Balance of risks still ‘decently positive' for China stocks- Gavekal Research [Yahoo! Finance]
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Source: Yahoo! Finance
Gavekal noted that Trump's election victory, which heralds more tariffs, as well as disappointing fiscal measures from the National People's Congress, should have battered local stocks. But the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 and the Shanghai Composite logged limited losses over the past week, even briefly gaining. Gavekal said this indicated some resilience in local risk appetite. “This blithe response by local investors to what could have been a major disappointment suggests that the Chinese equity bull market has plenty of support and further room to run,” Gavekal Research wrote in a note. The brokerage noted that the biggest risk to China's stock rally this year was the prospect of higher tariffs under a Trump presidency, the chances of which had doubled after his election victory. Trump has vowed to impose an at least 60% tariff on all Chinese imports, which bodes poorly for the country. Gavekal said the new round of tariffs would be far more painful for China than those imposed
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