Goldman's Rubner Sees Market Correction Ahead of ‘Unloved Rally' [BNN Bloomberg (Canada)]
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA)
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Source: BNN Bloomberg
The global markets division managing director and tactical specialist has been correctly bullish on US stocks in May and June, but after July 17 he is modeling a correction in the stock market — this usually means about a 10% drop for equities. “I would be looking to trim exposure up here post July 4th,” Rubner wrote in a note to clients Friday. August is historically a weak month for US stocks as liquidity draws down ahead of the “back to school” quiet period. But this time around, a move lower could be exacerbated by the US election. Rubner predicts a “pre-election correction” where institutional investors will be forced to sell their winning long positions and hedge into the event. Rubner's favorite election trade is a S&P 500 Index lookback put option — such a bet allows the holder to exercise a derivative at the most beneficial price of the underlying asset, over the life of the option. But after the election, he models an “anti-momentum unloved rally” and expects the ot
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