Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (BAER)
BAER moved a median of -0.63% 30 minutes after news, and -1.54% by the close. How BAER actually reacts to news — the realized, point-in-time move the market made, measured across 198 labeled events over the last three years with zero look-ahead.
BAER’s median reaction, across the day.
| Horizon | Median | % positive | Events |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-min | 0.00% | 25% | 187 |
| 30-min | -0.63% | 32% | 195 |
| 60-min | -1.42% | 24% | 196 |
| to close | -1.54% | 28% | 198 |
| Middle 50% of BAER reactions | -2.31% to +0.39% |
|---|---|
| Median reaction (30-min) | -0.63% |
| Measured reactions | 198 |
Half of all Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. news events land between -2.31% and +0.39% at 30 minutes.
Reaction stats as of 2026-09-21. Newest measured event . Reaction = percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp.
Email me when BAER moves on news.
One email per qualifying move — the headline, the measured reaction, and how it compares to BAER's baseline. Nothing else.
Recent BAER events, each with its measured reaction.
| Date | Headline | Event | Source | 5-min | To close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridger Aerospace Awarded 220-day Department of the Interior Task Order for 2027 with Multi-Mission King Air 350 | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -1.98% | -3.84% | |
| Form 8-K Bridger Aerospace Group For: Sep 18 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -1.46% | -5.65% | |
| Bridger Aerospace and OroraTech Advance Integration of Space-Based Data into IGNIS for Centralized Wildfire Intelligence | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +1.79% | -2.68% | |
| Bridger Aerospace to Participate in Fireside Chat at the Canaccord Genuity 46th Annual Growth Conference | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -3.28% | +0.80% | |
| Bridger Aerospace Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -3.28% | +0.80% | |
| Form 10-Q Bridger Aerospace Group For: Jun 30 | SEC filing · Form 10-Q | SEC EDGAR | -3.28% | +0.80% | |
| Form 8-K Bridger Aerospace Group For: Aug 06 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -3.28% | +0.80% | |
| Wildfire and Emergency Response Drones Are Reshaping a Billion-Dollar Market | Press release | Canada Newswire | -5.47% | -11.44% | |
| Bridger Aerospace Awarded $58 Million Contract with Texas A&M Forest Service to Build State Wildfire Aviation Surveillance Program | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -3.45% | -7.88% | |
| Avincis and Bridger strengthen Europe’s aerial firefighting capacity with two leased Super Scoopers | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.00% | -0.53% | |
| Bridger Aerospace Announces Schedule for its Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Conference Call | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.00% | -0.53% | |
| Replays from RedChip's Vertical Economy Virtual Investor Conference Now Available | Press release | ACCESS Newswire | +1.04% | -2.07% | |
| Bridger Aerospace and TracPlus Bring Aerial Firefighting Activity Into the IGNIS Platform, Giving Operational Teams on the Fireline a Unified View | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.76% | -2.03% | |
| Bridger Aerospace Secures DOI Task Order, Deploying Its Most Advanced Multi-Mission Wildfire Aircraft | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +1.78% | -8.88% | |
| RedChip to Host July 16 Virtual Investor Conference Showcasing Public Companies Shaping the Vertical Economy | Press release | ACCESS Newswire | +1.28% | +0.52% | |
| Bridger Aerospace to Present at the RedChip Vertical Economy Virtual Investor Conference | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +1.28% | +0.52% | |
| Bridger Aerospace Secures 160 Day Task Orders for Four of its Super Scoopers | Press release | Business Wire | +5.43% | +2.86% | |
| Bridger Aerospace Reports First Quarter 2026 Results | Press release | Business Wire | -1.09% | -5.46% | |
| Bridger Aerospace Announces Schedule for its First Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Conference Call | Press release | Business Wire | +1.42% | +0.95% | |
| Bridger Aerospace Names Justin Mogford as General Counsel, Further Strengthening Management Team | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.52% | -2.08% | |
| Bridger Aerospace Announces Record 2025 Results: Revenue Grows 25%, Adjusted EBITDA up 21% Year-Over-Year and Delivers Positive Net Income | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.91% | -0.23% | |
| Bridger Aerospace Names New Chief Operating Officer to Support Growth & Strengthen Executive Leadership Team | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.42% | +3.75% | |
| Bridger Aerospace Secures $18.6 Million 5-Year Contract in Alaska for U.S. Department of the Interior | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -2.21% | -4.40% | |
| Bridger Aerospace Announces Schedule for its Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Release and Conference Call | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.78% | -5.08% | |
| Bridger Aerospace Completes Purchase of Two Spanish Super Scoopers and Four Air Attack Aircraft, Positioning the Company for Expanded Contract Awards in 2026 | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +2.09% | -0.52% | |
| Bridger Aerospace Secures Purchase Agreement for Two Spanish Super Scoopers, Bolstering Aerial Firefighting Power and Paving the Way for 2026 Expansion | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.91% | -3.85% | |
| Bridger Aerospace Announces CFO Retirement and Succession Plan; Appoints Anne Hayes as Deputy Chief Financial Officer and Ernie Freedman to Board of Directors | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.54% | +5.81% | |
| Bridger Aerospace Achieves Another Record Third Quarter | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -2.79% | -9.50% | |
| Bridger Aerospace Announces Schedule for its Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Release and Conference Call | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.92% | +3.66% | |
| Bridger Aerospace Secures $331 Million in New Financing Commitments to Fuel Growth and Fleet Expansion | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -7.18% | -9.39% | |
| Bridger Aerospace Completes $49 Million Sale-Leaseback, Leveraging Real Estate Portfolio to Prioritize Fleet Growth | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -7.18% | -9.39% | |
| SR Aviation Infrastructure Acquires Bridger Hangar Complex at Bozeman Yellowstone International Airport | Press release | PR Newswire | -7.18% | -9.39% | |
| Bridger Aerospace Applauds Wildland Fire Service Plan and Fire Ready Nation Act | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -1.65% | -3.30% | |
| Bridger Aerospace Announces Participation in the 31st Annual Gabelli Aerospace & Defense Symposium on September 4 | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.49% | -0.49% | |
| Bridger Aerospace Announces Strongest Second Quarter in Company History | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -7.98% | -11.74% | |
| Bridger Aerospace Announces Schedule for its Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Release and Conference Call | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.00% | +3.51% | |
| Bridger Aerospace Shares Insights on Executive Order to Reshape Wildland Firefighting | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.54% | -2.72% | |
| Bridger Aerospace Announces Signing of Sale Leaseback Transaction for its Headquarters Campus; Strengthening Balance Sheet and Reducing Annual Interest Expense | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -3.68% | +0.73% | |
| Bridger Aerospace Secures Record 120 Day Task Orders for Four of its Super Scoopers | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -9.61% | -4.00% | |
| Bridger Aerospace Announces Record First Quarter; Reiterates 2025 Guidance | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -3.21% | +1.43% | |
| Bridger Aerospace Announces Schedule for its First Quarter 2025 Earnings Release and Conference Call | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.00% | +4.08% | |
| Bridger Aerospace Strengthens Board with the Addition of Meghan Pasricha as Independent Director | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -2.16% | -4.32% | |
| Bridger Aerospace Awarded Exclusive-Use Contract by State of Montana for Innovative Wildfire Detection Aircraft | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +3.20% | +1.41% | |
| Bridger Aerospace and Positive Aviation Announce Joint Partnership for the Development of Water Scooping Aircraft | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.00% | +0.00% | |
| Bridger Aerospace Super Scoopers and Multi-Mission Aircraft Support Wildfire Efforts in Oklahoma and New Mexico | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.72% | -7.69% | |
| Bridger Aerospace Appoints Sam Davis Chief Executive Officer | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -4.52% | -17.02% | |
| Bridger Aerospace Announces Record Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Results; Initiates 2025 Guidance | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -1.29% | +3.09% | |
| Bridger Aerospace Announces Schedule for its Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings Release and Conference Call | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +0.77% | +2.19% | |
| Bridger Aerospace Announces Participation in Canaccord and ROTH Investor Conferences in February and March 2025 | Press release | GlobeNewswire | -0.98% | +0.49% | |
| Bridger Aerospace Secures $20 Million 5-Year Contract with the U.S. Department of the Interior | Press release | GlobeNewswire | +2.51% | -15.05% |
Each reaction is the move the market actually made, measured from the news timestamp. Headlines link through to the BAER section they belong to.
Where else BAER is measured.
BAER earnings → · Analyst actions → · SEC filings →
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How the numbers are made.
How is Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.'s median reaction calculated?
Every labeled BAER news event is measured from its own timestamp: the last trade before the news is the base price, and the move is read at fixed horizons — 30 minutes of trading, then the close. The median across 198 events is what this page reports. Point-in-time, zero look-ahead: no event borrows information from a later one.
What counts as a positive reaction?
Any event whose price move is above zero at the horizon, relative to the last trade before the news timestamp. 32% of BAER's measured events are up at 30 minutes; the rest close the window flat or negative.
How often is this page updated?
The news table refreshes automatically as new events are labeled and priced. The reaction medians are re-pulled in batches from the dataset — the figures here are as of 2026-09-21.
Does BAER's past reaction predict its next one?
No. These are realized facts about past events, not forecasts. They describe a distribution — they say nothing certain about any future move.