AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP INC (AFA)
AFA moved a median of 0.00% 30 minutes after news, and +0.01% by the close. How AFA actually reacts to news — the realized, point-in-time move the market made, measured across 23 labeled events over its full measured history with zero look-ahead.
AFA’s median reaction, across the day.
| Horizon | Median | % positive | Events |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-min | 0.00% | 17% | 18 |
| 30-min | 0.00% | 30% | 20 |
| 60-min | 0.00% | 40% | 20 |
| to close | +0.01% | 52% | 23 |
Small sample: only 23 measured events — treat these medians as indicative, not stable.
Reaction stats as of 2026-09-21. Newest measured event . Reaction = percent move vs. the price at the news timestamp.
Email me when AFA moves on news.
One email per qualifying move — the headline, the measured reaction, and how it compares to AFA's baseline. Nothing else.
Recent AFA events, each with its measured reaction.
| Date | Headline | Event | Source | 5-min | To close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Financial Group, Inc. Announces Its Conference Call and Webcast to Discuss 2026 Third Quarter Results | Press release | Business Wire | -0.02% | +0.88% | |
| American Financial Group, Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend | Press release | Business Wire | +0.24% | +1.07% | |
| American Financial Group, Inc. Announces Closing of the Sale of Charleston Harbor Resort & Marina | Press release | Business Wire | -0.95% | -0.86% | |
| American Financial Group, Inc. Management to Participate in the 2026 Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Insurance Conference | Press release | Business Wire | -0.01% | +0.02% | |
| Form N-PX AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP For: Jun 30 | SEC filing · Form N-PX | SEC EDGAR | -0.05% | +0.46% | |
| American Financial Group, Inc. Increases Annual Common Stock Dividend by 10.2%; Twenty-First Consecutive Year of Dividend Increases | Press release | Business Wire | -0.14% | +0.32% | |
| Form 13F-HR AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP For: Jun 30 | SEC filing · Form 13F-HR | SEC EDGAR | +0.02% | -0.07% | |
| Form 10-Q AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP For: Jun 30 | SEC filing · Form 10-Q | SEC EDGAR | +0.12% | +0.57% | |
| Form 8-K AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP For: Aug 04 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.38% | +1.55% | |
| American Financial Group, Inc. Announces Second Quarter Results | Press release | Business Wire | +0.38% | +1.55% | |
| American Financial Group, Inc. Announces Its Conference Call and Webcast to Discuss 2026 Second Quarter Results | Press release | Business Wire | -0.57% | -0.35% | |
| American Financial Group, Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend | Press release | Business Wire | +0.19% | +0.51% | |
| Form 8-K AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP For: May 20 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.00% | -0.33% | |
| Form 13F-HR AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP For: Mar 31 | SEC filing · Form 13F-HR | SEC EDGAR | -0.00% | -0.67% | |
| American Financial Group, Inc. Announces the Promotion of Andrea I. Raible to Assistant Vice President & Controller | Press release | Business Wire | +0.00% | -0.72% | |
| Form 10-Q AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP For: Mar 31 | SEC filing · Form 10-Q | SEC EDGAR | +0.05% | -0.17% | |
| Form 8-K AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP For: Apr 29 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.11% | +5.64% | |
| American Financial Group, Inc. Announces First Quarter Results | Press release | Business Wire | +0.11% | +5.64% | |
| American Financial Group, Inc. Announces Its Conference Call and Webcast to Discuss 2026 First Quarter Results | Press release | Business Wire | -0.46% | +0.43% | |
| Form ARS AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP For: Dec 31 | SEC filing · Form ARS | SEC EDGAR | +0.23% | +0.69% | |
| Form DEF 14A AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP For: May 20 | SEC filing · Form DEF | SEC EDGAR | +0.23% | +0.69% | |
| Form DEFA14A AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP | SEC filing · Form DEFA14A | SEC EDGAR | +0.23% | +0.69% | |
| American Financial Group, Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend | Press release | Business Wire | -0.62% | +1.16% | |
| Form 10-K AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP For: Dec 31 | SEC filing · Form 10-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.13% | +0.26% | |
| Form 8-K AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP For: Feb 13 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +0.89% | +0.59% | |
| American Financial Group, Inc. Management to Participate in the 2026 Association of Insurance and Financial Analysts (AIFA) Conference | Press release | Business Wire | +0.30% | +0.92% | |
| Form 13F-HR AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP For: Dec 31 | SEC filing · Form 13F-HR | SEC EDGAR | -0.09% | -0.26% | |
| Summit Expands Workers’ Compensation Coverage to Delaware and Pennsylvania | Press release | Business Wire | -0.32% | -0.28% | |
| Form 8-K AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP For: Feb 03 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +1.84% | -1.01% | |
| American Financial Group, Inc. Announces 2025 Fourth Quarter and Full Year Results and Declares Special Dividend | Press release | Business Wire | +1.84% | -1.01% | |
| American Financial Group Management to Participate in the BofA Securities 2026 Financial Services Conference | Press release | Business Wire | +0.64% | +0.47% | |
| American Financial Group, Inc. Announces Its Conference Call and Webcast to Discuss 2025 Fourth Quarter and Full Year Results | Press release | Business Wire | +0.18% | +1.49% | |
| American Financial Group, Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend | Press release | Business Wire | +0.08% | -1.30% | |
| AM Best Affirms Credit Ratings of American Financial Group, Inc. and Its Key Operating Subsidiaries | Press release | Business Wire | +0.02% | -0.34% | |
| Form 8-K AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP For: Dec 03 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.05% | -0.46% | |
| American Financial Group, Inc., Management to Participate in Meetings Hosted by Dowling & Partners | Press release | Business Wire | +0.30% | -0.36% | |
| Form 13F-HR AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP For: Sep 30 | SEC filing · Form 13F-HR | SEC EDGAR | +0.16% | +0.89% | |
| Form 10-Q AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP For: Sep 30 | SEC filing · Form 10-Q | SEC EDGAR | +0.05% | +0.71% | |
| Form 8-K AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP For: Nov 04 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | +2.90% | +1.40% | |
| American Financial Group, Inc. Announces Third Quarter Results and Declares Special Dividend | Press release | Business Wire | +2.90% | +1.40% | |
| American Financial Group, Inc., Management to Participate in the 2025 Raymond James Virtual Insurance Conference | Press release | Business Wire | -0.73% | -1.23% | |
| American Financial Group, Inc. Announces Its Conference Call and Webcast to Discuss 2025 Third Quarter Results | Press release | Business Wire | +0.40% | -1.72% | |
| American Financial Group, Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend | Press release | Business Wire | +0.00% | +0.62% | |
| AM Best Assigns Issue Credit Rating to American Financial Group, Inc.’s New Senior Unsecured Notes | Press release | Business Wire | +0.01% | -0.14% | |
| Form 8-K AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP For: Sep 16 | SEC filing · Form 8-K | SEC EDGAR | -0.00% | -0.20% | |
| American Financial Group, Inc., Management to Participate in the 2025 Oppenheimer Virtual Insurance Summit | Press release | Business Wire | -0.18% | -0.11% | |
| American Financial Group, Inc. Announces the Offering of $350 Million of Senior Notes | Press release | Business Wire | -0.13% | -0.03% | |
| American Financial Group, Inc. Management to Participate in the 2025 Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Insurance Conference | Press release | Business Wire | +0.21% | -0.63% | |
| American Financial Group, Inc. Increases Annual Common Stock Dividend by 10%; Twentieth Consecutive Year of Dividend Increases | Press release | Business Wire | -0.19% | +0.27% | |
| Form N-PX AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP For: Jun 30 | SEC filing · Form N-PX | SEC EDGAR | — | — |
Each reaction is the move the market actually made, measured from the news timestamp. Headlines link through to the AFA section they belong to.
Where else AFA is measured.
AFA earnings → · Analyst actions → · SEC filings →
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Every name we’ve measured, in one place.
How the numbers are made.
How is AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP INC's median reaction calculated?
Every labeled AFA news event is measured from its own timestamp: the last trade before the news is the base price, and the move is read at fixed horizons — 30 minutes of trading, then the close. The median across 23 events is what this page reports. On a sample this small (23 events), treat these medians as indicative, not stable. Point-in-time, zero look-ahead: no event borrows information from a later one.
What counts as a positive reaction?
Any event whose price move is above zero at the horizon, relative to the last trade before the news timestamp.
How often is this page updated?
The news table refreshes automatically as new events are labeled and priced. The reaction medians are re-pulled in batches from the dataset — the figures here are as of 2026-09-21.
Does AFA's past reaction predict its next one?
No. These are realized facts about past events, not forecasts. They describe a distribution — they say nothing certain about any future move.