Posthaste: S&P 500 has hit 50 all-time highs this year — what history tells us about record-breaking markets [Yahoo! Finance Canada]
Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (The) (GS)
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Source: Yahoo! Finance Canada
With the market up 24 per cent, forecasters like Goldman Sachs and others are predicting new heights to come. So let the good times roll or should we be worried? According to Deutsche Bank Research, the S&P 500's CAPE ratio — the cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio often used to indicate if a market is undervalued or overvalued — has only been higher twice in the last century. This got macro strategist Henry Allen thinking about three other times when market valuations were historically high. Probably the most famous bubble in our memory is the dotcom boom. In the late 1990s, the S&P 500 more than tripled over five years, but then plunged into a lengthy correction that saw it post three annual declines in a row, something that hadn't happened since the Second World War, said Allen. How does that compare to today? Like that relentless rally, the S&P 500 is now on track to post back-to-back annual gains above 20 per cent for the first time since 1997 to 1998, he said.
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