CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF)
CF moved a median of -0.17% 30 minutes after news, and -0.21% by the close. How CF actually reacts to news — the realized, point-in-time move the market made, measured across 355 labeled events over the last three years with zero look-ahead.
CF’s median reaction, across the day.
| Horizon | Median | % positive | Events |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-min | +0.18% | 58% | 353 |
| 30-min | -0.17% | 44% | 355 |
| 60-min | -0.07% | 45% | 355 |
| to close | -0.21% | 46% | 355 |
| Middle 50% of CF reactions | -0.88% to +1.04% |
|---|---|
| Median reaction (30-min) | -0.17% |
| Measured reactions | 355 |
Half of all CF Industries Holdings, Inc. news events land between -0.88% and +1.04% at 30 minutes.
Reaction stats as of 2026-09-21. Newest measured event . Reaction = percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp.
How CF reacts, by analyst action.
| Event | Events | Median 30-min | % positive | Median to close |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst upgrades | 34 | -0.19% | 47% | +0.38% |
| Analyst downgrades | 47 | -0.17% | 38% | -0.23% |
| Coverage initiations | 22 | +0.23% | 59% | +0.35% |
| Rating reiterations | 102 | +0.18% | 61% | -0.03% |
| Price-target raises | 55 | +0.15% | 58% | +0.07% |
| Price-target cuts | 39 | +0.13% | 59% | -0.03% |
Last 3 years, pulled 2026-09-21. Reaction = percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp. Counts and medians only. The same measurement runs across every name in the dataset. See how CF ranks against every other measured name →
That’s how CF usually reacts — get an email when it moves on news →Email me when CF moves on news.
One email per qualifying move — the headline, the measured reaction, and how it compares to CF's baseline. Nothing else.
Recent CF events, each with its measured reaction.
| Date | Headline | Event | Source | 5-min | To close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Industries Holdings, Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend and Confirms Dates for Third Quarter 2026 Results and Conference Call | Press release | Business Wire | -0.53% | -2.59% | |
| Form 8-K CF Industries Holdings, For: Aug 31 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -1.37% | -1.54% | |
| CF Industries, JERA Co., and Mitsui & Co., Ltd., Break Ground on Blue Point One, the World’s Largest Low-Carbon Ammonia Plant in Louisiana | Press release | Business Wire | -0.07% | -0.58% | |
| Form 10-Q CF Industries Holdings, For: Jun 30 | SEC filing · Form 10-Q | SEC EDGAR | -0.26% | -0.23% | |
| CF Industries Holdings, Inc. Reports First Half 2026 Net Earnings of $1.34 Billion, Adjusted EBITDA of $2.18 Billion | Press release | Business Wire | -0.79% | +4.50% | |
| Form 8-K CF Industries Holdings, For: Aug 05 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.79% | +4.50% | |
| CF Industries Holdings, Inc. Announces 20% Increase in Quarterly Dividend | Press release | Business Wire | -0.49% | -2.73% | |
| Form 10-Q CF Industries Holdings, For: Mar 31 | SEC filing · Form 10-Q | SEC EDGAR | +0.93% | +0.97% | |
| CF Industries Holdings, Inc. Reports First Quarter 2026 Net Earnings of $615 Million, Adjusted EBITDA of $983 Million | Press release | Business Wire | +1.28% | +3.23% | |
| Form 8-K CF Industries Holdings, For: May 06 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +1.28% | +3.23% | |
| Andrew T. Scribner Elected Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of CF Industries Holdings, Inc. | Press release | Business Wire | -0.10% | -1.37% | |
| Form 8-K CF Industries Holdings, For: May 05 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.10% | -1.37% | |
| Form 8-K CF Industries Holdings, For: Apr 28 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.25% | +1.62% | |
| CF Industries Holdings, Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend | Press release | Business Wire | +0.17% | +2.18% | |
| CF Industries Holdings, Inc. Confirms Dates for First Quarter 2026 Results and Conference Call, Announces Participation in Upcoming Investor Conference | Press release | Business Wire | -0.27% | +1.04% | |
| Form ARS CF Industries Holdings, For: Dec 31 | SEC filing · Form ARS | SEC EDGAR | -1.64% | -0.23% | |
| Form DEF 14A CF Industries Holdings, For: Apr 28 | SEC filing · Form DEF | SEC EDGAR | -1.64% | -0.23% | |
| Form DEFA14A CF Industries Holdings, | SEC filing · Form DEFA14A | SEC EDGAR | -1.64% | -0.23% | |
| Form 8-K CF Industries Holdings, For: Mar 15 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.47% | -1.57% | |
| Form 10-K CF Industries Holdings, For: Dec 31 | SEC filing · Form 10-K | SEC EDGAR | +1.11% | +1.98% | |
| CF Industries Holdings, Inc. Reports Full Year 2025 Net Earnings of $1.46 Billion, Adjusted EBITDA of $2.89 Billion | Press release | Business Wire | +3.83% | +1.49% | |
| Form 8-K CF Industries Holdings, For: Feb 18 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +3.83% | +1.49% | |
| CF Industries Holdings, Inc. to Participate in Upcoming Investor Conference | Press release | Business Wire | -0.31% | +1.41% | |
| CF Industries Holdings, Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend and Confirms Dates for Fourth Quarter 2025 Results and Conference Call | Press release | Business Wire | +1.27% | +0.67% | |
| CF Industries, POET, and Major Agriculture Co-Operatives Launch Low-Carbon Fertilizer Pilot to Cut Ethanol Production Carbon Intensity | Press release | Business Wire | +0.21% | -0.21% | |
| CF Industries Holdings, Inc. Announces Planned Schedule for Quarterly Financial Results to be Released in 2026 | Press release | Business Wire | +1.10% | -2.57% | |
| Form 8-K/A CF Industries Holdings, For: Jan 05 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.71% | +0.25% | |
| Form 8-K CF Industries Holdings, For: Jan 09 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.11% | -1.05% | |
| Form 8-K CF Industries Holdings, For: Jan 05 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.19% | -2.34% | |
| Form 8-K/A CF Industries Holdings, For: Sep 05 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.16% | -2.15% | |
| CF Industries Holdings, Inc. to Participate in Upcoming Investor Conference | Press release | Business Wire | +0.48% | +0.77% | |
| Form 8-K CF Industries Holdings, For: Nov 20 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.09% | -0.52% | |
| Form 10-Q CF Industries Holdings, For: Sep 30 | SEC filing · Form 10-Q | SEC EDGAR | +0.18% | +0.42% | |
| Form S-3ASR CF Industries Holdings, | SEC filing · Form S-3ASR | SEC EDGAR | +0.13% | +0.23% | |
| CF Industries Holdings, Inc. Reports First Nine Months 2025 Net Earnings of $1.05 Billion, Adjusted EBITDA of $2.07 Billion | Press release | Business Wire | -0.19% | -1.39% | |
| Form 8-K CF Industries Holdings, For: Nov 05 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.19% | -1.39% | |
| CF Industries, Trafigura and Envalior Announce Shipment of Certified Low-Carbon Ammonia | Press release | Business Wire | +0.44% | -0.38% | |
| CF Industries Holdings, Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend and Confirms Dates for Third Quarter 2025 Results and Conference Call | Press release | Business Wire | +0.87% | +3.56% | |
| Form 8-K CF Industries Holdings, For: Sep 04 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.58% | +2.80% | |
| CF Industries’ W. Anthony Will to Retire as President and Chief Executive Officer January 4, 2026; Christopher D. Bohn Elected Successor | Press release | Business Wire | +0.10% | -0.02% | |
| Form 8-K CF Industries Holdings, For: Sep 05 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.10% | -0.02% | |
| Form 10-Q CF Industries Holdings, For: Jun 30 | SEC filing · Form 10-Q | SEC EDGAR | -0.26% | -0.79% | |
| CF Industries Holdings, Inc. Reports First Half 2025 Net Earnings of $698 Million, Adjusted EBITDA of $1.41 Billion | Press release | Business Wire | -4.67% | -1.91% | |
| Form 8-K CF Industries Holdings, For: Aug 06 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -4.67% | -1.91% | |
| CF Industries’ Ashraf K. Malik to Retire as Senior Vice President, Manufacturing and Distribution, April 1, 2026; Trevor Williams Named Successor | Press release | Business Wire | -0.42% | -0.11% | |
| Form 8-K CF Industries Holdings, For: Jul 20 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.42% | -0.11% | |
| CF Industries Announces Start-up of Donaldsonville Complex CO2 Dehydration and Compression Unit, Permanent CO2 Sequestration | Press release | Business Wire | +0.59% | -1.21% | |
| CF Industries Holdings, Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend and Confirms Dates for Second Quarter 2025 Results and Conference Call | Press release | Business Wire | -0.14% | +2.06% | |
| Form 8-K CF Industries Holdings, For: Jun 24 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.71% | +1.10% | |
| CF Industries Holdings, Inc. to Host 2025 Investor Day | Press release | Business Wire | +0.71% | +1.10% |
Each reaction is the move the market actually made, measured from the news timestamp. Headlines link through to the CF section they belong to.
Where else CF is measured.
CF earnings → · Analyst actions → · SEC filings →
Other Basic Materials names, measured the same way
| Ticker | Events | Median 30-min | % positive |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coeur Mining, Inc. (CDE) | 357 | +0.44% | 56% |
| United States Antimony Corporation (UAMY) | 356 | -0.79% | 37% |
| Fortuna Mining Corp. Common Shares (FSM) | 354 | +0.13% | 54% |
| NYRSTAR NV UNSP/ADR (NYRSY) | 351 | 0.00% | 0% |
Same sector, same measurement: percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp, read at 30 minutes. Sample sizes differ, so the medians are comparable but the confidence behind them is not.
All Basic Materials names, measured the same way →
Every ticker we measure the same way24
Apple (AAPL)
How AAPL actually reacts to news, measured.
NVIDIA (NVDA)
How NVDA actually reacts to news, measured.
Tesla (TSLA)
How TSLA actually reacts to news, measured.
Microsoft (MSFT)
How MSFT actually reacts to news, measured.
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)
How AMD actually reacts to news, measured.
Amazon (AMZN)
How AMZN actually reacts to news, measured.
Alphabet (GOOG)
How GOOG actually reacts to news, measured.
Meta Platforms (META)
How META actually reacts to news, measured.
Broadcom (AVGO)
How AVGO actually reacts to news, measured.
JPMorgan Chase (JPM)
How JPM actually reacts to news, measured.
Visa (V)
How V actually reacts to news, measured.
Walmart (WMT)
How WMT actually reacts to news, measured.
Eli Lilly (LLY)
How LLY actually reacts to news, measured.
UnitedHealth Group (UNH)
How UNH actually reacts to news, measured.
Netflix (NFLX)
How NFLX actually reacts to news, measured.
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)
How JNJ actually reacts to news, measured.
Exxon Mobil (XOM)
How XOM actually reacts to news, measured.
Home Depot (HD)
How HD actually reacts to news, measured.
Costco (COST)
How COST actually reacts to news, measured.
Mastercard (MA)
How MA actually reacts to news, measured.
Oracle (ORCL)
How ORCL actually reacts to news, measured.
Salesforce (CRM)
How CRM actually reacts to news, measured.
Bank of America (BAC)
How BAC actually reacts to news, measured.
Coca-Cola (KO)
How KO actually reacts to news, measured.
Walt Disney (DIS)
How DIS actually reacts to news, measured.
Browse all tickers
Every name we’ve measured, in one place.
How the numbers are made.
How is CF Industries Holdings, Inc.'s median reaction calculated?
Every labeled CF news event is measured from its own timestamp: the last trade before the news is the base price, and the move is read at fixed horizons — 30 minutes of trading, then the close. The median across 355 events is what this page reports. Point-in-time, zero look-ahead: no event borrows information from a later one.
What counts as a positive reaction?
Any event whose price move is above zero at the horizon, relative to the last trade before the news timestamp. 44% of CF's measured events are up at 30 minutes; the rest close the window flat or negative.
How often is this page updated?
The news table refreshes automatically as new events are labeled and priced. The reaction medians are re-pulled in batches from the dataset — the figures here are as of 2026-09-21.
Does CF's past reaction predict its next one?
No. These are realized facts about past events, not forecasts. They describe a distribution — they say nothing certain about any future move.