Goldman's Rubner Sees a Selloff as Next Pain Trade for Equities [BNN Bloomberg (Canada)]
Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (The) (GS)
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Source: BNN Bloomberg
“The pain trade has shifted from the upside to the downside,” said the firm's global markets division managing director and tactical specialist. “The buyers are full and running out of ammo after the best trading days of the year are now behind us.” The S&P 500 Index is on pace for its 35th record since early January, fueled by bets that the Federal Reserve will implement roughly two rate cuts this year. Analysts are also modeling strong corporate results with second-quarter earnings expected to grow around 9%, the most since the first quarter of 2022, according to Bloomberg Intelligence. To Rubner, the bar for corporate results is high as those lofty expectations are already baked in, meaning the earnings season is “no longer a tailwind for stocks.” On top of that, systematic funds positioning has reached such an elevated level that any spike in volatility or earnings miss, especially from “highly owned market-capitalization weights, may force non-fundamental sellers to reduce r
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