Morning Bid: Payrolls, Williams and Waller - a big decider [Yahoo! Finance Canada]
RAIFFEISEN BK IN UNSP/ADR (RAIFY)
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Source: Yahoo! Finance Canada
Friday looks set to play out like a concentrated version of what markets have been navigating all year - what's the fine balance for the U.S. economy to both dodge recession and allow interest rates to come down at the same time. After a torrent of labor market and business updates all week, the August employment report now acts as the decider, setting the tone for both this month's Federal Reserve meeting and the holy grail of a "soft landing" for the economy. With one exception, advance soundings show a labor market that's indeed slowing. Private sector payroll growth last month came in well below forecast, layoffs are rising and vacancies receding. Only ebbing weekly jobless claims - the most up-to-the-minute readout - suggest otherwise. For stock markets, a big rise in the unemployment rate or swoon in jobs created would inevitably increase fears of recession ahead, just like it did last month, even though that would also likely shift the dial towards a 50 basis point (bp)
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