Goldman Sachs: Here's what could wrong for risk assets after a 50bps rate cut by the Fed [Seeking Alpha]
Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (The) (GS)
Last goldman sachs group, inc. (the) earnings: 4/15 07:30 am
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short term, Goldman Sachs outlined what could go wrong further down the line after a jumbo-sized rate reduction. Risky assets have climbed heading into the Federal Open Market Committee's September decision and could rally for another 5 to 10 sessions if the Fed starts with a large cut. But policymakers guiding a slower pace than priced by the market would serve as a let-down, analysts at Goldman's FICC and Equities desk said in note Tuesday. Among potential implications: Financial conditions that have eased over the past couple of weeks could re-tighten if there's “disappointment to the perception that the Fed could be moving slower than the 1y1y nominals suggest,” GS said. Re-tightened financial conditions would push oil lower again and market prices for inflation “should head south”, potentially driving up real rates and strengthening the dollar ( Therefore, an initial cut of 50bp should not be seen as greenlight to sell volatility / go long carry because the risk of data
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- Big Banks Are Split on How Fast the Fed Will Cut Interest Rates [BNN Bloomberg (Canada)]BNN Bloomberg
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- S&P 500, Dow Rise More Than 1% To New Highs In Delayed Rate Cut Rally [Forbes]Forbes
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