Will the tariffs lead to a recession? Here's how to know if we're in one [Globe and Mail, The (Toronto, Canada)]
Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (The) (GS)
Last goldman sachs group, inc. (the) earnings: 4/15 07:30 am
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Source: Globe and Mail, The
The tariffs, set to take effect Wednesday, include a 10% blanket duty on nearly all countries and additional import taxes on 60 nations. The increases are so large and are taking effect so rapidly that they are likely to be disruptive to the economy, economists say, even if they are partially rolled back through negotiations in the coming weeks or months. Economists at Goldman Sachs have raised their assessment of the odds the U.S. will experience a recession — where the economy shrinks and unemployment rises — to 45%, from 35% last week. And even that forecast assumes many of the duties are negotiated away or reduced. If not, “we expect to change our forecast to a recession,” Jan Hatzius, Goldman's chief economist, and his colleagues said in an analyst note. Other economists are raising similar alarms, with JPMorgan putting the odds of a recession at 60% and projecting inflation will reach 4.4% by the end of this year, up from 2.8% currently. Should the tariffs remain in place for
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Earnings
- 10/14/25 - Beat
GS
Sec Filings
- 12/19/25 - Form 424B2
- 12/19/25 - Form 424B2
- 12/19/25 - Form 424B2
- GS's page on the SEC website