First-quarter GDP growth will be just 0.3% as tariffs stoke stagflation conditions, says CNBC survey [MSNBC.com]
Moody's Corporation (MCO)
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Source: MSNBC.com
U.S. President Donald Trump speaks to members of the media aboard Air Force One before landing in West Palm Beach, Florida, U.S., March 28, 2025.Kevin Lamarque | Reuters uncertainty and new sweeping tariffs from the Trump administration are combining to create a stagflationary outlook for the U.S. economy in the latest CNBC Rapid Update.The Rapid Update, averaging forecasts from 14 economists for GDP and inflation, sees first quarter growth registering an anemic 0.3% compared with the 2.3% reported in the fourth quarter of 2024. It would be the weakest growth since 2022 as the economy emerged from the pandemic.Core PCE inflation, meanwhile, the Fed's preferred inflation indicator, will remain stuck at around 2.9% for most of the year before resuming its decline in the fourth quarter.Behind the dour GDP forecasts is new evidence that the decline in consumer and business sentiment is showing up in real economic activity. The Commerce Department on Friday reported that real, or inflation
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MCO
Earnings
- 10/23/25 - Beat
MCO
Sec Filings
- 12/16/25 - Form 4
- 12/16/25 - Form 4
- 12/16/25 - Form 4
- MCO's page on the SEC website