Ticker reaction data · Industrials

Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW)

ITW moved a median of +0.01% 30 minutes after news, and +0.13% by the close. How ITW actually reacts to news — the realized, point-in-time move the market made, measured across 302 labeled events over the last three years with zero look-ahead.

The quantified answer

ITW’s median reaction, across the day.

+0.01%
Median 30-min
Typical reaction 30 minutes after any ITW news
54%
Moved up
Share of ITW news events that rose at 30 minutes
+0.13%
Median to close
Where ITW typically settles by the closing bell
ITW median reaction to newsITW median reaction to news across 4 horizons: 5-min +0.03%, 30-min +0.01%, 60-min -0.05%, to close +0.13%.5-min30-min60-minto close5-min: +0.03%30-min: +0.01%60-min: -0.05%to close: +0.13%+0.03%+0.01%-0.05%+0.13%-0.05%0+0.13%
Median move vs. the price at the news timestamp, each horizon on its own sample — the counts are in the table below.
ITW median reaction to news, by horizon. Each rung is measured on the events that traded at that horizon.
HorizonMedian% positiveEvents
5-min+0.03%55%302
30-min+0.01%54%302
60-min-0.05%46%302
to close+0.13%55%299
Where ITW reactions landvs 302 measured ITW reactions
ITWMiddle 50% · -0.24% to +0.27%Zero: 0.00%Median: +0.01%Median +0.01%-0.50%0+0.50%
Middle 50% of ITW reactions-0.24% to +0.27%
Median reaction (30-min)+0.01%
Measured reactions302
Point-in-time · zero look-ahead

Half of all Illinois Tool Works Inc. news events land between -0.24% and +0.27% at 30 minutes.

Reaction stats as of 2026-09-21. Newest measured event . Reaction = percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp.

By event type

How ITW reacts, by analyst action.

EventEventsMedian 30-min% positiveMedian to close
Analyst upgrades19+0.16%63%+0.39%
Analyst downgrades24+0.21%67%+0.66%
Rating reiterations95+0.01%54%-0.12%
Price-target raises40-0.06%43%-0.17%
Price-target cuts37-0.02%46%-0.07%

Last 3 years, pulled 2026-09-21. Reaction = percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp. Counts and medians only. The same measurement runs across every name in the dataset. 1 further class was observed with fewer than 10 measured events and is not published. See how ITW ranks against every other measured name →

That’s how ITW usually reacts — get an email when it moves on news →
Next time, know first

Email me when ITW moves on news.

One email per qualifying move — the headline, the measured reaction, and how it compares to ITW's baseline. Nothing else.

▲ ITW Free · unsubscribe anytime
26M+ news records Operating since 2012 Methodology on SSRN ↗
Latest news

Recent ITW events, each with its measured reaction.

DateHeadlineEventSource5-minTo close
ITW Schedules Third Quarter 2026 Earnings WebcastPress releaseGlobeNewswire+0.05%-0.01%
Now at Lowe's: Paslode Universal Heavy-Duty Stapling ProgramPress releasePR Newswire+0.02%+0.04%
The New Miller® Copilot™ Builder™ With Blue iQ™ Brings Adaptive Automation to Real-World Fabrication EnvironmentsPress releaseBusiness Wire+0.02%+0.13%
Teks launches Elite Metal-to-Metal Screws for professional trade applicationsPress releasePR Newswire-0.06%-0.38%
Form 8-K ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS INC For: Aug 11SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR+0.18%+0.24%
Paslode Launches New Universal Heavy-Duty Stapling Solutions for PROsPress releasePR Newswire-0.03%+0.29%
ITW Announces 7% Dividend Increase and $6 Billion Share Repurchase ProgramPress releaseGlobeNewswire+0.28%+0.17%
Form 10-Q ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS INC For: Jun 30SEC filing · Form 10-QSEC EDGAR-0.03%+0.19%
Form 8-K ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS INC For: Jul 28SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR-1.00%-2.08%
ITW Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results and Raises Full Year 2026 GuidancePress releaseGlobeNewswire-1.00%-2.08%
Miller Expands Deltaweld® and Auto Deltaweld® Lineup With New 600-Amp SystemPress releaseBusiness Wire-0.05%+0.18%
Form S-3ASR ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS INCSEC filing · Form S-3ASRSEC EDGAR-0.58%-0.70%
ITW Schedules Second Quarter 2026 Earnings WebcastPress releaseGlobeNewswire-0.58%-0.70%
Miller Pushes Existing Welder Capabilities With Free Product UpgradesPress releaseBusiness Wire-0.13%-0.32%
North Star Imaging, a Leading Provider of Industrial X-ray and Computed Tomography (CT) Inspection Solutions, Announces Leadership TransitionPress releasePR Web+0.41%+0.61%
Form 11-K ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS INC For: Dec 31SEC filing · Form 11-KSEC EDGAR-0.13%+0.29%
Miller Expands Copilot™ Family to Address Larger Weldments and Aluminum ApplicationsPress releaseBusiness Wire+0.22%-0.64%
North Star Imaging Achieves Nadcap® Accreditation for Nondestructive Testing at Florida FacilityPress releasePR Web+0.09%+0.06%
Form SD ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS INCSEC filing · Form SDSEC EDGAR+0.38%+0.69%
Form 8-K ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS INC For: May 19SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR-0.08%-1.14%
Form 8-K ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS INC For: May 08SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR-0.07%-0.29%
ITW Board of Directors Declares Quarterly DividendPress releaseGlobeNewswire+0.02%-0.20%
Form 10-Q ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS INC For: Mar 31SEC filing · Form 10-QSEC EDGAR-0.71%-0.52%
Form 8-K ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS INC For: Apr 30SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR+1.11%+3.20%
ITW Reports First Quarter 2026 ResultsPress releaseGlobeNewswire+1.11%+3.20%
ITW Schedules First Quarter 2026 Earnings WebcastPress releaseGlobeNewswire-0.02%-0.17%
Teks® Expands Metal Roofing Line with New Standing Seam Roofing ScrewPress releasePR Newswire-0.10%-0.02%
North Star Imaging Redefines CT Visualization with Launch of efX 3.0 SoftwarePress releasePR Web+0.13%+0.58%
North Star Imaging Celebrates 40 Years of Innovation in Industrial InspectionPress releasePR Web-0.72%+1.01%
Form ARS ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS INC For: Dec 31SEC filing · Form ARSSEC EDGAR+0.38%-0.64%
Form DEF 14A ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS INC For: May 08SEC filing · Form DEFSEC EDGAR+0.38%-0.64%
Form DEFA14A ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS INCSEC filing · Form DEFA14ASEC EDGAR+0.38%-0.64%
Ramset Launches Cobra+ IFS Insulation Fastening System in U.S. MarketPress releasePR Newswire-0.04%-0.38%
SubArc Hercules™ System Increases Deposition Rates and Reduces Welding Time by an Average of Thirty PercentPress releaseBusiness Wire+0.00%+0.19%
Form 8-K ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS INC For: Feb 20SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR+0.17%-0.77%
Form 10-K ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS INC For: Dec 31SEC filing · Form 10-KSEC EDGAR+0.01%-0.52%
ITW Board of Directors Declares Quarterly DividendPress releaseGlobeNewswire+0.02%-0.75%
Miller Expands Its Battery Powered Lineup with the Venture™ 150 TPress releaseBusiness Wire-0.10%-0.72%
Form 8-K ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS INC For: Feb 03SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR-0.14%+2.09%
ITW Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 ResultsPress releaseGlobeNewswire+1.12%+4.47%
ITW Schedules Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Earnings WebcastPress releaseGlobeNewswire+0.51%+0.72%
Miller Launches ArcCapture™ Weld Camera SystemsPress releaseBusiness Wire+0.10%+0.34%
The New Multimatic® 215 PRO is Now Available for Fabricators Who Do It AllPress releaseBusiness Wire-0.13%-0.87%
North Star Imaging Achieves Nadcap® Accreditation for Nondestructive Testing at California FacilityPress releasePR Web+0.07%+2.48%
ITW Board of Directors Declares Quarterly DividendPress releaseGlobeNewswire-0.25%-1.05%
Miller Introduces Forged in Freedom™ Helmet in Support of America’s Warrior PartnershipPress releaseBusiness Wire-0.06%-0.34%
Form 10-Q ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS INC For: Sep 30SEC filing · Form 10-QSEC EDGAR-0.46%-0.39%
Form 8-K ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS INC For: Oct 24SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR-0.31%+0.49%
ITW Reports Third Quarter 2025 ResultsPress releaseGlobeNewswire-0.01%-1.30%
ITW Schedules Third Quarter 2025 Earnings WebcastPress releaseGlobeNewswire-0.54%-1.60%

Each reaction is the move the market actually made, measured from the news timestamp. Headlines link through to the ITW section they belong to.

Keep exploring

Where else ITW is measured.

ITW earnings → · Analyst actions → · SEC filings →

Other Industrials names, measured the same way

Same sector, same measurement: percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp, read at 30 minutes. Sample sizes differ, so the medians are comparable but the confidence behind them is not.

All Industrials names, measured the same way →

Every ticker we measure the same way24

Apple (AAPL)

How AAPL actually reacts to news, measured.

NVIDIA (NVDA)

How NVDA actually reacts to news, measured.

Tesla (TSLA)

How TSLA actually reacts to news, measured.

Microsoft (MSFT)

How MSFT actually reacts to news, measured.

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)

How AMD actually reacts to news, measured.

Amazon (AMZN)

How AMZN actually reacts to news, measured.

Alphabet (GOOG)

How GOOG actually reacts to news, measured.

Meta Platforms (META)

How META actually reacts to news, measured.

Broadcom (AVGO)

How AVGO actually reacts to news, measured.

JPMorgan Chase (JPM)

How JPM actually reacts to news, measured.

Visa (V)

How V actually reacts to news, measured.

Walmart (WMT)

How WMT actually reacts to news, measured.

Eli Lilly (LLY)

How LLY actually reacts to news, measured.

UnitedHealth Group (UNH)

How UNH actually reacts to news, measured.

Netflix (NFLX)

How NFLX actually reacts to news, measured.

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)

How JNJ actually reacts to news, measured.

Exxon Mobil (XOM)

How XOM actually reacts to news, measured.

Home Depot (HD)

How HD actually reacts to news, measured.

Costco (COST)

How COST actually reacts to news, measured.

Mastercard (MA)

How MA actually reacts to news, measured.

Oracle (ORCL)

How ORCL actually reacts to news, measured.

Salesforce (CRM)

How CRM actually reacts to news, measured.

Bank of America (BAC)

How BAC actually reacts to news, measured.

Coca-Cola (KO)

How KO actually reacts to news, measured.

Walt Disney (DIS)

How DIS actually reacts to news, measured.

Browse all tickers

Every name we’ve measured, in one place.

Method

How the numbers are made.

How is Illinois Tool Works Inc.'s median reaction calculated?

Every labeled ITW news event is measured from its own timestamp: the last trade before the news is the base price, and the move is read at fixed horizons — 30 minutes of trading, then the close. The median across 302 events is what this page reports. Point-in-time, zero look-ahead: no event borrows information from a later one.

What counts as a positive reaction?

Any event whose price move is above zero at the horizon, relative to the last trade before the news timestamp. 54% of ITW's measured events are up at 30 minutes; the rest close the window flat or negative.

How often is this page updated?

The news table refreshes automatically as new events are labeled and priced. The reaction medians are re-pulled in batches from the dataset — the figures here are as of 2026-09-21.

Does ITW's past reaction predict its next one?

No. These are realized facts about past events, not forecasts. They describe a distribution — they say nothing certain about any future move.

Stop guessing what the event means

You just saw one reaction.
There are 26 million more.

For investors

Know the next move, measured.

Ticker alerts with the realized reaction — not the headline spin.

Free · no credit card · unsubscribe anytime
For builders

The dataset, one command away.

claude mcp add news-quantified

Then ask Claude: “how does ITW react to downgrades?” — or pull it raw via REST.

60-second signup on the NQ portal · 100 free credits/mo
26M+ news records, 2006–2026 Operating since 2012 Point-in-time, zero look-ahead Peer-reviewable methodology (SSRN) ↗