Capital One Financial Corporation (COF)
COF moved a median of -0.04% 30 minutes after news, and -0.32% by the close. How COF actually reacts to news — the realized, point-in-time move the market made, measured across 665 labeled events over the last three years with zero look-ahead.
COF’s median reaction, across the day.
| Horizon | Median | % positive | Events |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-min | 0.00% | 47% | 664 |
| 30-min | -0.04% | 49% | 664 |
| 60-min | +0.12% | 52% | 664 |
| to close | -0.32% | 45% | 662 |
| Middle 50% of COF reactions | -0.43% to +0.66% |
|---|---|
| Median reaction (30-min) | -0.04% |
| Measured reactions | 665 |
Half of all Capital One Financial Corporation news events land between -0.43% and +0.66% at 30 minutes.
Reaction stats as of 2026-09-21. Newest measured event . Reaction = percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp.
How COF reacts, by analyst action.
| Event | Events | Median 30-min | % positive | Median to close |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst upgrades | 47 | +0.10% | 70% | -0.26% |
| Analyst downgrades | 17 | +0.16% | 77% | -0.36% |
| Coverage initiations | 25 | -0.43% | 40% | -1.30% |
| Rating reiterations | 115 | -0.02% | 49% | -0.23% |
| Price-target raises | 66 | +0.07% | 55% | -0.16% |
| Price-target cuts | 35 | +0.04% | 57% | -0.12% |
Last 3 years, pulled 2026-09-21. Reaction = percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp. Counts and medians only. The same measurement runs across every name in the dataset. See how COF ranks against every other measured name →
That’s how COF usually reacts — get an email when it moves on news →Email me when COF moves on news.
One email per qualifying move — the headline, the measured reaction, and how it compares to COF's baseline. Nothing else.
Recent COF events, each with its measured reaction.
| Date | Headline | Event | Source | 5-min | To close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capital One’s $25 Million Homeownership Initiative Surfaces “Innovative Ideas” for Increasing Housing Affordability in U.S. Communities | Press release | Business Wire | -0.62% | — | |
| Capital One Celebrates Venture X Business’ Third Anniversary With Limited Time Travel Offer for Existing Cardholders | Press release | Business Wire | +0.82% | +1.31% | |
| Capital One Financial Corporation to Webcast Conference Call on Third Quarter 2026 Earnings | Press release | Business Wire | -0.99% | +1.11% | |
| Becca Mintz appointed as President of Capital One Canada | Press release | Canada Newswire | -0.78% | -0.02% | |
| Form 8-A12B CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL | SEC filing · Form 8-A12B | SEC EDGAR | -1.60% | -1.55% | |
| Form CERT CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL | SEC filing · Form CERT | SEC EDGAR | +0.05% | -1.35% | |
| Form 8-K CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL For: Sep 14 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.19% | +0.38% | |
| Form 8-K CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL For: Sep 15 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -1.60% | -1.55% | |
| Form S-8 POS CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL | SEC filing · Form S-8 | SEC EDGAR | -0.55% | -1.60% | |
| Form 8-K CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL For: Sep 01 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +1.37% | +2.30% | |
| Form S-8 POS CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL | SEC filing · Form S-8 | SEC EDGAR | -0.07% | +0.12% | |
| Capital One Business Travel Limited Time Offer Ends Sept. 7 for New Spark Cash Plus and Spark Cash Cardholders | Press release | Business Wire | +0.02% | -0.74% | |
| Capital One Announces Full Redemption of Its Fixed Rate Reset Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock, Series M | Press release | Business Wire | -1.13% | -2.25% | |
| Form 8-K CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL For: Aug 20 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -1.13% | -2.25% | |
| Form 8-K CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL For: Aug 14 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.03% | -1.80% | |
| Monumental Sports & Entertainment Unveils Bold Vision for Brand-New Capital One Arena | Press release | PR Newswire | +0.67% | +0.06% | |
| Capital One Announces Quarterly Dividend | Press release | Business Wire | -0.70% | +0.76% | |
| Form 10-Q CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL For: Jun 30 | SEC filing · Form 10-Q | SEC EDGAR | +0.33% | -0.42% | |
| Capital One Reports Second Quarter 2026 Net Income of $3.0 billion, or $4.73 per share | Press release | Business Wire | -0.75% | -0.51% | |
| Form 8-K CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL For: Jul 21 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.75% | -0.51% | |
| Form 11-K CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL For: Dec 31 | SEC filing · Form 11-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.17% | -0.68% | |
| Capital One Financial Corporation to Webcast Conference Call on Second Quarter 2026 Earnings | Press release | Business Wire | -0.01% | -0.25% | |
| Capital One Announces Stress Test Results | Press release | Business Wire | +1.54% | +1.60% | |
| Capital One Software Introduces Databolt Connect for Secure Data Collaboration on Databricks Marketplace | Press release | Business Wire | -0.02% | +0.40% | |
| Form 8-K CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL For: Jun 12 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +2.55% | +2.45% | |
| Form 8-K CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL For: Jun 09 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -1.18% | -3.00% | |
| Form 8-K CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL For: Jun 08 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +1.25% | +0.93% | |
| Capital One Software Announces New Observability and AI-Powered Optimization Capabilities for Slingshot to Drive System-Wide Data Efficiency | Press release | Business Wire | -0.10% | +0.98% | |
| Form S-8 CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL | SEC filing · Form S-8 | SEC EDGAR | -0.31% | -0.32% | |
| Form 8-K CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL For: May 14 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.27% | +0.80% | |
| Capital One Announces Quarterly Dividend | Press release | Business Wire | -0.26% | -2.98% | |
| Form 8-K CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL For: May 08 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.26% | -2.98% | |
| Form 10-Q CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL For: Mar 31 | SEC filing · Form 10-Q | SEC EDGAR | -0.99% | -1.79% | |
| Form 8-K CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL For: Apr 23 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.30% | -0.93% | |
| Capital One Reports First Quarter 2026 Net Income of $2.2 Billion, or $3.34 Per Share | Press release | Business Wire | -0.15% | -1.52% | |
| Form 8-K CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL For: Apr 21 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.15% | -1.52% | |
| Form 8-K CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL For: Apr 07 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.77% | +0.55% | |
| Form ARS CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL For: Dec 31 | SEC filing · Form ARS | SEC EDGAR | +0.39% | -0.72% | |
| Form DEF 14A CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL For: May 08 | SEC filing · Form DEF | SEC EDGAR | +0.39% | -0.72% | |
| Form DEFA14A CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL | SEC filing · Form DEFA14A | SEC EDGAR | +0.39% | -0.72% | |
| Capital One Software Expands Databolt Capabilities to Address Growing Complexity of Enterprise Data Security | Press release | Business Wire | -0.22% | -2.53% | |
| Capital One Financial Corporation to Webcast Conference Call on First Quarter 2026 Earnings | Press release | Business Wire | -0.22% | -2.53% | |
| Form 8-K CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL For: Mar 13 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.13% | -0.46% | |
| Form 10-K CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL For: Dec 31 | SEC filing · Form 10-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.03% | +2.04% | |
| Form 8-K CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL For: Feb 13 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +1.28% | -0.37% | |
| Bronstein, Gewirtz & Grossman, LLC Announces an Investigation Against Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) and Encourages Shareholders to Learn More About the Investigation | Press release | ACCESS Newswire | -0.29% | -0.38% | |
| Bronstein, Gewirtz & Grossman, LLC Encourages Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) Shareholders to Inquire about Securities Investigation | Press release | ACCESS Newswire | +0.01% | -0.36% | |
| Form 8-K CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL For: Feb 09 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.73% | -1.15% | |
| Bronstein, Gewirtz & Grossman, LLC Is Investigating Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) And Encourages Shareholders to Connect | Press release | ACCESS Newswire | +0.72% | +0.59% | |
| Form 8-K CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL For: Feb 03 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.72% | +0.59% |
Each reaction is the move the market actually made, measured from the news timestamp. Headlines link through to the COF section they belong to.
Where else COF is measured.
COF earnings → · Analyst actions → · SEC filings →
Other Financial Services names, measured the same way
| Ticker | Events | Median 30-min | % positive |
|---|---|---|---|
| GWG Holdings, Inc (GWGH) | 669 | 0.00% | 35% |
| QIWI plc - American Depositary Shares (QIWI) | 667 | -0.07% | 47% |
| DNB FINANCIAL (DNBF) | 662 | 0.00% | 26% |
| OAKTREE CAPITAL GROUP (OAK) | 657 | -0.02% | 47% |
Same sector, same measurement: percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp, read at 30 minutes. Sample sizes differ, so the medians are comparable but the confidence behind them is not.
All Financial Services names, measured the same way →
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Every name we’ve measured, in one place.
How the numbers are made.
How is Capital One Financial Corporation's median reaction calculated?
Every labeled COF news event is measured from its own timestamp: the last trade before the news is the base price, and the move is read at fixed horizons — 30 minutes of trading, then the close. The median across 665 events is what this page reports. Point-in-time, zero look-ahead: no event borrows information from a later one.
What counts as a positive reaction?
Any event whose price move is above zero at the horizon, relative to the last trade before the news timestamp. 49% of COF's measured events are up at 30 minutes; the rest close the window flat or negative.
How often is this page updated?
The news table refreshes automatically as new events are labeled and priced. The reaction medians are re-pulled in batches from the dataset — the figures here are as of 2026-09-21.
Does COF's past reaction predict its next one?
No. These are realized facts about past events, not forecasts. They describe a distribution — they say nothing certain about any future move.