Ticker reaction data

Fold Holdings, Inc. - Class A (FLD)

FLD moved a median of -0.35% 30 minutes after news, and -0.69% by the close. How FLD actually reacts to news — the realized, point-in-time move the market made, measured across 303 labeled events over the last three years with zero look-ahead.

The quantified answer

FLD’s median reaction, across the day.

-0.35%
Median 30-min
Typical reaction 30 minutes after any FLD news
45%
Moved up
Share of FLD news events that rose at 30 minutes
-0.69%
Median to close
Where FLD typically settles by the closing bell
FLD median reaction to newsFLD median reaction to news across 4 horizons: 5-min -0.09%, 30-min -0.35%, 60-min -0.23%, to close -0.69%.5-min30-min60-minto close5-min: -0.09%30-min: -0.35%60-min: -0.23%to close: -0.69%-0.09%-0.35%-0.23%-0.69%-0.69%0
Median move vs. the price at the news timestamp, each horizon on its own sample — the counts are in the table below.
FLD median reaction to news, by horizon. Each rung is measured on the events that traded at that horizon.
HorizonMedian% positiveEvents
5-min-0.09%38%287
30-min-0.35%45%294
60-min-0.23%45%295
to close-0.69%41%291
Where FLD reactions landvs 303 measured FLD reactions
FLDMiddle 50% · -2.37% to +1.42%Zero: 0.00%Median: -0.35%Median -0.35%-3.00%0+3.00%
Middle 50% of FLD reactions-2.37% to +1.42%
Median reaction (30-min)-0.35%
Measured reactions303
Point-in-time · zero look-ahead

Half of all Fold Holdings, Inc. - Class A news events land between -2.37% and +1.42% at 30 minutes.

Reaction stats as of 2026-09-21. Newest measured event . Reaction = percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp.

By event type

How FLD reacts, by analyst action.

EventEventsMedian 30-min% positiveMedian to close
Coverage initiations10-2.90%40%-2.35%
Rating reiterations11-4.00%36%+1.95%

Last 3 years, pulled 2026-09-21. Reaction = percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp. Counts and medians only. The same measurement runs across every name in the dataset. 3 further classes were observed with fewer than 10 measured events and are not published. See how FLD ranks against every other measured name →

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Latest news

Recent FLD events, each with its measured reaction.

DateHeadlineEventSource5-minTo close
Form EFFECT Fold Holdings, Inc.SEC filing · Form EFFECTSEC EDGAR+1.78%+5.71%
Form S-1 Fold Holdings, Inc.SEC filing · Form S-1SEC EDGAR+2.42%+0.63%
Form D Fold Holdings, Inc.SEC filing · Form DSEC EDGAR+1.92%+10.46%
Form DEF 14A Fold Holdings, Inc. For: Oct 22SEC filing · Form DEFSEC EDGAR+0.00%-2.26%
Form 8-K Fold Holdings, Inc. For: Sep 04SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR-1.71%+1.95%
Form 8-K Fold Holdings, Inc. For: Aug 27SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR-0.45%+4.86%
NOTICE TO DISREGARD -- Fold, Inc.Press releaseGlobeNewswire+0.00%-2.94%
Kroger, One of the Largest American Retail and Supermarket Chains, Rolls Out Fold Bitcoin Gift Card™ Program NationwidePress releaseGlobeNewswire+0.00%+15.56%
Fold Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: FLD) Announces Second Quarter 2026 ResultsPress releaseGlobeNewswire+1.00%+3.11%
Form 10-Q Fold Holdings, Inc. For: Jun 30SEC filing · Form 10-QSEC EDGAR+1.00%+3.11%
Form 8-K Fold Holdings, Inc. For: Aug 11SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR+1.00%+3.11%
Form PRE 14A Fold Holdings, Inc. For: Aug 07SEC filing · Form PRESEC EDGAR-3.88%—
Fold Taps Lead Bank as Core Banking Partner to Advance Fold’s Growing Financial Services PlatformPress releaseGlobeNewswire+1.69%+5.12%
Form 8-K Fold Holdings, Inc. For: Aug 06SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR+1.69%+5.12%
Fold Selects Persona to Enhance Fold’s Identity Verification Infrastructure and Improve the Customer Onboarding ExperiencePress releaseGlobeNewswire+0.04%+0.37%
Fold to Release Second Quarter 2026 Results August 11thPress releaseGlobeNewswire+0.00%+0.02%
Form 8-K Fold Holdings, Inc. For: Jul 14SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR-1.21%+3.77%
Fold Brings Bitcoin to TikTok ShopPress releaseGlobeNewswire+1.49%+3.65%
Fold Eliminates $20 Million of Debt, Secures $25 Million of Non-Dilutive Capital to Accelerate Next Phase of GrowthPress releaseGlobeNewswire-10.07%-49.10%
Form 8-K Fold Holdings, Inc. For: Jun 10SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR-10.07%-49.10%
Form S-8 Fold Holdings, Inc.SEC filing · Form S-8SEC EDGAR-2.33%-12.95%
Form EFFECT Fold Holdings, Inc.SEC filing · Form EFFECTSEC EDGAR-4.49%-16.38%
CORRECTION: Fold Rolls Out New Bitcoin Rewards Credit CardPress releaseGlobeNewswire-0.62%+6.30%
Fold Secures $150 million Credit Facility to Scale Bitcoin Rewards Credit Card ProgramPress releaseGlobeNewswire-2.43%-1.94%
Form 8-K Fold Holdings, Inc. For: May 27SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR-2.18%-1.36%
Form EFFECT Fold Holdings, Inc.SEC filing · Form EFFECTSEC EDGAR-2.01%-15.91%
Form 8-K Fold Holdings, Inc. For: May 19SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR-2.34%-2.34%
Fold Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: FLD) Announces First Quarter 2026 ResultsPress releaseGlobeNewswire+1.67%+6.82%
Form 10-Q Fold Holdings, Inc. For: Mar 31SEC filing · Form 10-QSEC EDGAR+1.67%+6.82%
Form 8-K Fold Holdings, Inc. For: May 12SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR+1.67%+6.82%
Form POS AM Fold Holdings, Inc.SEC filing · Form POSSEC EDGAR+0.00%+9.60%
Form S-3 Fold Holdings, Inc.SEC filing · Form S-3SEC EDGAR+0.00%+9.60%
Fold to Release First Quarter 2026 Results May 12thPress releaseGlobeNewswire+2.04%+2.04%
Fold Announces Bitcoin Bonus Program for Employers, First Offering from Fold BusinessPress releaseGlobeNewswire-0.66%-3.31%
Form ARS Fold Holdings, Inc. For: Dec 31SEC filing · Form ARSSEC EDGAR+0.00%-1.60%
Form DEF 14A Fold Holdings, Inc. For: Apr 08SEC filing · Form DEFSEC EDGAR+0.00%-1.60%
Form EFFECT Fold Holdings, Inc.SEC filing · Form EFFECTSEC EDGAR+0.00%-1.34%
Form 8-K Fold Holdings, Inc. For: Mar 23SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR-0.33%+2.75%
Fold Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: FLD) Announces Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 ResultsPress releaseGlobeNewswire+5.29%-7.76%
Form 10-K Fold Holdings, Inc. For: Dec 31SEC filing · Form 10-KSEC EDGAR+5.29%-7.76%
Form 8-K Fold Holdings, Inc. For: Mar 17SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR+5.29%-7.76%
Form POS AM Fold Holdings, Inc.SEC filing · Form POSSEC EDGAR+5.29%-7.76%
Form 8-K Fold Holdings, Inc. For: Mar 04SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR-2.78%-5.56%
Fold To Release Fourth Quarter 2025 Results March 17thPress releaseGlobeNewswire+0.67%-0.67%
Fold Eliminates its Convertible Debt; Emerges with Simplified Capital Structure and Strengthened Balance Sheet to Accelerate GrowthPress releaseGlobeNewswire+0.34%-4.03%
Form 8-K Fold Holdings, Inc. For: Feb 26SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR+0.34%-4.03%
Fold Announces Date of 2026 Annual Meeting of ShareholdersPress releaseGlobeNewswire+0.68%-0.68%
Form 8-K Fold Holdings, Inc. For: Feb 13SEC filing · Form 8-KSEC EDGAR+0.68%-0.68%
Fold Launches Unified App Experience to Bring Bitcoin Rewards and Everyday Spending Into One Financial HomePress releaseGlobeNewswire-2.62%-4.19%
Fold Chairman and CEO, Will Reeves, Publishes Letter to Fold CustomersPress releaseGlobeNewswire+0.97%+5.83%

Each reaction is the move the market actually made, measured from the news timestamp. Headlines link through to the FLD section they belong to.

Keep exploring

Where else FLD is measured.

FLD earnings → · Analyst actions → · SEC filings →

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Method

How the numbers are made.

How is Fold Holdings, Inc. - Class A's median reaction calculated?

Every labeled FLD news event is measured from its own timestamp: the last trade before the news is the base price, and the move is read at fixed horizons — 30 minutes of trading, then the close. The median across 303 events is what this page reports. Point-in-time, zero look-ahead: no event borrows information from a later one.

What counts as a positive reaction?

Any event whose price move is above zero at the horizon, relative to the last trade before the news timestamp. 45% of FLD's measured events are up at 30 minutes; the rest close the window flat or negative.

How often is this page updated?

The news table refreshes automatically as new events are labeled and priced. The reaction medians are re-pulled in batches from the dataset — the figures here are as of 2026-09-21.

Does FLD's past reaction predict its next one?

No. These are realized facts about past events, not forecasts. They describe a distribution — they say nothing certain about any future move.

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26M+ news records, 2006–2026 Operating since 2012 Point-in-time, zero look-ahead Peer-reviewable methodology (SSRN) ↗