A former OpenAI researcher sees a clear path to AGI this decade. Bill Gates disagrees [Fortune]
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Source: Fortune
One view holds we're on the brink of achieving AGI—or artificial general intelligence. That's the idea of a single AI model that can perform all the cognitive tasks a human can as well or better than a person. AGI has been artificial intelligence's Holy Grail since the field was founded in the mid-20th century. People in this “AGI is nigh” camp think this milestone will likely be achieved within the next two to five years. Some of them believe that once AGI is achieved we will then rapidly progress to artificial superintelligence, or ASI, a single AI system that's smarter than all of humanity. A 164-page analysis of this AGI is nigh and superintelligence-ain't-far-behind argument was published last month by Leopold Aschenbrenner, entitled “Situational Awareness.” Aschenbrenner is a former researcher on OpenAI's Superalignment team who was fired for allegedly “leaking information,” although he says he was fired after raising concerns to OpenAI's board about the company's lax security
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