, measured.

NVIDIA (NVDA)

How NVDA actually reacts to news, measured.

Tesla (TSLA)

How TSLA actually reacts to news, measured.

Microsoft (MSFT)

How MSFT actually reacts to news, measured.

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)

How AMD actually reacts to news, measured.

Amazon (AMZN)

How AMZN actually reacts to news, measured.

Alphabet (GOOG)

How GOOG actually reacts to news, measured.

Meta Platforms (META)

How META actually reacts to news, measured.

Broadcom (AVGO)

How AVGO actually reacts to news, measured.

JPMorgan Chase (JPM)

How JPM actually reacts to news, measured.

Visa (V)

How V actually reacts to news, measured.

Walmart (WMT)

How WMT actually reacts to news, measured.

Eli Lilly (LLY)

How LLY actually reacts to news, measured.

UnitedHealth Group (UNH)

How UNH actually reacts to news, measured.

Netflix (NFLX)

How NFLX actually reacts to news, measured.

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)

How JNJ actually reacts to news, measured.

Exxon Mobil (XOM)

How XOM actually reacts to news, measured.

Home Depot (HD)

How HD actually reacts to news, measured.

Costco (COST)

How COST actually reacts to news, measured.

Mastercard (MA)

How MA actually reacts to news, measured.

Oracle (ORCL)

How ORCL actually reacts to news, measured.

Salesforce (CRM)

How CRM actually reacts to news, measured.

Bank of America (BAC)

How BAC actually reacts to news, measured.

Coca-Cola (KO)

How KO actually reacts to news, measured.

Walt Disney (DIS)

How DIS actually reacts to news, measured.

Browse all tickers

Every name we’ve measured, in one place.

Method

How the numbers are made.

How is Marathon Oil Corporation's median reaction calculated?

Every labeled MRO news event is measured from its own timestamp: the last trade before the news is the base price, and the move is read at fixed horizons — 30 minutes of trading, then the close. The median across 167 events is what this page reports. Point-in-time, zero look-ahead: no event borrows information from a later one.

What counts as a positive reaction?

Any event whose price move is above zero at the horizon, relative to the last trade before the news timestamp. 31% of MRO's measured events are up at 30 minutes; the rest close the window flat or negative.

How often is this page updated?

The news table refreshes automatically as new events are labeled and priced. The reaction medians are re-pulled in batches from the dataset — the figures here are as of 2026-09-21.

Does MRO's past reaction predict its next one?

No. These are realized facts about past events, not forecasts. They describe a distribution — they say nothing certain about any future move.

Stop guessing what the event means

You just saw one reaction.
There are 26 million more.

For investors

Know the next move, measured.

Ticker alerts with the realized reaction — not the headline spin.

Free · no credit card · unsubscribe anytime
For builders

The dataset, one command away.

claude mcp add news-quantified

Then ask Claude: “how does MRO react to downgrades?” — or pull it raw via REST.

60-second signup on the NQ portal · 100 free credits/mo
26M+ news records, 2006–2026 Operating since 2012 Point-in-time, zero look-ahead Peer-reviewable methodology (SSRN) ↗