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Implications And Scenarios If U.S. Oil Production Plateaus In 2027 [Forbes]

ConocoPhillips (COP) 
Last conocophillips earnings: 4/30 07:00 am Check Earnings Report
Company Research Source: Forbes
- currently north of 13.5 million and the highest in the world - will continue to rise at least until 2027. In March, at CERAWeek 2025 , a major energy event organized by S&P Global, ConocoPhillips CEO Ryan Lance and Occidental Petroleum CEO Vicki Hollub joined many of their industry peers in predicting a U.S. crude production plateau sometime between 2027 and 2030. Now the Energy Information Administration, statistical arm of the Department of Energy, has also predicted that a 2027 production plateau sounds fairly plausible. In its Annual Energy Outlook 2025 published on Wednesday, the EIA said U.S. production will rise to 14 million bpd in 2027, and may likely stabilize at or near that level for a few years up until the early 2030s, before a gradual decline comes into view. After that, a further decline may happen at a much faster rate through to the 2050s as the uptick from the U.S. shale bonanza starts to ebb away. Shale production itself is also expected to peak in 2027. Show less Read more
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