Wall Street Warns Stocks Need ‘Goldilocks' US Payrolls Report [BNN Bloomberg (Canada)]
Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (The) (GS)
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Source: BNN Bloomberg
That's the message from Wall Street as fresh uncertainty about the rates path and the economy is creating a double tail risk for stocks into Friday's US nonfarm payrolls data. Traders and strategists warn of declines if the print deviates too far in either direction. “Too hot and rates will climb higher, which the stock market clearly doesn't want, and too cold will quickly shift worries from rates to growth,” according to a trading desk note from Goldman Sachs Group Inc. to clients this week. Economists are looking for US nonfarm payrolls to have grown by 165,000 in December, according to the median estimate in a survey of economists by Bloomberg. Anything above 200,000, and the S&P 500 Index is seen dropping about 1%, according to Goldman Sachs. A JPMorgan Chase & Co. trading desk note sees the gauge as poised to potentially fall by 0.5% to 1% if the print is above 220,000. Should the data disappoint to the downside, with less than 100,000 new jobs, then stocks might suffer
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