U.S. Federal Reserve expected to hold rates steady, project fewer cuts in 2024 [Globe and Mail, The (Toronto, Canada)]
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Source: Globe and Mail, The
But the median could easily tip to only one cut among a nearly evenly divided group of policy-makers. “If there is any risk … it's that there will be only one 25-basis-point rate cut this year,” said Joe Brusuelas, chief economist for RSM US, with Powell using his news conference to “manage expectations” at a point where Fed policy-makers feel particularly uncertain about the path the economy may follow. Powell and other policy-makers have minimized the risk of a further rate increase. The Fed aggressively raised rates in 2022 and 2023 after inflation surged to a 40-year peak. The personal consumption expenditures price index, the Fed's preferred inflation measure, has declined from a 7.1 per cent peak annual pace in June 2022 to 2.7 per cent as of April. The current policy rate is regarded as restrictive enough to discourage investment and spending and gradually return inflation to the Fed's target. Yet policy-makers are not ready to commit to any cuts until they've seen mor
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